ONE CHELTENHAM BET AT A PRICE AND WHY?

Grands Crus for the Ryanair, have to hope he was pulled up early enough on Sat, Pipe says all plans are "on hold" now whatever that means. A couple of quiet weeks and they'll see if he's ok, if so then two and a half miles on decent-ish ground would be ideal, if he makes the line up he would surely be in single figures, not 30+ on here. Of course they may wait for Aintree or even next year but he's not exactly been running under his preferred conditions the last twice.

Menorah w/o Sprinter Sacre Champion Chase. A race in which Sprinter Sacre will scare most of the decent opponents off. Flem, Sanctuaire, Cue Card all with doubts about lining up. I think Hobbs might see this aswell and think Menorah would have more success playing for 2nd in the Champion Chase as opposed to runnning in what will look like a very competitive Ryan Air.

1pt win 36/1

Solwhit  for the world hurdle with big bucks out must have a good chance.Backed him at 44/1 a horse with a bit of class in a open looking race.

Houblon Des Obeaux in the Nation Hunt Chase at 16/1 is a cracking bet.

Not good enough to win and RSA Chase and probably too high in the handicap for the William Hill on day one (currently 148 and Teaforthree was highest rated last year in the NH Chase with 146 and won).

Houblon has won at Cheltenham and was placed in last years Pertemps behind Cape Tribulation (not bad looking form now).  He's also got some good form this year.  Placed just behind Benificent (Irish Arkle winner) and Highland Lodge, and just failed to beat Court in Motion giving weight; all over 3m.

I think the step up in trip wouldn't be a problem and is a big price.

Dynaste in the RSA

I liked the way that he won here last November when he beat Fingal Bay. He's done nothing wrong since.

Could be a better horse than Grands Cruz had the potential to be.

Rite Of Passage World Hurdle. Available at 100 on here - of course, he might not turn up (he is entered) but, if he does, he has to be on the premises surely?

Form figures are 113411113131 including two prestigious long distance Group race victories in his last three outings - long absence would n't bother me - trainer will have him primed to the minute if he shows.

Big if though

Ok see if i fair bit better with this one out of left field. Cantlow for RSA, I understand he's much shorter for the handicap but he has impressed me and with JP not having much in terms of RSA candidates perhaps he could take his chance. Cape Trib franked the form from last years pertemps well enough the other day and at 150/1 he could line up much shorter on the day.

1pt win 150/1

TomDeane you will have to share your other big plot on here when you get on.

Wannamaker I was the same as you with Cape Tribulation following him for 2 years and then giving up on him just before the festival he ended up winning the pertemps, a big handicap hurdle at Aintree, the rowland meryick and the bloody argento. I kid you not I followed this horse religiously i backed him when he got touched off by wayward prince in Wetherby, again touched off at Market Rasen by Radium I thought he would be ubeatable that day and then at Cheltenham a few months before the festival where he finished 5th to ruin my nice each way bet.

The one I really like at the moment is New Year's Eve in the Supreme. I just started another thread on him, but the short version is that he's 25-1 with Bat Vector and they are running that money back as a free bet promotion if an ante-post selection is a non-runner on the day. On Bumper form and a promising first run over timber, that could be a rick, and if he doesn't prove the same class over hurdles he probably wouldn't run and you'd get your stake back. He stuffed The New One and Jezki at the Festival last year...

Just to confirm, I like him, but not enough to justify two bets as the double posting would suggest

Brooksielad

dont wanna be a cnt .. but Menorah isnt entered for the race is he?

shame cos the angle was a good one ..

A pleasing thread.

LONG RUN 7/1 e/w 1/4 odds NRNB (boil sports) = good value.

Lay Hurricane Fly @ 3.85 Champion Hurdle and lay for a place @ 1.8 because it's too short.

Would need to beat Mullins representative to be considered back in the game Cyclops. Is entirely possible tho.

At current prices, 7/1 I think Boston Bob is a standout bet in what could be a very uncompetitive race.

the price has gone a bit but it is hard to see Reve De Sivola out of the frame for the Worldy, imo. He stays the trip throughly, has won the last two top trials/recognised trials and is seemingly back to his, has plenty of backclass from his novice hurdle days, 2nd in the Neptune and then winning a Grade 1 at Punchestown. 5/1 looks perfect eachway material, try and find 3 horses to beat him.

I think Smad Place is a good value bet for World Hurdle. 16-1. He finished 3rd last year at such a young age and have not had his ground all season. I would think he will run a good race again.

Balthazar King @ 7/1 in X Country. Form @ Cheltenham since April 2011 is 1,1,RO,PU,1,1,2 and all over 3 miles. 5 of last 6 races all at Cheltenham. Defending champion. Could argue when RO he was well placed to win. Can there be a horse in any Festival race with better course history and form. Thoughts ?