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Cheltenham Festival

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davescrazy
23 Nov 11 23:28
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Date Joined: 26 Sep 06
| Topic/replies: 2,170 | Blogger: davescrazy's blog
3/1 @ hills , seems a big price , may have 3/4 runs , will go off @ 1/8,1/6,1/3 and 1/3

always scares off the opposition , and will hack up in every race , fill ya boots , free money for everyone LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh

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Replies: 79
By:
Cliftonhill Albion
When: 23 Nov 11 23:54
Yes. Started a thread about this on Antepost. The terms of the bet are also very generous. He need only run once for the bet to stand. So no problem if he picks up an injury at some point.
By:
revedesivola
When: 24 Nov 11 00:12
huuuuuuuuuuuuuggggggggggggggeeeee price
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 24 Nov 11 08:19
yes a big price alright!
By:
duffy
When: 24 Nov 11 13:53
perhaps hills fancy another ice age like last year and think he might rock up in one of those bumpers for jumpers racesGrin
By:
kavvie
When: 24 Nov 11 14:12
just done it..an intresting bet with lots of upsides..whats gonna beat him ?maybe the need of a run? but once he wins his first its hard to see..wpm will have a few but hes only turning 9 in jan so he will harly regress...im on anyway!!
By:
Win only - Sp only
When: 25 Nov 11 23:35
ridiculous price with the terms attached, all the dangers gone over the big obstacles. wish id seen it!
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 08:43
I also think it's a good bet.

However, as a talking point, Big Buck's was sired by Cadoudal. His progeny do not age well. Indeed, I don't think any of them have won a major race after the age of 8. Big Buck's (now aged 8) is going to regress at some point - and it might be sooner than many people think.

[Alternatively of course he might have so much in hand over the opposition he can serioulsy regress and still keeping cleaning them up!]
By:
Howdi
When: 26 Nov 11 18:56
8 would be early to regress

didnt look like it to me today!
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 21:05
Laugh OK, I agree, but what I said about Cadoudal's is true I think - BB will be a pioneer.

OK. While I'm scraping the bottom of a barrel, I thought he jumped a little left at a few of his hurdles today. He's never run right handed has he? Might he be a little less good at Ascot if the Long walk is actually run there this season? (Even Denman and Dessie were far worse one way round than the other....)
By:
Howdi
When: 26 Nov 11 21:10
win a 4th world hurdle then win gold cup legendary status
By:
Hanbury
When: 26 Nov 11 21:11
Im going to do it! His age is the risk. 3/1 is almost a a point and a half early christmas present/bonus from the layers!!!
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 21:15
Gone after today?
By:
Howdi
When: 26 Nov 11 21:23
you cant join the party after he bolts up first time lad Grin
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 21:27
Laugh
By:
Howdi
When: 26 Nov 11 21:28
you enjoying the season strontium hotting up nicely
By:
duffy
When: 26 Nov 11 21:30
only thing that can save the layers is if something that can come out of the woodwork...like grands crus tried to do......the layers will be praying that something like dynaste could save them.....i wouldn't hold my breath.......it must be a nightmare running in behind BB because at some stage there always looks like there is a chance to beat him....he doesn't blow the opposition away, it looks like he travels through the race holding them at arms length.
By:
Howdi
When: 26 Nov 11 21:31
3/1 was a ruddy generous price rick of the year imo
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 21:33
Very much. Cracking day at Newbury today (and yesterday) - I think I saw the winners of the RSA and maybe the Supreme. Sandown next weekend, Chelts the weekend after...

By the way, it was a nice touch of BB's groom to take him around the parade ring after they called horses away. Gave the crowd a proper cchance to applaud him. I believe she did the same with Kauto last week. I wish they'd do that more often.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 21:42
Todays race didn't really tell us much except the horse is in good health. Most of last years good hurdles have already gone over fences and I think Thousand Stars, Oscar Whisky (Although personally not convinced he will stay)and maybe Dynaste are only plausible challengers.
By:
duffy
When: 26 Nov 11 21:45
^
the layers will be praying that HF turns up in the champion because if he doesn't...thousand stars and oscar whiskey may well turn up there.
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 21:48
Thousand Stars could well run over 2 m, especially if Hurricane Fly doesn't recover. Amazed if Dynaste is good enough. He won that fixed brush handicap off 140ish didn't he? I know Grand Crus rocketed through the ranks last season, but I'd be surprised if lightning struck twice (and GC wasn't good enough in the end).

