Cheltenham Festival
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Fun looking back how it all unravelled.....quite a few at the head of the market did the business. Thought you might like to take a look (saved from Oddschecker May 2012)
Supreme Novices Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Don Cossack (8) , Waaheb (16) , New Years Eve (20) , Pique Sous (33) , Doyly Carte (50)
Paddy Power Stan James William Hill
Arkle Trophy - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Simonsig (10/3) , Captain Conan (14) , Montbazon (14) , Oscars Well (14) , Cinders And Ashes (16) , Tetlami (16) , Arvika Ligeonniere (20) , Colour Squadron (20) , Galileos Choice (20) , Trifolium (25) , Vulcanite (33)
Bet 365 **** Bet Victor Paddy Power Stan James William Hill
Champion Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Hurricane Fly (6) , Rock On Ruby (8) , Simonsig (10) , Spirit Son (12) , Grandouet (14) , Zarkandar (14) , Cinders And Ashes (16) , Darlan (16) , Oscar Whisky (20) , Binocular (25) , Peddlers Cross (25) , Alderwood (33) , Cotton Mill (33) , Grumeti (33) , Hisaabaat (33) , Thousand Stars (33) , Trifolium (33) , Midnight Game (40) , Overturn (40) , Balder Succes (50) - Others 50 or more
Bet 365 Sky Bet Totesport **** Betfred Sporting Bet Bet Victor Blue Square Paddy Power Stan James 888sport Ladbrokes Bodog Coral William Hill 32Red Bet Betfair ****
David Nicholson Mares Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Quevega (11/10)
Sporting Bet Stan James William Hill
RSA Chase - Winner 2013-03-13
Favourites: Boston Bob (10) , Fingal Bay (10) , Simonsig (14) , Champagne Fever (16) , Smad Place (16) , Arvika Ligeonniere (20) , Ambion Wood (25)
Bet 365 **** Paddy Power Stan James Ladbrokes
Queen Mother Champion Chase - Winner 2013-03-13
Favourites: Sprinter Sacre (5/4) , Finians Rainbow (7) , Sizing Europe (10) , Sanctuaire (12) , Peddlers Cross (16) , Flemenstar (20) , Al Ferof (25) , Cue Card (25) , Edgardo Sol (25) , Grands Crus (25) , Realt Dubh (25) , Somersby (25) , Big Zeb (33) , Menorah (33) , Rubi Light (33) , Tataniano (33) , Ghizao (50) , Kauto Stone (50) , Wishfull Thinking (50) - Others 0 or more
Bet 365 Sky Bet Totesport **** Betfred Sporting Bet Bet Victor Blue Square Paddy Power Stan James 888sport Ladbrokes Bodog Coral William Hill 32Red Bet Betfair ****
Ryanair Chase - Winner 2013-03-14
Favourites: Riverside Theatre (5)
Stan James
World Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-14
Favourites: Big Bucks (7/4) , Voler La Vedette (12) , Zarkandar (14) , Oscar Whisky (20) , Peddlers Cross (20) , Thousand Stars (20) , Monksland (25) , Mount Benbulben (25) , Smad Place (25) , Batonnier (33) , Cape Tribulation (33) , Dynaste (33) , Rocky Creek (33) , Sea Of Thunder (33) , Simonsig (33) , So Young (33) , Sous Les Cieux (33) , Zaidpour (33)
Bet 365 Sky Bet **** Sporting Bet Bet Victor Blue Square Paddy Power Stan James 888sport Ladbrokes Bodog William Hill 32Red Bet Betfair ****
Cheltenham Gold Cup - Winner 2013-03-15
Favourites: Sir Des Champs (6) , Bobs Worth (8) , Long Run (10) , Flemenstar (12) , First Lieutenant (16) , Grands Crus (20) , Hunt Ball (25) , Invictus (25) , Last Instalment (25) , Medermit (25) , Al Ferof (33) , Burton Port (33) , Captain Chris (33) , Finians Rainbow (33) , Kauto Star (33) , Riverside Theatre (33) , Silviniaco Conti (33) , The Giant Bolster (33) , Weapons Amnesty (33) , Time For Rupert (40) - Others 50 or more
Supreme Novices Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Don Cossack (8) , Waaheb (16) , New Years Eve (20) , Pique Sous (33) , Doyly Carte (50)
Paddy Power Stan James William Hill
Arkle Trophy - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Simonsig (10/3) , Captain Conan (14) , Montbazon (14) , Oscars Well (14) , Cinders And Ashes (16) , Tetlami (16) , Arvika Ligeonniere (20) , Colour Squadron (20) , Galileos Choice (20) , Trifolium (25) , Vulcanite (33)
Bet 365 **** Bet Victor Paddy Power Stan James William Hill
Champion Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Hurricane Fly (6) , Rock On Ruby (8) , Simonsig (10) , Spirit Son (12) , Grandouet (14) , Zarkandar (14) , Cinders And Ashes (16) , Darlan (16) , Oscar Whisky (20) , Binocular (25) , Peddlers Cross (25) , Alderwood (33) , Cotton Mill (33) , Grumeti (33) , Hisaabaat (33) , Thousand Stars (33) , Trifolium (33) , Midnight Game (40) , Overturn (40) , Balder Succes (50) - Others 50 or more
Bet 365 Sky Bet Totesport **** Betfred Sporting Bet Bet Victor Blue Square Paddy Power Stan James 888sport Ladbrokes Bodog Coral William Hill 32Red Bet Betfair ****
David Nicholson Mares Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-12
Favourites: Quevega (11/10)
Sporting Bet Stan James William Hill
RSA Chase - Winner 2013-03-13
Favourites: Boston Bob (10) , Fingal Bay (10) , Simonsig (14) , Champagne Fever (16) , Smad Place (16) , Arvika Ligeonniere (20) , Ambion Wood (25)
Bet 365 **** Paddy Power Stan James Ladbrokes
Queen Mother Champion Chase - Winner 2013-03-13
Favourites: Sprinter Sacre (5/4) , Finians Rainbow (7) , Sizing Europe (10) , Sanctuaire (12) , Peddlers Cross (16) , Flemenstar (20) , Al Ferof (25) , Cue Card (25) , Edgardo Sol (25) , Grands Crus (25) , Realt Dubh (25) , Somersby (25) , Big Zeb (33) , Menorah (33) , Rubi Light (33) , Tataniano (33) , Ghizao (50) , Kauto Stone (50) , Wishfull Thinking (50) - Others 0 or more
