Cheltenham Festival
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Was at Cheltenham yesterday and loved what I saw with this horse. Watched it again when got home and just loved the way he refused to be beat. Ears were pinned back and he was giving everything up the hill to get past Calipto who he was giving 8 pounds. If you haven't seen it have a look. I know the record of 5 year olds in Champion Hurdle is poor and at the moment he has an OR 150 when probably needs to be minimum 165 to win a Champion but could he improve that much before Festival. His attitude alone gets me past the 5 year old stat concern. Is his OR likely to be raised again after winning yesterday ? And if not Champion Hurdle what other Festival target could he aim for ? At 150 probably already too high for G3 County Hurdle. Reckon if he is going to Festival in 2015 will have to be Champion Hurdle. Am I barking mad ?
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You are banking on improvement but not made I'd say
 the 2nd horse bit over rated imo , unlucky stories last year. Was very surprised at he betting yesterday, even with weight difference. |
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** made = mad
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I think that there are 3 front-runners in the betting FAUGHEEN, THE NEW ONE and JEZKI.
The ones priced behind these all have alternatives, pulling TIGER ROLL right into the mix, when the season establishes, could easily become a 12/1 shot if he wins and improves next time out. Well worth a few quid each way. |
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Not looking like too much strength in depth in the Champion Hurdle at this stage.
Outside of Faugheen, The New One and Jezki; I can only really see Tiger Roll, and possibly Irving that may be able to mix it. I think the latter two are overpriced at 25/1 and 33/1 and look good ew bets to me. No idea if Iriving will start off going down the handicap route, but we'll know around Christmas how good he is if he faces TNO at Kempton. Sadly with no Our Conor, MTOY or the Fly this year, coupled with Vautour, Annie Power and UDS all looking like they may go to different races; we won't have the stellar line up that we did last year. At this stage, I'd have The New One ahead of Jezki, followed by Faugheen. I personally think the market has got the top three mixed up, but at the short odds for all of them, none of them would be for me. |
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You guys are reading it same as me. Basically we are looking at the top 3 in the market being too short to be interesting as an AP proposition and then a significant gap to the next three that will most likely run which are Tiger Roll 25/1, Irving 33/1 and Vaniteux 33/1. Having made a case for Tiger Roll in OP I also quite fancy Vaniteux to improve. Gerraghty opted for Vaniteux over Josses Hill last year in Supreme and I know he has spoken positively about Vaniteux since. There has to be an even money chance one of the top 3 doesn't get there in which case the three mentioned all come in to play EW at big prices. I'm going in …..
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