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treble
28 Dec 14 12:00
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Date Joined: 17 Jan 08
| Topic/replies: 12,392 | Blogger: treble's blog
an Air Asia plane has disappeared into the sea near Singapore. 155 passengers, including 6 children and 6 crew. Nothing can be found and the searched called off. Obviously all 201 souls have perished.

RIP to them all.
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Report treble • December 28, 2014 12:03 PM GMT
Correction -16 kids on board.
Report treble • December 28, 2014 12:06 PM GMT
Another correction -got it right now. 162 on board Including 16 kids and 1 infant.
Report Make my hay • December 28, 2014 12:16 PM GMT
The missing jet had requested a "deviation" from the flight path due to storm clouds, AirAsia said.
Report Make my hay • December 28, 2014 12:19 PM GMT
2014  Update - accidents and incidents involving commercial aircraft...

    February 16 – Nepal Airlines Flight 183, a de Havilland Canada DHC-6, crashes near Khidim about 74 kilometres southwest of Pokhara, Nepal, killing all 18 people on board.
    February 17 – Ethiopian Airlines Flight 702, a Boeing 767, is hijacked by the co-pilot while en route from Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, to Rome, Italy, but lands safely at Geneva, Switzerland. All 202 passengers and crew aboard are unharmed.
    March 8 – Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, a Boeing 777 en route from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing with 227 passengers and 12 crew on board, disappears from radar over the Gulf of Thailand.
    July 17 – Malaysia Airlines Flight 17, a Boeing 777 en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, is shot down over eastern Ukraine, killing all 283 passengers and 15 crew on board in the deadliest civilian airliner shootdown incident.
    July 23 – TransAsia Airways Flight 222, an ATR-72 en route from Kaohsiung to Penghu, Taiwan, crashes during go-around, killing 48 of the 58 people on board.
    July 24 – Air Algérie Flight 5017, a chartered Swiftair McDonnell Douglas MD-83 operating for Air Algérie en route from Burkina Faso to Algiers, crashes in the northern Mali desert after disappearing from radar approximately 50 minutes after takeoff, killing all 112 passengers and 6 crew members on board.
    August 10 – Sepahan Airlines Flight 5915, a HESA IrAn-140 (an Antonov An-140 built under license) crashes shortly after takeoff from Mehrabad International Airport, Iran, killing 39 of the 48 people on board.
    December 28– Indonesia AirAsia Flight 8501, an Airbus A320 was en route from Surabaya to Singapore with 155 passengers and 7 crew on board, when contact was lost with the aircraft.
Report David Fishwick Minibus Sales • December 28, 2014 12:26 PM GMT
Tommy Toes to be questioned?
Report dustybin • December 28, 2014 12:53 PM GMT
called search off for the night.
Seems a bit early, yes its dark but surely they could do something?
that suggests to me they aint confident of finding survivors
how do you tell the family at the airport that they aint searching for em?
Report rob_dylan • December 28, 2014 7:12 PM GMT
Any more of this nonsense and I am gonna refuse to fly again.  Is that three major flights, with proper westernised airlines, gone down in a year.  Or have I missed one?  Fk that.
Report rob_dylan • December 28, 2014 8:59 PM GMT
You didnt look very hard Leopard.  Fair enough if you look and miss it, but just saying you couldnt be bothered to look properly so started your own thread.... Well.
Report The Leopard • December 28, 2014 8:59 PM GMT
Here, found it
Report The Leopard • December 28, 2014 9:01 PM GMT
Just got in before me.
Report rob_dylan • December 28, 2014 9:02 PM GMT
Surprising how few posts.  Are we all "missing aeroplane" fatigued after just two in a year?
Report TheBetterBettor • December 28, 2014 9:30 PM GMT
rob_dylan • December 28, 2014 7:12 PM GMT
Any more of this nonsense and I am gonna refuse to fly again.  Is that three major flights, with proper westernised airlines, gone down in a year.  Or have I missed one?  Fk that.


