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Im wondering what Paddy know about these two.
In the context of a Cross Country Chase, I thought Alelchi Inois ran a brilliant race yesterday... 20 odd lengths behind Djakadam looks pretty solid in a race of this quality. He has been cut to as low as 7/1 in places yet PP are a clear stand out at 14/1? Wonder if the fact he ran in this yesterday means there has been a change of plan? |
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Ballyboker Bridge @ 50/1 on Skybet is, IMO, the absolute stand out EW AP bet of the festival at this stage.
Travels and jumps so well in his races. I thought he ran a credible 5th last year and was very impressed when he beat Cantlow by 8 lengths in January at Punchestown. He ran well in the La Touche Cup behind Quantitativeeasing & Cantlow with a mistake 3 out costing him his chance - still ran on well. Cantlow got the better of him by 2 lengths in the Risk Of Thunder Chase the other day, but ultimately there are 13 horses ahead of him in the market and he has beaten most of them. What I cannot understand is why the other Peter Maher horse, Mtada Supreme, is 16/1 whilst Ballyboker Bridge is 50/1?? Mtada Supreme finished behind Ballyboker Bridge at the end of 2015 at Cheltenham, behind him in January at Punchestown this year and has since been stepped down in trip to under 2m5f, indicating that the CCC wont even be the target race. If this horse was trained by E Bolger or W P Mullins then there is no way you would be seeing 20's let alone 50's. Look at Cantlow - he is 8/1 and Ballyboker Bridge is 50/1, and that certainly does not reflect the chances Ballyboker Bridge has of winning this race. Absolutely loving 50/1, not just because we know the CCC is the main target, but I cannot remember the last time I backed a horse at 50/1 EW that I genuinely thought had a chance of winning. I am a big fan of Josies Orders but I think Ballyboker Bridge can still improve. The in a double with MTOY @ 50's as well. Bring on the gravy!!!! |