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Cheltenham Festival

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ReaseHeath
18 Mar 11 17:25
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Date Joined: 15 May 04
| Topic/replies: 13,495 | Blogger: ReaseHeath's blog
WAF going for Scottish National but must be an Aintree horse for next year. Not sure if they've scratched him from this year's and I know they said he's going to Ayr.

I know Mr. Barber does n't like the race but I wonder if they're even thinking of a State of Play type prep for Denman to get him there next year fresh. He could have a sighter to see if he likes the fences in the Becher Chase next Autumn. Awesome effort on gorund which would have been quick enough for him.

Not sure what you'd do with Kauto? He's still in old Whitbread but looked very tired at the end. Massive effort from an heroic racehorse. Must be thoughts of retirement, I guess.

Finally as good as he was, Long Run was tapped for toe on the turn and could still have jumped better...a frightening prospect.

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Replies: 38
By:
unclepuncle
When: 18 Mar 11 17:29
If Long Run improves with age and experience like you would expect then he has the race at his mercy for the forseeable future. Maybe he can out do Kauto and win 4 King Georges and 4 Gold CupsShocked
By:
twonky
When: 18 Mar 11 20:03
Personally don't think the form will stack up. LR beat 2 horses that are past their best and others that failed to run their race.
By:
french force
When: 18 Mar 11 20:29
Twonky,that was the best Gold Cup you will ever see.
By:
zilzal1
When: 18 Mar 11 20:30
Mon Parrain will be Nicholls next star
By:
sintonian
When: 18 Mar 11 21:05
Long Run is only going to get better.

Cant believe someone offer 6/1 about a repeat.
By:
CVByrne
When: 18 Mar 11 21:11
Weapons Amnesty, Burton Port and Diamond Harry all beat Long Run and Denman but were absent from the race today, food for thought.
By:
sintonian
When: 18 Mar 11 21:12
they beat him when he was 5yo, though, when he had spent the previous 18 months slogging around France in the mud.

Id be amazed if any of those said horses could beat him again,tbh
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 18 Mar 11 21:26
Weapons amnesty will spunk all over Long run again next March.
By:
CVByrne
When: 18 Mar 11 21:29
Weapons Amnesty did beat Long Run pretty well though and he hasn't had the chance to show improvement.
By:
BonVivvy
When: 18 Mar 11 21:55
Personally thought Denman ran a cracker on ground genuinely a stride to quick for him and i'd rate this as his next best GC after his 2008.I'm sure he more or less ran to his rating as well,so much for being in decline.

LR a massively improved talent(who didnt have his ground either)and brilliant winner.

For me one of the greatest GC's i've ever seen and the roar of the crowd when Denman goes head to head with Kauto 3 out was something to behold(even on a tv screen!)

KS ran a blinder on his best ground and though brave and game i hope they'll retire him gracefully after maybe one more race.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 18 Mar 11 22:06
just watched it again, agree KS gave everything but was going up and down on the spot at the end - maybe the Whitbread as a finale if he comes out of the race well but would be happy enough if they retired him.

Denman got a bit more left in the locker I think.
By:
CVByrne
When: 18 Mar 11 23:59
I think Kauto almost came to a stop as they approached the last. I think the Wind Op worked wonders on Denman, will be interested if Kauto has the same op in the Summer and then runs off 11-8 in the Hennessy fto. Denman on top weight.
By:
zilzal1
When: 19 Mar 11 00:04
Might not Kauto go for the Whitbread??
By:
CVByrne
When: 19 Mar 11 00:07
Yeah might do but he's been entered in that for the past 2 years and didn't run. He can retire after running in it next year, most runners in it are old enough. It depends if they want to go for the Hennessy or not. If they do then he'll be a non runner.
By:
Howdi
When: 19 Mar 11 00:12
when its announced tghat denman and kauto retire part of me will go with them legends the pair of them Cry
By:
zilzal1
When: 19 Mar 11 00:16
IMO Nicholls has a new star, Mon Parrain jumped better than any horse ive seen on a British Debut at Sandown last saturday

Looked so natural
By:
sintonian
When: 19 Mar 11 00:20
Wasn't that off 138 or something though ?

Mr Eboue .. i'd wager quite heavily WA would not beat LR again.

If the King George had not been rearranged by 3 weeks LR would have won it as a 5yo.

This horse is on a serious upwards curve just like Kauto Star was at the same age.
By:
CVByrne
When: 19 Mar 11 00:25
Long Run can win 3 Gold Cups by the age Denman won his first.
By:
zilzal1
When: 19 Mar 11 00:27
True sint, but Master Minded won a h'cap in the low 140s on his second run by 3l

This thing won from here to shepherds bush jumping like a horse that had around 5 years experience, got a rpr in the 160s as well!!