total worldwide aviation deaths in 2014 = 1212

total UK deaths resulting from car crashes, 2014 = over 2000

youre better off travelling by plane
Report Steamship • December 28, 2014 9:36 PM GMT
Not on the A1 your not.
Report The Leopard • December 30, 2014 12:14 PM GMT
President Widodo gives press conference with 20 people round him.....10 bodyguards maybe?
Report The Leopard • December 30, 2014 12:22 PM GMT
According to The Economist, Jokowi Widodo "has a penchant for loud rock music" and once owned a bass guitar signed by Robert Trujillo of heavy-metal band Metallica.[51] He claims to be a fan of Metallica, Lamb of God, Led Zeppelin and Napalm Death, a grindcore band that is known for their utilitarian, liberal political views. Napalm Death also congratulated the president on their Facebook fan page recently.[52] In 2 November 2013, while he was the Governor of Jakarta, he was seen in the rock festival Rock in Solo, at Surakarta, in casual dress. It was the second time he was seen in this rock festival, with the first being in 2011's Rock in Solo.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 1:14 PM GMT
Travelling by plane is not as they claim the safest form of transport,it is the most dangerous...it is covered up in they way they calculate the statistics.
Report Aunty Post • December 30, 2014 1:33 PM GMT
Travelling by plane is not as they claim the safest form of transport

Not for a second contesting what you say, but is there a source of info that we can look at please?
Report YOMOMMA • December 30, 2014 1:37 PM GMT
Travelling by Bus is far more dangerous. It's full of drunk crackers vomiting their kebabs.
Report The Leopard • December 30, 2014 1:39 PM GMT
I should think it is the safest by chances of death per mile travelled.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 1:45 PM GMT
Aunty Post it is simply in how they do the mathematics. The safety record eg when comparing aircraft to car travel is calculated on the miles traveled not on the no. of journeys.
Therefore if a plane travels say 5000 miles that may be only one trip and yet it could be many hundreds of car journeys over maybe a year.
Therefore it is almost inevitable that plane travel will appear to be very safe when using miles traveled when in fact it is not, just the opposite.
It is a subtle way of covering up the facts..the statistics should be based on no. of journeys, not miles travelled.
Report Platini • December 30, 2014 1:49 PM GMT
are you seriously claiming that there are more air accidents per journey, than car accidents per journey ????
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 1:54 PM GMT
Who mentioned accidents?
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 1:57 PM GMT
The point is nearly everyone has been involved in some sort of car accident..but this not make cars less safe, quite the opposite.
Report Platini • December 30, 2014 2:17 PM GMT
This is really interesting and a classic case of how stats are used and abused to make your point depending on which side of the fence you're standing. I looked up the numbers and sure enough the air travel stats are completely misleading because they're based on miles travelled. A more accurate measure would be by time/hours but even that isn't reliable, so per journey is the fairest way to compare them.

It turns out that there are a lot more fatalities (12-15 times more) in air travel then car travel, per journey. So car travel is safer then ?   NO, and here's why.... Air travel journeys have around 100 times more people than car journeys, on average. You can argue with the number (I'm basing it on average of around 200 passengers on a flight versus 2 people in a car) but you can be sure it's an awful lot bigger than 12-15 times as many. When you factor this in, air travel is much safer than car travel.

And let's not get started on motorbikes where fatality rates absolutely dwarf all the other transport modes put together Scared
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 2:23 PM GMT
The no. of people in an aircraft should not be factored in, it is the no of fatalities per journey that any individual may make. It is not logical to say because 100 people died in an aircrash and 110 people died in 50 car crashes then air travel is safer.
Report call me a taxi • December 30, 2014 2:25 PM GMT
No man has ever been killed in a car crash while wearing one blue sock, one red sock, one size 8 shoe, one size 12 wellington boot, a ra-ra skirt and an alice band, while eating cheese on toast.

Conform and live longer.

Simples.

(I would, but I can't stand cheese)
Report Platini • December 30, 2014 2:25 PM GMT
of course it is.

