Cheltenham Festival
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Last Instalment comes back Thursday. If Philip Fenton has him back as good as before then
the 50-1 NRNB willl look good.
the 50-1 NRNB willl look good.
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Replies: 54
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This is a horse i loved for the RSA and was gutted when he had to miss it because I thought he was a good thing. However he has now been off a while and do they come back?His trainer says he will come on a lot for the run so may just want him jumping round here.
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The only 'real outsider' you could make a genuine case for, agree.
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After two years off and basically a novice? Good luck.
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and with tendons like candyfloss
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Yeh i liked him but they never come back the same horse
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Ramruma • January 12, 2014 2:13 PM GMT
After two years off and basically a novice? Good luck. (check his form out) |
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Two years ago Howdi.
Trabolgan Invictus |
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Agree he's a novice, but this may not be a vintage year.
And there seems to be rather a lot of people who think Big Bucks will be back as good as ever. On the day if he makes it he's worth a bet, one for the NRNB bookies. |
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Not vintage.
Are you serious Nighthawk |
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its not a vintage year..no kauto kicking king denman..the current crop wouldnt compare..i think its an outsiders year..
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Having a laf.
Only Denman at his peak would win this gold cup. Kauto beat grade 2 horses in his first gold cup,and Denman had a heart problem and was never the same again in his second |
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That would be bang on the money....
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His only bit of worthwhile form is a beating of First Lieutenant,A proverbial bridesmaid horse.
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come back here when a 16/1 plus shot wins it!!
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From Kim Bailey's Blog
Harry Topper runs in the Argento next week and has to win it and then it come up soft for him to be in the Gold Cup 150/1-plus, (for buttons) on here if you think this is likely |
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Kavvie.
it aint gonna happen m8 |
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ill be laying the top 4 in betting
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Fenton seems very upbeat.
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Brilliant run back
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Laying the top 4 in any top graded race is a quick way to the poor house, laying the top 4 in the betting in the Gold Cup will send you straight into the gutter!
Your having a laugh Jasey aint you? The weakest gold cup, only beat grade 2 horses? I think not, in Kautos years he beat what was put to him, whom were genuine grade 1 horses in their respective years! To say any championship race is weak, is utterly ridiculous imo! |
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Plenty of promise in that comeback. Leaving aside the front two (and the second favourite still has a bit to prove) there isn't much else of an obviously solid/progressive nature in the Gold Cup market so 50/1 NRNB doesn't look such a bad bet. If he bombs next time you almost certainly get your money back but if he performs well the price will be cut in half. Bobs Worth is by far the most likely winner but given that he only runs a couple of times a year how confident can you be that he will turn up?
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Well he has made the festival the last three years so wouldn't be overly concerned.
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STS i never said it was the weakest gold cup.
Kauto beat Turpin Green 147 rated by 2 an half lengths. That Turpin Green in this years Gold Cup,iyo would he place? |
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Turpin Green would need to start an hour before imo
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CheltenhamRoar Joined: 26 Jul 12
Replies: 2540 His only bit of worthwhile form is a beating of First Lieutenant,A proverbial bridesmaid horse So that would put him in the league containing Bobsworth the current champ and fav!!! Big difference though is LI has been off for so long. Darn good comeback run though, and his next run is very interesting now. Took a bit of the 50 nrfb after the race yesterday. A big run in the Hennessey nto and that price is long gone, worth a speculative punt imo. |
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I take your point, but my point is that these horses can only beat whats put in front of them, Exotic Dancer was 2nd in that years gold cup rated 167 and ok Turpin Green rated rather lowly was a similar distance back in 3rd but another point i would like to make is that race is littered with outsiders placing for one reason or another.
Going back to the topic of the thread i would really love to see Last Instalment back, yesterdays run at first glance to me wasnt great, he blew up big time and i was expecting to see him blow them away! However, i watched that race without knowing what the distance was and i personally was a little distant, i was flicking channels, went onto ATR and low and behold, Last Instalment was running. The distance would have been shorter than he would like too is what am saying, the gold cup is 3mile 2 and the RSA i was gutted he missed 2 years ago is just a shade over 3 miles. 50/1 nrnb is a good bet! |
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I agree if LI runs on the day he will be an awful lot less than 50s
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An awful lot less than 50's!!!
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jasey • January 12, 2014 3:02 PM GMT
Two years ago Howdi. Trabolgan Invictus LETS HAVE SOME HUMBLE PIE EATEN  |
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You won't hear from half those who posted on here in early January.
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Gl Nighthawk
 Hope his legs are nice and cool in the morning, a fantastic jumper, would be a delight to see him jumping round Cheltenham. |
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Very impressive.
Howdi mmm this pie tastes lovely |
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Lets hope he remains sound and does the business in March,
if not I hope people backed him on a non runner no bet basis. |
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I'm pleased as most racing will be we have another contender for the blue riband.
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That makes zero sense. Apologies.
I meant to say; All racing fans will be pleased we have another genuine contender for racings blue riband. |
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@CorneliusRacing: Last Instalment trainer Philip Fenton re #CheltFest: "Gold Cup looks obvious [but] not going to rule out Ryanair." LI owned Michael O'Leary
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Reckon PF attempting to take the pressure off. I would be amazed if he goes for the Ryanair. Only one race for him.
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You'd think with what they've been through with this horse and with the sort of form he showed yesterday...the GC would be long odds on......what possible argument is there for anything other than the GC...the issue is with the state of the ground for the horse...not the distance of the race.
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You could possibly understand the original Ryanair entry but after yesterday it would be ridiculous to target any race other than the Gold Cup. Trainers seem to think it is some sort of hanging offence to nominate a single target.
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