Cheltenham Festival
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Is PaddyPower having a laugh with these odds?
Ruby Walsh is 4/7, Bryan Cooper is 10/1. That is outrageous value on Cooper. If Walsh has the potential to have a better book of rides then, then it's just barely better. There is no way Cooper should be behind Geraghty and McCoy in the betting.
Look at Gigginstown's horses. In the championship races, Cooper can ride Tiger Roll, Bright New Dawn, Lieutenant Colonel & Road To Riches. Don Cossack in the Ryanair.
In the novice hurdles, he has Identity Thief, Milsean, Outlander, No More Heroes, Tell Us More, McKinley & Sub Lieutenant to pick from.
The novice chases: Clarcam, Don Poli, Valseur Lido, Wounded Warrior, Very Wood & Rule The World potential runners in any of the 3 novices open to pro-jockeys.
Also compare what Mullins will have well handicapped for Ruby and what the likes of Elliott, Martin and Mouse Morris could have coming in under the radar. A lot more potential for Cooper to get win a handicap on a Gigginstown runner in a handicap I would think.
Ruby Walsh is 4/7, Bryan Cooper is 10/1. That is outrageous value on Cooper. If Walsh has the potential to have a better book of rides then, then it's just barely better. There is no way Cooper should be behind Geraghty and McCoy in the betting.
Look at Gigginstown's horses. In the championship races, Cooper can ride Tiger Roll, Bright New Dawn, Lieutenant Colonel & Road To Riches. Don Cossack in the Ryanair.
In the novice hurdles, he has Identity Thief, Milsean, Outlander, No More Heroes, Tell Us More, McKinley & Sub Lieutenant to pick from.
The novice chases: Clarcam, Don Poli, Valseur Lido, Wounded Warrior, Very Wood & Rule The World potential runners in any of the 3 novices open to pro-jockeys.
Also compare what Mullins will have well handicapped for Ruby and what the likes of Elliott, Martin and Mouse Morris could have coming in under the radar. A lot more potential for Cooper to get win a handicap on a Gigginstown runner in a handicap I would think.
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Replies: 13
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I agree with the selection but the trouble is all of Coopers are going to be a reasonable price. At what point does it become better value to back the horses in multiples than the top jockey single.
How many winners are we thingking; 4? |
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Ruby is highly likely to have at least two on the board after the first day as well. And it's probably Cooper's worst atm. May be a better bet after that...
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Townend interesting at 50s(not quoted at up to 33s). If Ruby got knocked out he'll be evens tops.Probably wont happen but not a 50-1 shot either
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You gonna knock him out then? He should be 50s at least
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Indeed, given how injury prone Ruby can be, Townend must be the bet @ 50/1.
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Hold your never, he'll be a bigger price after day one. His winners will come later in the week
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Agreed - Coopers winners come later in the week, back him after day 1. I am already primed to do that.
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if coopers 10-1 now that price will only get bigger and has to be a good bet as the week goes on
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Whoooa, hold your horses boys. If you fancy Cooper, you might do better waiting til the Weds/Thurs.
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Townend a great shout. No-one rides Cheltenham like he does. No, really, no-one rides Cheltenham like he does.
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If you compare the 5/2 available for Giggi to be top owner, and the 10/1 for Cooper to be top jockey it's a no brainer.
Unless a lot of their second string win, he'll be on 90% of all the winners they'll have. |
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Doesn't sound like the price will be much bigger on day 2 with us all planning to have a bet
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Fair points that it's worth waiting until the Wednesday as on the face of it, his weakest day looks to be the Tuesday at the moment. Mind you they do have a fair spread of the novices and could win the Supreme, Clarcam would also be as good as any novice around if anything happened Un De Sceaux and I imagine they could have one for the 3m handicap and they'll definitely have somthing for the novices' handicap chase.
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