It's like gambling. play the percentages. There's less chance of an accident/fatality on a plane than in a car.
Report Platini • December 30, 2014 2:26 PM GMT
^logical, I mean.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 2:29 PM GMT
The % say there is a higher chance of injury/fatality on a plane than any other form of public transport.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 2:30 PM GMT
Including cars.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 2:34 PM GMT
Look at it this way say there was one aircraft accident and one car accident, and in both 2 people died. the aircraft had travelled 1000 miles and the car 10 miles. Would you then claim, as they do, that air travel was 100 times safer then cars
Report Platini • December 30, 2014 2:46 PM GMT
No, of course not. The distance travelled is irrelevant.

But you do have to factor in the number of people being carried.
Put it this way, if cars carried the same number of passengers as planes, the number of fatalities would rival world wars.
Report Aunty Post • December 30, 2014 2:52 PM GMT
That's a very good point Platini.

The one thing I am thinking is that if air travel was that dangerous, how do the cabin crew com to terms with it?
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 2:53 PM GMT
Cars carry many more passengers every day, just not in the same car. This is why you must base it on the number of people, no. of trips.
If cars were bigger and carried more people there would be less off them and therefore less accident.(and maybe would be called a bus)
Report rob_dylan • December 30, 2014 3:04 PM GMT
The most important statistic isnt causualties per mile or casualties per journey but casualties per hour.  Simples.
Report Platini • December 30, 2014 3:06 PM GMT
We can argue about stats all day long. But I just know I feel safer in a plane. Roads are dangerous places because there are too many nutters who either can't drive properly or won't drive sensibly. I've seen loads of road accidents, and a couple of fatalities on the road - and I don't even drive !
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 3:09 PM GMT
Exactly, and aircraft fly much quicker than cars travel and people spend more time in cars then on planes.
Report rob_dylan • December 30, 2014 3:15 PM GMT
Per hour planes are safer than cars.  That is the important statistic.

Buses are safest generally.  Which is good news for me.
Report Platini • December 30, 2014 3:18 PM GMT
yep. buses are safest. (excluding nightbuses of course Wink  )

motorbikes are the most dangerous by a country mile
bicycles are 2nd most dangerous
Report laroche • December 30, 2014 3:20 PM GMT
The problem of comparing accident rates between different modes of transport has a long history of circularity. Try comparing cars with bicycles and watch the same problems come up. Throw in pedestrians and.....

Perhaps better to isolate the modes and compare each with itself over time. It doesn't tell us which is safer, but it does tell us whether things are getting better or worse. In the cases of both car and air travel safety has improved.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 3:23 PM GMT
Per hour planes are less safe than cars, trains, or buses.
Report TheBetterBettor • December 30, 2014 3:24 PM GMT
No one flys a ryanair to go to the shops
Report rob_dylan • December 30, 2014 3:37 PM GMT
Wikipedia says 30 deaths per billion hours for air travel.  130 per billion hours per car.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 3:37 PM GMT
Flying at a rough estimate has between 30 and 40 times more fatalities per hour spent as driving.
Report rob_dylan • December 30, 2014 3:38 PM GMT
And you accuse the airlines of being sly with statistics.  Pot calling kettle black.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 3:39 PM GMT
When compared on a mile per mile basis flying is about 9 times more dangerous...and this is taking into account pedestrians killed in car accidents.
Report laroche • December 30, 2014 4:00 PM GMT
You're trying to compare modes of transport which travel at different speeds, over widely varying distances, carry very different numbers of passengers and which are not alternatives to each other in any case.

Which one's best - Usain Bolt or Stephen Hawking?
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 4:05 PM GMT
Flight magazine 2004...Is flying really safer than driving ?

fatalities per 1000 hours flown or driven(USA)
2.1 general aviation
1.25 commercial aviation
0.06 motor vehicles

This makes general aviation 35 times more fatal than driving and
airlines 21 times more fatal.
Report rob_dylan • December 30, 2014 4:10 PM GMT
Are you multiplying the aviation figure by the number of passengers per flight?  If so why?  That is just fiddling with statistics to prove your point. 

I have possibly spent 500 or more hours on planes, by your stats I should have died.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 4:12 PM GMT
The no. of passengers per flight is not part of the equation, it is simply hours spent flying compared to hours spent driving.
Report boxingthefox • December 30, 2014 4:13 PM GMT
“There are three degrees or classes of lies; there are lies, damned lies and statistics.” ......apparently Plain
Report lmfao • December 30, 2014 4:14 PM GMT
In a couple of weeks i set off for a jaunt- 4 x Malaysian long haul flights + 2 x shorter Air Asia.

