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Cheltenham Festival

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Archie12
09 Mar 13 20:17
Joined:
Date Joined: 11 May 10
| Topic/replies: 23 | Blogger: Archie12's blog
Hi Folks

Just wondering peoples opinion on Jezki winning the Supreme Novices. I personally think he will win, the form is in the book. Barry Geraghty always talks him up. Jessica Harrington always talks him up also.

I think the bigger field wont be a problem as he is rode prominently. Ground will be fine. He runs well fresh, so the break will help.

Any opinions??

p.s Pique Sous in same race has a strong e/w chance.
Pause Switch to Standard View Jezki....Why the doubt??
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Report judorick March 9, 2013 8:19 PM GMT
the lay off is the answer
Report Graeme83 March 9, 2013 8:22 PM GMT
Jessica Harrington may be confident, but she was also confident on Steps To Freedom last year. I'm not using that as an excuse, but you're unlikely to hear her say she would swap hers for something else.
Report judorick March 9, 2013 8:26 PM GMT
or maybe the going?

who knows?
Report Howdi March 9, 2013 8:31 PM GMT
MAIN REASON....Not impressive in bumper last year
Report Graeme83 March 9, 2013 8:35 PM GMT
That's not the main reason !....nobody knows how this lay off is going to effect him, and backing a horse everytime your Harringtons and Nicholls make positive comments will make you a resident of cardboard city. You simply have to decide how much this horse can improve after a lay off.
Report Howdi March 9, 2013 8:36 PM GMT
of course its main reason he didnt look like he handled track particularly well and he hasn't been on it since. Also the winner is up against him next week.
Report Archie12 March 9, 2013 8:38 PM GMT
I see the break as a positive, he had three races in 5 - 6 weeks late 2012. After these races B Geraghty was beaming about him. The ground doesnt worry me too much although i accept he would be better on good ground. The ground he gets on Tuesday will be alot better than he has encountered in Ireland.
Report Graeme83 March 9, 2013 8:39 PM GMT
Cheltenham isn't the only track with a tough finish. The best horses tend to act there. It's not as big a deal as some make out. If it has enough stamina it will be ok.
Report Howdi March 9, 2013 8:43 PM GMT
no its not but its a negative whilst its a positive in fevers book.
Report Haemolysis March 9, 2013 8:43 PM GMT
I agree about the lay off, bad stat. And the steps to freedom comarison. Big field a worry too.
Report shockster March 9, 2013 8:47 PM GMT
Howdi Al Ferof finished 8L behind Cue Card in the Bumper, but turned it round in the Supreme.  Jezki has already beaten CF.
Report Haemolysis March 9, 2013 8:49 PM GMT
Good points shocker. Can look at it both ways. Ground might be coming for it too.
Report BenInOz March 9, 2013 8:50 PM GMT
Howdy, didn't Cinders and Ashes do nothing in the bumper in 2011? Don't think it's that big a negative.
Report Monksfield79 March 9, 2013 8:53 PM GMT
Either the stewards at Newbury on the 29th December should have given McCoy a serious holiday or the handicapper has lost the plot, Jezki has done everything right and people are knocking him, a lay off might not be ideal but 4 successful runs over hurdles is perfect, rather have Barry on board but if the horse is good enough Robbie won't be a problem. I have a strong view that a buyer wouldn't pay 500,000 for a horse rated less than 160, so he hasn't that much to find in my book. A little luck and an ideal passage and those who kept faith might just be rewarded.
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