Cheltenham Festival
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Sprinter Sacre w 8-11
Hurricane Fly L 4-6
Quevega w 4-7
Simonsig w 2-1
Grand Crus L 6-5
Sizing Europe L 4-5
Vendor L 3-1
Peddlars Cross L 5-2
Big Bucks W 5-6
Boston Bob L 6-5
Long run L 7-4
Chapoturgen L 3-1
Same every year, dont know whats going to happen when Big Bucks and Quevega retire, they've been carrying the short priced punters for years now
Hurricane Fly L 4-6
Quevega w 4-7
Simonsig w 2-1
Grand Crus L 6-5
Sizing Europe L 4-5
Vendor L 3-1
Peddlars Cross L 5-2
Big Bucks W 5-6
Boston Bob L 6-5
Long run L 7-4
Chapoturgen L 3-1
Same every year, dont know whats going to happen when Big Bucks and Quevega retire, they've been carrying the short priced punters for years now
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Kauto Star went off at 3/1 aswell.
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Favs Sint
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Excellent strike rate for the places.
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Yet again you could also have made a profit backing every fit and fancied young(ish) horse in the major non handicaps if avoiding the shorties. 3/1 to 10/1 price range abs
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try again; 3/1 to 10/1 price range abs
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for some reason this won't post!!! 3/1 to 10/1 price range, absent less than 85 days, max age 10 chase 9 hurdle
this year 40 bets 7 won +7pts 9 yr total 352 bets 60 won +86.83pts |
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trouble is you don't know which ones are 3/1 and which ones are 10/1 on any on or at the extremes until after the event - but the logic is fair
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Pretty sure if you froze the market at any point from after the morning gambles onwards you would get a similar result (Rock On Ruby nota qualifier at SP but was 10/1 opening price for example) Just don't have the data to prove it. What I do seek to prove with it is that there is value in a particular part of the market i.e. that hotpots are overbet at the expense of the other fancied horses. That is a useful bit of knowledge.
Knowing that blind without the age/absence filters the profit is 57.33 points is also useful - absent horses -21.5 pts, aged horses -8pts |