Oh well.....
Report boxingthefox • December 30, 2014 4:16 PM GMT
lmfao, are you taking in Singapore on your jaunt.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 4:16 PM GMT
Strangely I enjoy flying and don`t like driving.
Report YOMOMMA • December 30, 2014 4:17 PM GMT
I'd rather use Malaysian airlines every time I fly rather than use a bus. At least on a plane I know I am safe from drunken chavs who can't handle their drink.
Report lfc1971 • December 30, 2014 4:32 PM GMT
Rob you can relax the figures should read per 100 thousand hours and not 1000, sorry my mistake Happy
Report lmfao • December 30, 2014 4:35 PM GMT
boxingfox-

possibly - we'll probably nip over to east malaysia from kl - but its been a while since i've looked at singapore so we could visit for a few days
years back i was involved in somework on Santosa and i've half a mind to see the result!
Report rob_dylan • December 30, 2014 4:45 PM GMT
KL to Medan in Indonesia is 1 hour flight, cost me about thirty quid.  Forty quid taxi journey to Bukit Lawang in the middle of the sumatran rainforest.  Accommodation is peanuts.  Forty quid for a two day trek to see Orangutans and plenty of other animals in the wild.  That is what I would do if I had a few days spare in KL.
Report rob_dylan • December 30, 2014 4:46 PM GMT
Wiki says that the ratio is 130/30 deaths per unit time cars/plane. 

Your figures sound very dubious.
Report breadnbutter • December 30, 2014 5:25 PM GMT
This Air Asia Airbus 32O has indeed crashed into the sea with at least  40 bodies recovered so far .

Early speculation surrounds it climbing to avoid a thunderstorm being and a suggestions it was not travelling fast enough in the climb and could have stalled resulting in complete loss of control .Plane has a good record up to now ,hopefully the black boxes are recovered soon and a crash investigation is completed quickly although a year would be a minimum .Although a preliminary report could be out after 6 months or so .Must still be plenty hardware in the area from the still missing MH-370 but not sure what sort of depth the sea is .
Report Coachbuster • December 30, 2014 7:32 PM GMT
total worldwide aviation deaths in 2014 = 1212

total UK deaths resulting from car crashes, 2014 = over 2000

youre better off travelling by plane
________________

most car deaths are self inflicted
Report paulypaul • December 30, 2014 7:42 PM GMT
I'd sooner go down and die in a plane crash than a  fast car crash....
I always feel a lot more vunerable going 70+ on a motorway than on a plane because of someone else's carp driving taking me out.
Report Coachbuster • December 30, 2014 8:41 PM GMT
tbf pauly ,you're  safer on the motorway .

try driving around Wales for  a week - total lunatics in that place  -  not safe
Report breadnbutter • December 30, 2014 8:53 PM GMT
whats the per journey figures ,there is 34m vehicles in the uk .
would really only be fair liking commercial  passenger vehicles ,Taxis and buses and trains (professionally driven)in like for like journeys imo ,the stat of miles traveled is massively  biased in air travels favor.


would like to see the true plane v car pollution stats as well ,one plane taking off must be equal to thousands and thousands  of car journeys .
Report Torquemada • December 31, 2014 12:13 AM GMT
Of course flying is more dangerous than driving.  The stats rolled out to the contrary are always bollocks of the first order.  In one you're travelling up to 100mph in a metal box on the ground, in the other you're travelling up to 500mph in a metal tube 35,000ft in the air.  Any old fool can see which is more dangerous, but the airline statiticians like to put a comforting spin on things to suit their own ends.
Report Platini • December 31, 2014 12:07 PM GMT
that argument doesn't work because of traffic
it's other cars that make driving more dangerous.
Report stickyvicky • December 31, 2014 1:09 PM GMT
Oi, Oi, Tony Fernandez Air asia owner off loaded nearly a million shares in Air Asia travel passenger insurance company days before the accident ?

http://www.tarnews.co.za/airasia-ceo-tony-fernandes-cynically-dumped-shares-days-before-flight-disappeared/
Report The Leopard • December 31, 2014 1:24 PM GMT
Fernandes decision to dump the shares less than a week before AirAsia Flight QZ8501 disappeared over the Java Sea prompted some to speculate that he may have had prior knowledge of the incident.

