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bigmo
28 Jan 15 21:07
Joined:
Date Joined: 23 Jul 03
| Topic/replies: 28,395 | Blogger: bigmo's blog
Off to Tenerife again for Cheltenham Week again and usually change my money over there as we always seem to get a better rate. Should I get a few now as 1.34 is very good to last year or do we think it will get better.
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Report rob_dylan • January 28, 2015 10:14 PM GMT
I have a halifax credit card that lets you get cash out wherever with no fees at the exact exchange rate at the time.  You pay interest immediately but basically this is the way to go imo.
Report boxingthefox • January 28, 2015 10:22 PM GMT
Bigmo, millions of Euros are being withdrawn from Greek banks since the change of government, for fears of a return (unfounded?) to the Drachma so there may be a little more instability in the exchange rate, you might get a few more points, but the current rate is excellent, do what's most convenient and safe.
Report SlippyBlue • January 28, 2015 10:42 PM GMT
I'd take 1.34 personally bigmo, that is a decent rate.
Report Ozymandius • January 28, 2015 11:13 PM GMT
I would be inclined to take it also.
Report pumphol. • January 29, 2015 12:55 AM GMT
I would think 1.4 could  be reached in the coming weeks
Report Sica Dan • January 29, 2015 1:17 AM GMT
Tony Bliar wanted us in the Euro, Lib Dems still do but only
when the time is right of course lol
Report Joel • January 29, 2015 2:10 AM GMT
Has this trip been approved? Who will be posting the jokes, pictures and facts whilst you are away?
Report bigmo • January 29, 2015 8:29 AM GMT
Lol Joel.

I'm tending to agree with pumphol and think it could get near 1.4. No doubt I'll get it wrong.
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK • January 29, 2015 8:37 AM GMT
1.4 the Brits be flocking back to the sol very soon if this keeps up !

Could be the end of INC holidays !!
Report screaming from beneaththewaves • January 29, 2015 9:32 AM GMT
Sica Dan 29 Jan 15 01:17 Joined: 06 Oct 00 | Topic/replies: 2,009 | Blogger: Sica Dan's blog
Tony Bliar wanted us in the Euro, Lib Dems still do but only
when the time is right of course lol


We would have got 2.65 euros to the pound when the euro was introduced.

If we'd listened to Tony Blair or the Lib Dems and locked that rate in for ever by joining with everyone else, we'd be the richest nation in Europe now.

Instead we listened to you.Sad
Report screaming from beneaththewaves • January 29, 2015 9:35 AM GMT
Sorry. 1.50 euros to the pound when it was introduced in 1999. God knows where that 2.65 figure came from.

Same principle applies. We'd be a hell of a lot better off now if we'd joined.
Report Platini • January 29, 2015 9:55 AM GMT
Rob, is that a particular card/account you have for that deal?
Or does it apply for any bog standard HBOS card ?
Report G1_Jockey_4 • January 29, 2015 9:56 AM GMT
if it goes to 1.4 im leaving the uk

the rate was about 1.16 this time last year
Report xmoneyx • January 29, 2015 11:32 AM GMT
Plenty irish bars Tenerife to watch chelt
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 12:41 PM GMT
Not sure Platini.  My card just says Halifax mastercard.
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 12:42 PM GMT
1 bed flats up the posh end of the algarve going for less than 50k a pop now.
Report blackbarn • January 29, 2015 1:01 PM GMT
Halifax Mastercards (even the much vaunted Clarity card) use the Mastercard exchange rate for conversion to sterling of Euro incurred transactions.  You can look these rates up on line, but the chances of getting something even close to the spot rate of say 1.34 is about as likely as me (or Rob!) going thru the Card at Cheltenham. HthWinkWink
Report Stow_judge • January 29, 2015 1:03 PM GMT
prepaid cards
http://www.which.co.uk/money/credit-cards-and-loans/guides/prepaid-cards/euro-and-dollar-prepaid-cards-reviewed/
Report Percy Filth • January 29, 2015 2:15 PM GMT
There is no 1.34 available anywhere, I have just got some at just over 1.31.
Where exactly have you got 1.34 from?
Report blackbarn • January 29, 2015 2:25 PM GMT
The £/Euro Exchange Rate has hit 1.34 several times over the last few days/weeks.  I have no idea what rate the original poster meant or others on here, BUT you are presumably referring to the Tourist purchase rate, which is not quite the same thing, as you have discovered.
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 2:42 PM GMT
https://www.mastercard.com/global/currencyconversion/

