Arvika - Only one other than Simonsig who might be something special? Or a camel?

Struggling to find any value betting-wise, and I'm close to concluding that backing Arvika to win w/o the fav is the way to go, BUT..

..there's gotta be a concern over it's jumping.  How much would it be a case of wishful thinking for me to say that it's soft fall last time out might have been due to having no purchase on landing in bottomless ground?  Seems this horse was garnering plaudits for its jumping prior to this.

My thinking is that the ground won't be fast enough for Overturn and if still standing Arvika will outstay Overturn up the hill, albeit with Simonsig already in the paddock being unsaddled!