“Did Fernandes know his company stock was about to take a hit? The timing is suspicious,” asks Heavy.com, adding, “If so, it indicates knowledge of an impending attack on AirAsia.”

The International Business Times adds that the move has prompted many to voice the theory that Fernandes, “possibly knew about an impending attack on one of the company’s aircraft.”
Report lfc1971 • December 31, 2014 1:29 PM GMT
Quite amazing the rubbish people will believe, ample evidence on this thread that the working classes are not capable of logical thought!
Report The Leopard • December 31, 2014 1:53 PM GMT
S*d that....what about the new info???
Report stickyvicky • December 31, 2014 2:11 PM GMT
What, the info of the dead passenger recovered wearing a life jacket even though there was no emergency message sent out by the captains to air traffic control ?
Report Clouseau • January 1, 2015 1:10 PM GMT
Shirley should compare like for like: numbers killed on car journey to airport vs. killed on that plane journey.
Report BARROWBOY • January 1, 2015 1:19 PM GMT
transfer window opening for epl maybe Fernandez wanted to free up some funds for that
Report Coachbuster • January 1, 2015 2:33 PM GMT
the only fair way to do it is to compare time spent in each - i mean you wouldn't go to the supermarket by airbus ,or drive to Sydney .

everyone on earth (except airline staff)  spends more of their life in a car than a plane  .

i would say if you spent equal time in both you would still die sooner in a car .

  maybe you'd reach 4,000 years of age or 50 lifetimes ?  before death  in a car ,20,000 years maybe  in a plane - assuming around 1 hour per day in each .

maybe someone knows the figures
Report The Leopard • January 1, 2015 2:40 PM GMT
In the end :

It doesn't matter.
Report Coachbuster • January 1, 2015 3:04 PM GMT
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transportation_safety_in_the_United_States
_______________

minute for minute , the likelihood of death is around 2 to 5 x greater in the car  (on an airport run ,depending on the route to the airport) )

driving around town would be safer at the lower speeds i'd guess

so i'm gonna say around 3x  overall as most driving time  is urban  driving
Report lfc1971 • January 1, 2015 5:49 PM GMT
Coachbuster the wiki statistics have been incorrectly calculated.

Taking their US figures..
fatalities 1.5 per 100 million vehicle miles and
fatalities 1.9 per 100,000 flt hrs

If we take 40 miles per hour for cars this equates to 2.5
million vehicle hours, therefore
1.5 deaths per 2.5 million vehicle hours and
1.9 deaths per 100,000 flt. hours.

Although there may be more fatalities when a single aircraft crashes this should not be taken into account because also more do not when an aircraft travels safely.
Report Coachbuster • January 1, 2015 9:01 PM GMT
lfc - are you not getting confused with the flight figures ?


commercial airliners are safer , other aircraft are less safe
Report acquiesce12 • January 1, 2015 11:37 PM GMT
f uck me, one of the most boring dialogues I've ever read on here, I would imaging most of you are either stamp collectors or plane spottersLaugh
Report Hamsterdam • January 2, 2015 1:38 AM GMT
Buses and trams are both safer modes of transport than Planes.

So planes being the safest mode of transport is indeed a myth.

They are infinitely safer than driving though whichever method you use to work it out whether it be miles or time.

If you drive you have a 1 in 48 chance of your method of dying being a car crash!
Report lfc1971 • January 2, 2015 8:44 AM GMT
Even if true a 1 in 48 chance of dying in a car crash would not of its self make driving more dangerous than flying or even buses or trams.
Report breadnbutter • January 3, 2015 1:19 AM GMT
Malaysia  alone to have one disappear  and one shot down must be a big odds but Southeast Asia to lose THREE  in a year must be lottery odds and more
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