All that said, it's a division where 2nd place is very much up for grabs (as today's race suggested again).
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:02
Would be interesting to hear Ruby's thoughts when comparing Thousand Stars to Big Bucks as he's ridden them both over 3 miles. Mullins says French Champion hurdle is the long term aim this season for Thousand Stars. Sounds like he doesn't think he is good enough for either of the Cheltenham races.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:02
Would be interesting to hear Ruby's thoughts when comparing Thousand Stars to Big Bucks as he's ridden them both over 3 miles. Mullins says French Champion hurdle is the long term aim this season for Thousand Stars. Sounds like he doesn't think he is good enough for either of the Cheltenham races.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:02
Would be interesting to hear Ruby's thoughts when comparing Thousand Stars to Big Bucks as he's ridden them both over 3 miles. Mullins says French Champion hurdle is the long term aim this season for Thousand Stars. Sounds like he doesn't think he is good enough for either of the Cheltenham races.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:02
Would be interesting to hear Ruby's thoughts when comparing Thousand Stars to Big Bucks as he's ridden them both over 3 miles. Mullins says French Champion hurdle is the long term aim this season for Thousand Stars. Sounds like he doesn't think he is good enough for either of the Cheltenham races.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:02
Would be interesting to hear Ruby's thoughts when comparing Thousand Stars to Big Bucks as he's ridden them both over 3 miles. Mullins says French Champion hurdle is the long term aim this season for Thousand Stars. Sounds like he doesn't think he is good enough for either of the Cheltenham races.
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 22:06
very, very interesting apparently Wink

French CH is worth £150k to the winner. Nice pot.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:14
Haha well would be very very interesting. Damn betfair forum and my impatient button pressing.

Yeah I looked at the prize money and it's on a par with World hurdle money but below champion hurdle.
By:
strontium
When: 26 Nov 11 22:18
Plus I guess it's about targetting the horse best - Mullins must believe that Big Buck's is more or less unbeatable and he must have a great insight about Hurricane Fly v Thousand Stars - so the French CH is a sensible target (rather then TS not being good enough for Cheltenham per se).
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:35
Yeah I agree with that. Just trying to work out which Cheltenham race he will be targeted at. Would hate to waste my money on a non runner but can't see him being bigger than 4/1 on the day if he turns up.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 26 Nov 11 22:35
Yeah I agree with that. Just trying to work out which Cheltenham race he will be targeted at. Would hate to waste my money on a non runner but can't see him being bigger than 4/1 on the day if he turns up.
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Nov 11 08:30
oscarWink
By:
kavvie
When: 27 Nov 11 10:23
id say if hf runs in ch 1000 stars will run world hurdle..they got nothing to lose sure..
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Nov 11 16:43
i would agree
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 28 Nov 11 02:47
TS more than likely going french CH again!! willie said so himself but nothing ste in stone obviously!
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 28 Nov 11 11:13
French Champion hurdle is in June. I'm sure he'll race in the festival too as he has the done the previous 2 years.
By:
MR BLONDE
When: 08 Dec 11 00:23
Hi chaps.

I take it the 3-1 has all gone by now???

If so do you know what price he is now to remain unbeaten & where to find this on the w/hills website???

Many Thanks.
By:
davescrazy
When: 17 Dec 11 23:09
hills should be paying out now me thinks ,, 3/1 and straight to chelters now
By:
BornToWin
When: 17 Dec 11 23:44
Can't believe I missed this..... was 3/1 over 6 lengths today as well which was hard to fancy given his toying with opposition.... but today's trees made that win too.

I really cannot see a threat emerging before March, 66.67% interest on a not very risky 3 month investment with the tragic sign NRNB still lokks great value.
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