Billy's yes/no

No, yes, maybe, no, possibly but probably not, no

All that makes no!

11 or more Irish winners NO
Biggest win distance 18 lengths + NO
Champ hurdle 2+ lengths NO
Ap McCoy to ride 3 or more NO
Biggest sp 50/1 or more NO
Nichols to train three or more..... NO

Not a good bet anyway no matter what you think.

A definite NO even at 133/1. First one a possibility and I suppose AP might get three winners although I dont think so. However I have been wrong before - many times.

11 or more irish winners is 11/8 yes so no more likely
there quite often is 1 big winning distance somewhere, thou with decent going more likely under is the % play
champ hurdle distance proper coin toss, thou over i think more likely just.
ap 3 or more winners is defo odds against
sp  another proper coin toss.   likely to be 33s/40s or 50s and in ahandicap
nichols books have this as 10/11 choice , thou unders would b mu guess.

as usual, they have thought about it and found 4 real coin tosses and only weak links the mccoy and irish both  odds on unders. 6 coin tosses is 63/1 so 33s is certainly no bargain.