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Mc Moonbeam
15 Aug 14 23:03
Joined:
Date Joined: 22 Sep 05
| Topic/replies: 13,366 | Blogger: Mc Moonbeam's blog
Gets underway tomorrow with Chelsea looking fairly strong Favs

anybody had any early bets or will you be waiting to see how it pans out ?

all the BBC Pundits choices here  Happy 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/28778605

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Replies: 35
By:
call me a taxi
When: 15 Aug 14 23:04
I know somebody who lays the rags at the bottom at 1000.
He can afford it, and it's safe money.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 15 Aug 14 23:09
no. always the worst division to bet on without a doubt.

the odds are so poor compared to the other divisions. obviously the argument is there are only 4 or 5 teams who can win it, thats why the odds are so short. but are there really many more who can win the other divisions? the difference is in the premier the no hopers are 1000.0 whereas in the other divisions theyre 25.0. which means the prices on the realistic teams are a lot shorter than in other divisions.
By:
Emden
When: 15 Aug 14 23:11
^^pretty much spot on
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 15 Aug 14 23:15
Yep it would be safe Cmat, but is it really worth the rewards Confused
By:
themightymac
When: 15 Aug 14 23:21
I`ve bet Everton @ 170 which is a massive price and fully expect to lay back for a nice profit by Xmas. They have the best manager in the league, top players and play quality football. I`ll keep the top 6 bet all the way.
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 15 Aug 14 23:23
I agree bob
It's a very tough league to find any kind of value & i've tried for years , not always so easy to get the winner at the right time either , the lead changed hands 27 times last season !!


I've been keeping my eye on the Championship & League 1's results to get a view but still waiting for now for some value
By:
sideshowbob
When: 15 Aug 14 23:25
just looking now in the championship

bournemouth 20
ipswich 23
leeds 44
wolves 23
brighton 38
sheff wed 70
millwall 70
charlton 80

none of those have any realistic chance of winning the division, theyre only that short cos naive or hopeful fans of all those teams will back them. you could actually dutch the first 9 or 10 in the betting and still make a profit on any of em. not that any sane person would do that, but it just shows the difference in value compared to the premier. ok maybe wolves have the slimmest chance. maybe. but im not convinced sheff wed at 75 or charlton at 80 have any more chance of winning the championship than stoke do of winning the premiership. theyve all got basically no chance whatsoever.
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 15 Aug 14 23:30
when the value's more evenly spread like that the value is more in the finding the fav's Cool
By:
irishone
When: 15 Aug 14 23:32
Liverpool and arsenal the value at present
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 15 Aug 14 23:32
I did fancy Cardiff but not entirely sure on them now , then considered Fulham but they're a young inexperienced team now
By:
sideshowbob
When: 15 Aug 14 23:32
it is indeed. obviously thats the hard bit!

im mainly on derby, not right convinced though. waiting for a few more games until i commit a bit more.
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 15 Aug 14 23:34
I think Arsenal look a good team this season but won't win , City could win if they get their act together early , just not convinced on Chelsea for favs but do look a good solid team

Think Liverpool have had their chances , same for Utd
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 15 Aug 14 23:45
yep Derby are always a good bet & seem to have started well enough , as you say you can always afford to back a few teams if need be in the chamionship Happy
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 15 Aug 14 23:59
gl with Everton Mac , i agree it's a fair price to trade at just not sure they'll go close enough again
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 16 Aug 14 00:05
As long as Palace don't get relegated I don't care who wins.
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 16 Aug 14 00:11
Sacking Tony Pullis was a bit of a shock slippy !Scared!
By:
sideshowbob
When: 16 Aug 14 00:13
im contemplating over whether palace to go down is a cracking bet or not. i hate backing teams to go down though, only takes a few wins and the team who looked in trouble are halfway up the league!
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 16 Aug 14 00:18
I used to target Premiership Relegation as one of my main bets but it's extremely difficult to get right by backing pre-season bob , even more so nowadays like you say a good start & people just panic , plus there's never enough money on Betfair to cover yourself if need to lay out
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 16 Aug 14 00:29
if it was a liquid market like the winner market it would be a lot easier , but most big bets have to be at bookies
By:
sideshowbob
When: 16 Aug 14 00:35
too true blue.

the liquididity sucks donkey balls. you have a bet, you need a miracle to get out of it. so it severely limits what you can do, what chances you can take.
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 16 Aug 14 04:29
might get a few quid on derby Cool

you think they'll drift much if they don't win tomorrow (sheff weds away) or next week away ?
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 16 Aug 14 13:05
October is the time to start football betting
By:
themightymac
When: 16 Aug 14 13:28
Thanks Mcmoonbeam and good luck to you too. Happy
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 16 Aug 14 17:24
Palace away to Arsenal starting shortly. A point would be good but I'm not too hopeful. Swansea winning at Old Trafford must have been a right coupon buster and Man Utd are out to 9.6 already Shocked
By:
Ovalman.
When: 16 Aug 14 17:48
UTD will be top three at least imo.

I like Burton's thinking btw. Plenty of time for shocks at the start of the season.
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 16 Aug 14 18:05
Palace lead 1-0 with there first attempt on target Grin
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 16 Aug 14 18:09
*their* Blush What an incredible result this will be.
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 16 Aug 14 20:29
did you decide to give it a miss Slippy?
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 16 Aug 14 20:38
I was never planning on
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 16 Aug 14 20:39
..going to this game B-B, I'm sorted for Newcastle on the 29th. Palace deserved a draw I thought, oh well the relegation fight is on..
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 17 Aug 14 21:49
a predictable mediocre start

City look in form , Utd don't Plain

Leicester look like they're gonna battle

I haven't had a bet on the matches yet , don't really fancy this Premiership too much , picking the winner's the only plunge

I'm with you trying to to pick the lower league winners instead bobWink
By:
Emden
When: 17 Aug 14 21:52
utd always seem to start slow but even so, can't see them doing anything of note this year.
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 17 Aug 14 21:57
they haven't lost their opening match for 27 years or so though , very poor team this season imo , they're been talked down rotten by the media also which can't help them at all Emden
By:
Emden
When: 17 Aug 14 22:03
they haven't lost their opening match for 27 years

interesting fact Mac.

Not a massive football fan, but I think the utd team need a complete rebuild, and need to stop relying so heavily on Rooney
By:
call me a taxi
When: 17 Aug 14 23:21
First bet of the new season - Arsenal Liverpool Man City treble

It won't last.
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