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zilzal1
17 Mar 12 13:09
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Date Joined: 05 Oct 03
| Topic/replies: 11,054 | Blogger: zilzal1's blog
Sprinter Sacre w 8-11
Hurricane Fly L 4-6
Quevega w 4-7
Simonsig w 2-1
Grand Crus L 6-5
Sizing Europe L 4-5
Vendor L 3-1
Peddlars Cross L 5-2
Big Bucks W 5-6
Boston Bob L 6-5
Long run L 7-4
Chapoturgen L 3-1

Same every year, dont know whats going to happen when Big Bucks and Quevega retire, they've been carrying the short priced punters for years now
Pause Switch to Standard View Cheltenham Rollcall of favs at 3-1...
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Report sintonian March 17, 2012 4:34 PM GMT
Kauto Star went off at 3/1 aswell.
Report zilzal1 March 17, 2012 4:36 PM GMT
Favs SintPlain
Report sintonian March 17, 2012 4:42 PM GMT
Excellent strike rate for the places.
Report thieveslikeus March 17, 2012 4:56 PM GMT
Yet again you could also have made a profit backing every fit and fancied young(ish) horse in the major non handicaps if avoiding the shorties.  3/1 to 10/1 price range abs
Report thieveslikeus March 17, 2012 4:59 PM GMT
try again;  3/1 to 10/1 price range  abs
Report thieveslikeus March 17, 2012 5:01 PM GMT
for some reason this won't post!!!   3/1 to 10/1 price range, absent less than 85 days, max age 10 chase  9 hurdle
this year 40 bets 7 won +7pts      9 yr total 352 bets 60 won +86.83pts
Report TheVis March 17, 2012 5:29 PM GMT
trouble is you don't know which ones are 3/1 and which ones are 10/1 on any on or at the extremes until after the event - but the logic is fair
Report thieveslikeus March 17, 2012 7:15 PM GMT
Pretty sure if you froze the market at any point from after the morning gambles onwards you would get a similar result (Rock On Ruby nota qualifier at SP but was 10/1 opening price for example)  Just don't have the data to prove it.  What I do seek to prove with it is that there is value in a particular part of the market i.e. that hotpots are overbet at the expense of the other fancied horses.  That is a useful bit of knowledge.

Knowing that blind without the age/absence filters the profit is 57.33 points is also useful - absent horses -21.5 pts, aged horses -8pts
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