Cheltenham Festival
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Been looking at this race this evening and was surprised to see Mossley available at 20/1.
Novices have a very good record in this race as does Nicky Henderson. This one will be running on his handicap debut if he goes for it.
He meets a number of key trends too;
Placed at a previous festival (second to Bob's Worth in last years Albert Bartlett)
Last 12 winners rated no higher than 143 (Rated 142)
Last 4 winners rated either 142 or 143 (as above)
He was also second behind Join Together at the course in December. Well beaten, but ahead of Champion Court.
Henderson didn't comment too much on the horse when asked in stable tour, but it looks the likely target;
“He could easily come into the three-mile handicap chase. Three miles is right for him and he likes Cheltenham.”
Novices have a very good record in this race as does Nicky Henderson. This one will be running on his handicap debut if he goes for it.
He meets a number of key trends too;
Placed at a previous festival (second to Bob's Worth in last years Albert Bartlett)
Last 12 winners rated no higher than 143 (Rated 142)
Last 4 winners rated either 142 or 143 (as above)
He was also second behind Join Together at the course in December. Well beaten, but ahead of Champion Court.
Henderson didn't comment too much on the horse when asked in stable tour, but it looks the likely target;
“He could easily come into the three-mile handicap chase. Three miles is right for him and he likes Cheltenham.”
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Replies: 14
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I backed him at 20s too - fits the stats, pattern class hurdler, physically looks the type to improve for chasing so 142 looks very nice mark, though I am worried about his jumping which has been sketchy in small fields. Could do with a bit of Yogi help...
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His jumping is absolutely shocking. Could not see it winning this. Shame, it was originally on my radar for the RSA.
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Exactly the same worries. Backed him tbp for RSA, and whilst he has a good engine his jumping has been dodgy which isn't ideal in a big field handicap around here. Having said that, if I think he could jump on the day then the price is value
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Echo the thoughts of the others.
I had him in the RSA, purely because of his proximity to Bobs Worth in the Albert Bartlett, where he was 3 or 4 times the price of Bobs Worth in the RSA. However, his jumping is poor, but you never know, it could improve for a big field fast paced Festival race. I'd put him in the four miler novice chase myself - he looks tough and will keep on going and going. |
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20sinbaldywith 5places.had a nibble meself as well
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Backed him at 45/1 on here, layed off for a free bet. Loves Cheltenham
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Chasing different ball game to hurdling over these fences at Chelters.
I was @ Newbury last time out and his jumping was pitiful to put it mildly. Cannot see him getting round let alone winning. All the schooling in the world cannot transform a poor jumper into Edredon Bleu 6 weeks b4 the festival. |
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his jumping wasnt that bad lt but dropped away very tamely, tricky race tomorrow
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just seemed bit odd to drop him back to 2½m last time...suspiciously odd
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On his form in front of Champion Court last time at Cheltenham he has some sort of chance. First run in a handicap off a nice enough weight I think he has a good chance. Last time was a Grade 1. Nothing as tough tomorrow.
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Mossley was beaten in a Grade 2 previous race and it was a v weak G1 race. His jumping was dreadful starting with clattering the 2nd at Newbury. I should know as I was there and had backed him so kept a close eye on him throughout. Check out the RP and you will see he has made several bad mistakes in every chase he has contested. HE will not get away with that at Chelters.
And that is aside from him stopping like he had been shot at Newbury too. Has an awful lot of questions to answer and this time next year he will be contesting a handicap hurdle and not chase. I think the NH stable wins this with Quantativeasing who ticks all the boxes and is a far more reliable betting proposition. |
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Doesn't really tick all the boxes Quantitativeeasing does he? Last 12 winners have been rated 143 or below and he may run a nice race but will struggle to win off 11-12
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I'm in no doubt he's well handicapped. Hoping his jumping holds up
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 Fruity so close |