Cheltenham Festival
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10 Year Trends for 5 Day 3 races.
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PERTEMPS HURDLE
TOP: DUBAWI ISLAND 94.0% 2ND: CUP FINAL 93.7% 3RD: JOIN THE CLAN 93.3% 3RD: SADDLERS ENCORE 93.3% Tight at the top, and a couple of JP McManus runners in a handicap, with Barry Geraghty on neither. |
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RYANAIR CHASE
TOP: VAUTOUR 92.2% 2ND: ANNACOTTY 89.5% 2ND: TAQUIN DUE SEUIL 89.5% 4TH: ROAD TO RICHES 86.5% 5TH: VILLAGE VIC 86.3% Again, tight at the top, may be worth looking at the "betting without" Vautour markets, or each way, if your fancy is one of those in the trends list at long odds. |
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WORLD HURDLE TOP: ALPHA DES OBEAUX 94.2% 2ND: THISTLECRACK 82.2% 2ND: KILCOOLEY 82.2% 4TH: SAPHIR DU RHEU 73.6% Top rated is well clear of all bar two, and a decent way clear of those, on the stats. May be an interesting alternative to the fav. |
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BROWN ADVISORY PLATE
TOP: FULL SHIFT 100% TOP: LA VATICANE 100% TOP: KINGS LAD 100% 4TH: SALUBRIOUS 90.5% Three fully hitting the trends from past years. All down the bottom of the handicap, and trained by Henderson, Pipe and Tizzard, so could be worth a look at double figure odds. |
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KIM MUIR CHASE
TOP: A GOOD SKIN 93.8% TOP: TOP WOOD 93.8% 3RD: UPSWING 89.5% 4TH: KNOCK HOUSE 86.9% |
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Thanks for work deepingfox, im expecting a big priced winner very soon.
Not knocking your work but how does Alpha Des Obeaux score so highly when he hasnt won a graded race apart from a handicap ? I know he must score highly on trainer, course, form & being french. |
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Its the Graded Hurdle that scores on one of the stats, without it his score drops to 82.5%, similar to the others.
I am personally hoping that A GOOD SKIN, is the one at a long price tomorrow. |
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Thanks and good luck. up the foxes.
I like Dubai Island as it has form on good ground, plus the 1610 handicap stats are right up my street for winning big bucks. |
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And Knock House 20/1 in the last, to double up my chances with A Good Skin at 25's
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I love the combination of Knock House, chelts and the jockey, just think he is 5lbs too high but if it showing signs of riding good ground and i need a placer i may change my mind tomorrow.
gl, im sure they are all ew value as you can still see knock house running on behind the cheaters. |
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2.10 Leave At Dawn
4.10. Stiletto |
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Last year on Thursday at least 3 winners led all the way. Just a thought
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Also why is Indian castle running today when he was pulled out with a cough on Tuesday. Trainer had winner of the last tuesday. If he had a cough, would he be running or was it just, ooh I might sneak into the Kim muir on bottom weight.?interesting to say the least.
Venetia wins the plate for fun. Niceonefrankie showed before Xmas he can win this type of race and then had a couple of runs on deep ground. Has the profile of one of her winners. I feel an ew double coming on |