Bet 365 Sky Bet Totesport **** Betfred Sporting Bet Bet Victor Blue Square Paddy Power Stan James 888sport Ladbrokes Bodog Coral William Hill 32Red Bet Betfair ****
Ryanair Chase - Winner 2013-03-14
Favourites: Riverside Theatre (5)
Stan James
World Hurdle - Winner 2013-03-14
Favourites: Big Bucks (7/4) , Voler La Vedette (12) , Zarkandar (14) , Oscar Whisky (20) , Peddlers Cross (20) , Thousand Stars (20) , Monksland (25) , Mount Benbulben (25) , Smad Place (25) , Batonnier (33) , Cape Tribulation (33) , Dynaste (33) , Rocky Creek (33) , Sea Of Thunder (33) , Simonsig (33) , So Young (33) , Sous Les Cieux (33) , Zaidpour (33)
Bet 365 Sky Bet **** Sporting Bet Bet Victor Blue Square Paddy Power Stan James 888sport Ladbrokes Bodog William Hill 32Red Bet Betfair ****
Cheltenham Gold Cup - Winner 2013-03-15
Favourites: Sir Des Champs (6) , Bobs Worth (8) , Long Run (10) , Flemenstar (12) , First Lieutenant (16) , Grands Crus (20) , Hunt Ball (25) , Invictus (25) , Last Instalment (25) , Medermit (25) , Al Ferof (33) , Burton Port (33) , Captain Chris (33) , Finians Rainbow (33) , Kauto Star (33) , Riverside Theatre (33) , Silviniaco Conti (33) , The Giant Bolster (33) , Weapons Amnesty (33) , Time For Rupert (40) - Others 50 or more
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Replies: 14
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first two favs home in the Champion hurdle
Top two in the betting for Gold Cup Fav wins the Mares Fav wins the Queen Mum |
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Good post Howdi.
Where you get hurt (on ante post betting) is with the novices and not knowing where they'll end up until the 24 hour decs ! Interesting the Champ hurdle and Gold cup 1st and 2nd favs made up the forecast - I backed Champagne Fever for 2 different races before March and had to go in again when he was declared for the Supreme, interesting to note he was at the front of the RSA betting after his bumper win ! |
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if Grandouet had stayed on his feet could the betting have given the 1-2-3
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Great post Howdi, very interesting. Does rather back up what I've always suspected, which is that long rang betting in the novice events is a very bad idea, particularly the hurdles.
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agree Barry .... come from anywhere at you in the novice events ...bigger events held up well this year and last year where first three in last years RSA were all pre season ante post favs
Bobs worth Grand crus (sorry he was 4th) First Lietenant |
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Aside from anything else, a great many horses have 2 possible targets and many (at this stage) have 3. 4 if you count the NH chase. That is never factored sufficiently into AP prices imo.
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Very interesting, I will do the same for next year in another month or so
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Good stuff Howdi. Just two weeks to the whitbread meeting or whatever it's called now and then the long long wait until Mid October and proper racing again.
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ttt interesting thread put up by one of our finest contributors...
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@Howdi, a nice bit of self promotion
 but very interesting post none the less. When I look at the champion hurdle market i look at the 16/1 shot and what a beast he may have turned out to be had he not so tragically met his end! |
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And the 12/1 shot...he was going to be some horse!!!
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yes I was just looking at that, what a race the CH would be with Spirit Son and Darlan in the mix. Too superstars whose lights shone short but burnt brightly.
This extract from the racing post review of the supreme, Nicky Henderson has a poor record in this event, but it´s been another cracking season so far and he held a very strong hand this year with three smart and unexposed novices. It looked turning for home as though he would have the winner as Sprinter Sacre cruised into the home straight, but he was feeling the pinch prior to hitting the last and it was his first string, Spirit Son, who rallied to take the lead there. This ex-French 5-y-o hung right to the stands´ rail on the run-in, though, and looked to be feeling the quicker ground. He couldn´t cope with the winner when it mattered, but ran a blinder in defeat and is a classy prospect for novice chasing. A return to easier ground should suit ideally. Sprinter Sacre bravelyheld on to third and this handsome, strong-travelling performer is another that is really something to look forward to for chasing. Indeed he could well turn out the best of these over fences next season........ a slight understatement |
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Last season did seem to 'go with' the betting.
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to me , great reminder that it is hard enough to pick one on the day . so competitive . nice piece howdi.
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