last instalment 50/50 to run

so 10minutes after he's cleared to run by the BHA, we hear he may not run by the owner cause of the ground. O'learys nose out of joint. I fully expect him to run.

Why do you say OLearys nose out of joint

how do they know what the ground will be ??

cause Olearys a t!t, he was p!issed they felt the need to test his horses, and now they are saying they are good to go, he's just being a tw@t, they are my horses I'll decide if they run, thats pretty much the jist of it.

My clear understanding is that OLeary wrote to the BHA asking them to test the horses.

Always far more likely that the ground rather than the BHA might prevent him running.

A dry, warm week would not be ideal.

The forecasters are predicting practically no rain for the next 10 days

A dry ten days still wont take out 2 months of rain out of the ground that easily, no matter how well the track drains.

I disagree IS. It definitely will!

It always dries out very quickly. Ten days with no rain and highish temps and you would have good to firm by Friday

their certainly won't be any firm in the description whatever happens

Beware. I see a spectre stalking Prestbury Park and what is that I see in the ghouls hand? Is it? Can it be? Surely not? A hosepipe?

There wont be any firm in the description because the hosepipe will be out later in the week

exactly

backed Last Instalment but they have always
said won't run if the ground dries out.

a sure way of getting the taps turned on !

I doubt the watering can will be out too much.....

even though the surface layers will start to dry, underneath will still be sodden... I think someone has already mentioned on another thread the trampoline effect....

Rightly or wrongly, racing authorities would prefer not to have the possibility of Last Instalment winning.

FOYLESWAR
FOYLESWAR 05 Mar 14 17:19 Joined: 09 Jan 11 | Topic/replies: 6,708 | Blogger: FOYLESWAR's blog
a sure way of getting the taps turned on !
Rate reply:
| report block user


Theyre not gonna turn the taps on for one horse lol!!

Nobody wants this horse to win apart from his backers.

Be nice to see the horse run in the Ryanair the day before

Well at least the investigation has been done,results found and the verdict decided.
Now hope the ground don't ruin his chances. Horse aint had much luck in his career,deserves a crack at the festival for sure.

Shame his trainers a ****

You can guess that word..starts with c n ends with t

best staying chaser about Last Instalment.

but I can see them pulling him out
with the drying groung,tbh.

They wont allow it to get too good on the Friday,they will water during the week if they feel the need to.But yes,its a concern for us LI backers.

10 dry days and decent temps could easily dry the track out. It has been designed to drain/dry well. Several gold cups in the last few years have been run on officially Good ground and I think Last Instalment would want somekind of soft in the description. Also , Pandorama got badly jarred up on it when it got fast so they'll have to be mindful.

Yep,it needs soft in the description for sure, and its possible they could get another decent season into him.They wont take a chance of doing him harm.

Definitely. Long Run won his GC on official Good ground, and Kauto Star won one of his on Good, too. If it becomes Good by next Friday afternoon you could see them pulling him out imo. They do have First Lieutenant.

Well I always knew a bet on him was iffy if the ground went good,but at least one can accept that as a reason for a NR.
Lot easier than this debacle hanging over the stable ruling the horse out!!

Think it's part an attempt to pressure them into watering to keep it soft side of good. But Fenton had said all along he was worried about good ground as his legs are made of glass.

Seeing what happened to Pandorama when he ran in Gold Cup on ground too quick for him, I'd make sure to take care of the horse first.

Silviniaco Conti will get outpaced on Good ground

Really? I know the King George was Soft ground but it was 24f. The GC is 26.5f though I think Bobs Worth will like the going more.

Heisenberg. • March 5, 2014 11:23 PM GMT
Silviniaco Conti will get outpaced on Good ground

Is this the same Silviniaco Conti that was cruising last year when he fell??

Yep geoff im sure thats the one who fell when cruising on soft/good to soft in places ground.

think Last Instalment would run on "good" ground.
If the horse is injury prone, surely they would be tempted to run whilst he is fit and still in one piece. Might never get another chance and who says future years are likely to bring any softer ground?

At preview evening last night they said Last Instalment acts on good going but wouldn't be risked unless it was soft as his legs are like glass.  Donn MCclean

Last years race was very testing ground would have suited SC more.
Bobs Worth preperation has supposedly been a shocker,Triolo has been outworking him

LI 'more likely not to run, than run' according to Edward O'Leary

been drifting today, not gonna run?

been off with dodgy legs since his trainer got caught with anabolic steroids and then comes back better than before, rancid operation....

racing manager thinks he's a 10yo and it's his last chance to win a Gold Cup.

Obviously only 9, but you get the drift, he clearly wants to run so long as gets ground.

From what Michael and Eddie O'Leary saying, got the impression that so long as not faster than Good, they are running

I remember when pandoras owner insisted on him running in the gold cup on good ground ,the trainer didn't want him to run but they ran him anyway , jarred him up and was off for ages never the same again !

pandoramas ^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Pandorama was a 14/1 shot who hadn't run for nearly three months and was actually reliant on soft ground.

Last Instalment has a much stronger chance and has already shown that he can show a high level form on good ground.

He may well not run but there was definitely some cause for optimism listening to the owners at Naas.

Aye Foyles, I was at the preview prior to Cheltenham at Leopardstown where Pando owner said he was going to run regardless of ground. Owner got what he deserved.

Well,Last Instalment is coming over,and decision will be made later in the week.
Meanwhile Claisse does not rule out watering the new course if its felt needed.

Id say he is 100% certain to run. This is top notch media management from Gigg.
As soon as the press were ready to build up the hype about him running from Fenton yard they drop this in and guess what - ground is drying so may not run!!! Press move elsewhere for news.
Fact he is not getting younger, may not be sound next year and has a live chance. They aint gonna save him. They buy em to race em and he will run on any ground in my view.

Bet you wish the other one had eaten his breakfast properly now you big lying tool.......