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Ibrahima Sonko
30 Jan 10 20:16
Joined:
Date Joined: 03 Jun 07
| Topic/replies: 78,568 | Blogger: Ibrahima Sonko's blog
Right i am not here to be big or clever.

I am a minor player on here but i am about to put 1k on federer to win tomorrow. I have have placed 3 £500 bets before with a 33% strike rate but with betfair the loses were not that bad.

I mainly bet with 10,20&50's.

Fed ticks every box i have put up.

Someone put me off.

tia

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Replies: 176
By:
pox doctors clerk
When: 30 Jan 10 20:16
you will win
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:17
do you watch tennis?
By:
madsimon
When: 30 Jan 10 20:17
whos he playing?
By:
Trading Places
When: 30 Jan 10 20:18
fed will win, murray may give him a game..5 sets.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:18
I watch tennis but not an expert.
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:19
fed may well win, but he certainly doesnt warrant having your biggest bet ever on, murray is a tennis genius
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 30 Jan 10 20:19
3-1 Fed imo.

Murray will start slowly, lose the opening set, fight back..take the second before succumbing in 4.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:19
Murray wobbles at the start of these sort of games and he is known to tire.


I just think fed & nad are light years above the rest when 100%
By:
mitchell downie
When: 30 Jan 10 20:21
i'm backing both of them to win 3-1
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 30 Jan 10 20:22
Will you trade out for a loss if he's wo bb l i n g a bit ?
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:24
But fed could win 6-2 6-2 6-2 without even sweating.

I may lose my money but murray is 22 and both of the top two had won many titles by then, it doesnt add up that murray should be peaking now.

I know murray can play brilliant tennis but has never done it at the highest level...
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:24
murray wont tire in this match, he has had a relatively easy run in.. a couple of days off.
I fancy him to take fed down, murray has matured so much since his last slam final.
murray may wobble at the beginning, but if it gets tight, thats when federer normally wobbles, and murray really does have the game to beat fed
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:26
federer was only a year younger than murray is now when he won his first slam.. and then he didnt have the competition that murray has now
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 30 Jan 10 20:26
murray's a right donk imo

but knowing my luck he'd be talk of the town after my biggest bet Ever goes down
By:
STEPTOES YARD
When: 30 Jan 10 20:26
If you are to go ahead with it and are confident that over the length of match fed will do the business it might be best not to watch the game IS.
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:27
i just cant see why any1 would decide to choose this match to have their biggest bet ever
By:
STEPTOES YARD
When: 30 Jan 10 20:28
I must admit I dont bet much on tennis but the retirement rule on betfair after 1st set was done would freak me out of big bets.

I know the chances of a retirement injury are slim but it wouldnt sit well with me.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:28
I was praying for someone to tell me that murray has spent less time on the court or lost less sets.


Fed always takes it easy during the early rounds, he treats it as practice. Murray goes all out to win and thats why i think Fed is such a good bet.

Fed is the master of a tournament , he paces himself.
By:
DaveEdwards
When: 30 Jan 10 20:29
Ibrahima Sonko 30 Jan 21:18
I watch tennis but not an expert.

...........................................................................

In that case perhaps this isn't the time to plunge. Good luck whatever you choose to do.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:30
I wont watch early on (nap)

Fed wins unless something abnormal happens
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 30 Jan 10 20:30
don't listen to the Claire Balding types on here .. PLONKITON
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:32
Thanks for the replies, i thought this fred would drop off.

I just think the price is a once of a life time, should be below 1.35
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:32
there would be nothing abnormal with murray winning, he isnt some mug you know.
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:33
below 1.35? i guess the answer to my first question is no :)
By:
madsimon
When: 30 Jan 10 20:34
i think fed is value -whether a grand bet is right depends only if you can afford to lose it without too much angst
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 30 Jan 10 20:37
he isnt some mug you know.

REALLY ?
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 30 Jan 10 20:37
tbh you don't get rich lumping on 1.35 shots though
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 30 Jan 10 20:38
if you do .. trade out 1.07 sonko
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:39
Thanks guys.

& good luck whatever you do.

I still think fed should be below 1.35 giving the history/form.
By:
Andy Murray
When: 30 Jan 10 20:42
murray has winning h2h with fed
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 20:45
I am glad you brought that up am.

My view is that that grand slams is where the form is, imo fed uses the other tournaments as warm ups.

Murray has beaten nad twice in the slams ?
By:
Mc Moonbeam
When: 30 Jan 10 20:53
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/tennis/8489107.stm
By:
madsimon
When: 30 Jan 10 20:54
have you put your bag of sand on yet?
By:
Gary Binosh
When: 30 Jan 10 20:57
I backed Federer outright at 11/4 pre tourny


and all ill say is, i still havent and wont be laying out

Thats my opinion. I do however hope murray wins, so should you do this bet, i wont be cheering it on, im sorry to say, but i think Federer will win, and we will both profit
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 21:05
11/4 fair play to you.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 30 Jan 10 21:07
Plaiced it at 2.64 abt 5 mins ago.
By:
madsimon
When: 30 Jan 10 21:08
isn't that murrys price?
By:
If Its Wet Drink It
When: 30 Jan 10 21:12
LOL
By:
ImSoLuckyLucky!
When: 30 Jan 10 21:15
11/4 Federrer

Your joking

Couldny have been that price

:)
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