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Cheltenham Festival

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racingguru
29 Dec 11 08:02
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Date Joined: 06 Jan 01
| Topic/replies: 2,116 | Blogger: racingguru's blog
Not concerned with any opinions on horse etc. Simple question assuming his next run is the GC what price do you think it would be on the day G - GS ground.

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Replies: 12
By:
stevo1
When: 29 Dec 11 09:38
33/1
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 29 Dec 11 09:39
^^^ With AP on board, more like 12's imo.
By:
willie the milk
When: 29 Dec 11 09:39
No bigger than 10s
By:
sintonian
When: 29 Dec 11 09:51
He'd be 8/1 Max imo.

Look through the rest of the field and you'll see there is only LR & KS who look the main ones. Therefore bookies wont want big place liabilites because this horse stands a good chance, if he jumps around cheltenham, of making the frame.
By:
stevo1
When: 29 Dec 11 10:14
33/1 imo is what it should be on day given good/soft ,if all show which looks like including Grand Crus now?
By:
strontium
When: 29 Dec 11 13:27
I assume JP will have a huge bet on this. Kempes went off around 10/1 this year didn't he? With AP riding, JP owning and a likley weak field, I can see this going off around 8-9/1. He's also going to be a popular e-w/place bet, especially if Grands Crus doesn't show up.
By:
racingguru
When: 30 Dec 11 06:45
Thanks for your input - stevo1 - guess you would lay me 20's AP now then?
By:
stevo1
When: 30 Dec 11 09:49
How much you want on?
By:
stevo1
When: 30 Dec 11 09:52
Also you assume incorrectly as going for Hennessey in Feb at Leopardstown.
So if he wins that beating pretty average irish horses, he will be 4th fav still?
By:
stevo1
When: 30 Dec 11 10:07
Also is you fancy Synochronised, maybe you should back Last Instalment whose time was just over 3 seconds faster.
By:
racingguru
When: 30 Dec 11 15:49
stevo1 - times - lol. Did you notice there was a rain shower during racing?

I'll have anything up to 400 quid at 20/1.
By:
racingguru
When: 30 Dec 11 15:54
and there was no pace in the Lexus - thats what was amazing about Synchronised. Not that he beat these moderate irish horses but he did it with no pace. A 3.5 mile stayer to do that is just mind blowing. Anyway time will tell - it always does.
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