I get 1.341 according to the above link.  Is this the rate I get on my Halifax clarity card?
Report Breedingmad • January 29, 2015 3:23 PM GMT
Once the QE is released you might get 1.5 plusExcited
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 3:25 PM GMT
Yeah and you might not.  Seriously who actually knows?
Report Breedingmad • January 29, 2015 3:32 PM GMT
QE Should devalue the Euro
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 3:34 PM GMT
It might be already priced in.  It might not.  All glorified guessers.  It is inconceivable that predicting the future of money markets is actually that simple.
Report Breedingmad • January 29, 2015 3:40 PM GMT
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/jan/25/devaluation-discord-currenci...
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 3:44 PM GMT
Since the credit crunch I’ve taken a fair bit of time out to learn more about economics and finances and stuff.  Before then don’t reckon I even knew the difference between national debt and national deficit.  Not saying this in any way makes me an expert but having read articles in left leaning newspapers and tory newspapers, that house price crash thread on financials forum, houspricecrash.co.uk forums, bbc business news one thing I have learned is that the confidence and articulacy with which someone makes an assertion is in no way related to the chances they are actually fkin right, and virtually none of them admit when they are wrong.  Inflation, deflation, Quantitive Easing, hyperflation, double dip, loaf of bread gonna cost ten million quid, stagflation, housepricecrash, triple dip, runs on the pound, 10 million unemployed, FIAT bubbles, dead cat bounce, FTSE in freefall, the end of the western world, etc etc They are all just glorified guessers.
Since 2007 I am guessing average inflation is around 2-3%.  House prices within about 5% now of what they were in 2007.  The pound vs a basket of currencies – has it changed much?  Unemployment probably gone up a bit.
Report Breedingmad • January 29, 2015 3:52 PM GMT
I enjoy watching Richard D Woolf,Peter Schiff,Max Keiser and my fav Mark Blyth.I also have read a lot on the net
on various websites.
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 3:56 PM GMT
Have you noticed how often very articulate pundits get it totally and absolutely wrong?
Report Breedingmad • January 29, 2015 4:00 PM GMT
Yes,When Peter Schiff told them the housing bubble would burst they all laughed at him.
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 4:21 PM GMT
House Prices went down 20% I think from about autumn 2007 to summer 2009.  They then went up about 10% in a year. according to Halifax.  What exactly did Peter Schiff predict.  and who is "all"?
Report rob_dylan • January 29, 2015 4:26 PM GMT
that housepricecrash website doesn't even bother updating the latest HPs now.  They stopped last summer, still quote the figures but just up to July 2014.  Some very knowledgeable people on there but they all disappear/go quiet when things don't go their way.  Wouldn't shut up about how you have to buy gold a couple of years ago, gold has dropped in the last two years and HPs gone up, no one ever admits they are/were wrong.
Report Breedingmad • January 29, 2015 4:29 PM GMT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LfascZSTU4o
Report brendanuk1 • January 29, 2015 4:37 PM GMT
unless you have insights into future foreign exchange markets, buy them when you need them
Report brendanuk1 • January 29, 2015 4:41 PM GMT
sell your unused ones on ebay Grin

.
http://www.ebay.ie/itm/20-Euros-Left-Over-Holiday-Money-20-Banknote-/371246145587?pt=UK_Coins_Banknotes_GL&ha****m566ffea033
Report bigmo • January 30, 2015 6:36 AM GMT
I've always found every year that whatever rate the Post Office offers we can beat it by 3 or 4 ticks by changing our money over there. Having said that I don't know if the PO is value.
Report bigmo • January 30, 2015 6:37 AM GMT
That is compared to the links you guys are suggesting.
Report Clouseau • January 30, 2015 10:48 AM GMT
rob_dylan 29 Jan 15 15:56
Have you noticed how often very articulate pundits get it totally and absolutely wrong?


The problem with the financial markets is that one can be 100% correct in one's analysis but if all the other idiots get it wrong then you are fecked. Plain
Report PatraTheCat • January 30, 2015 4:56 PM GMT
Very good points made by Rob Dylan on this thread.

Of course, the OP asks a reasonable question and it's one worthy of speculation and discussion, but the reason I'd advise him not to take it at all seriously is as follows:

If the people on this thread could correctly deduce that the £/€ cross would probably rise to, say, 1.40 by the end of March, then it would be blindingly obvious to professional currency speculators and investors. They would therefore go long on the £/€ cross (i.e. buy pounds/sell euros) until it was pushed up to 1.40. This hasn't happened.

If today's £/€ rate is 1.33, then an amateur's best guess as to what it will be in six months time is 1.33 (with a minor adjustment for interest rates, I think).
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