Been looking at this race since KV injury and cant seem to fathom why this horse is still 12/1 with most firms and a similar price on here.
The horses around him or in front of him in the betting have big question marks to me.
BDM - He's beat twice lumping weight on both occasions on heavy ground and a decent surface. Outlander - Not certain to go for the race. Shaneshill - Not a natural chaser for me and well beaten lto. Sizing John - probs goes arkle according to trainer and j burke. L'Ami Serge - Goes arkle.
His forms seems to stack up well - Doc harper, Regal Encore, BDM all well beaten when getting weight. He's a rock solid 153 hurdler and see him being better over fences.
Yes BDM has obviously improved but this lad looks a natural over his fences and a step up in trip is something he looks likely to improve for, massively for me! gets his head down and gallops and Hobbs/Johnson look set for a decent festival.
I'd love to get on nrnb but fear the wait to do so will see this chap be around 6s or 7s by the time that arrives.