Nicholls thought he wasnt ready and it drifted like a barge
By:
TD_Gunner
When: 19 Mar 11 00:28
Weapons Amnesty absolutely murdered Long Run.

If (big IF) he was back to his best, there's only one winner out of the two.
By:
CVByrne
When: 19 Mar 11 00:35
Long Run was a 5yo having his 7th race of the season. He's improved since then. But I agree Weapons Amnesty might be a threat, Time for Rupert might be too, that was an epic run for a horse who bled heavily.

Also Pandorama will improve for more experience and had no chance on super quick ground today. If it was ground like in 08 then he'd have a chance.

If Quel Esprit got his jumping blunders sorted out he might have a squeek. He was going to win the RSA well imo. Stays all day.

That's about it really. Couldn't imagine anything else winning next year.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 19 Mar 11 00:35
t.d weapons amnesty had expierence of cheltenham and long run made 4 mistakes and a blunder at a crucial time if (big if)  he had jumped as he did today the result may well have been different ,and he had been on the go in france in grade 1 s in heavy ground since july .
By:
Denmanism
When: 19 Mar 11 00:36
TD,get a grip fella,we've had this conversation.Pulling double in the RSA,in training for 8 months.Henderson has said since he wasn't happy about running him.I think we can take that as read now.There are some really exciting prospects for next year,for today though he deserves the credit.
By:
sintonian
When: 19 Mar 11 00:38
you really believe that gunner ? He beat him 7 lengths over 3 miles.


WA has two years on Long Run. 7 vs 5, that's a huge difference for so many reasons
By:
TD_Gunner
When: 19 Mar 11 00:39
25/1 and 7/2, know who i'd rather be on
By:
Denmanism
When: 19 Mar 11 00:39
Foyles well done today fella,one point he made a fairly big blunder today aswell,so he will improve again.Lovely
By:
resner not lesnar
When: 19 Mar 11 00:46
Something else to consider with long run is the fact he's French. Could he be past his best in a couple of years?
Right now he's the best out there but with diamond Harry, weapons amnesty pandorama and others out there he will have some good opposition to prove himself against.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 19 Mar 11 00:48
cheers denmanism yes i saw the blunder its frightning how good he could be ...probably wont be a backable price for a long time ...still just watch and enjoy
By:
Giddy
When: 19 Mar 11 06:40
Ground!Ground! Ground! So important to so many horses.Weapons Amnesty was beaten by Pandorame a SH last season and Pando slaughtered today. Therefore you would feel WA would have no chance with Long Run, but its all down to the ground.If it was slower ground today theres every chance Denman would have won but who knows to be sure.Ground so important in the NH game
By:
sintonian
When: 19 Mar 11 10:40
Long Run won on good today and has also won on heavy several times. It makes no difference to him,seemingly, and it was much the same for Kauto Star.

Long Run could be that good.
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 19 Mar 11 11:06
yes i agree sint long runs former trainer was adamant that he needs very soft or heavy to be seen at his best ,so him winning on ground that quick and making 4-5 slight mistakes and given that more improvement likely he looks an absolute monster ........
By:
twonky
When: 19 Mar 11 12:10
definate lay material if he goes to Aintree
By:
Brooksielad
When: 19 Mar 11 12:23
If Kauto Star was an 8 year old, at that stage turning in yesterday when Ruby let the reins go, he would of just been like cya later guys! Unfortunatly age catches up :(
By:
Denmanism
When: 19 Mar 11 16:18
So if LR was an 8 year old,what would have happened then Brookie?
By:
bornunlucky
When: 19 Mar 11 16:31
Like the poster I couldn't believe how good Kauto was. I was one of those who said he should have been retired after the King George.

And a really weird thing happened. I layed Kauto but found myself cheering him on at the end, even though it would have cost me 300 quid if he'd won. And who knows what would have happened if he'd jumped the last. A superstar performance from a superstar horse. Certainly my equine hero.
By:
Brooksielad
When: 19 Mar 11 20:06
Well judging on how he was being niggled along yesterday and out stayed spent older horses I'd say left behind If kauto was in his prime.
By:
EastLower Gooner
When: 19 Mar 11 20:34
thought the race fell right into Long Run's lap.
By:
horseman
When: 20 Mar 11 13:16
Well judging on how he was being niggled along yesterday and out stayed spent older horses I'd say left behind If kauto was in his prime.

Get a grip you sentimental old tart,it's like saying "If Ali was in his prime he wouldnt have been beaten up by Larry Holmes" etc etc or Arnold Palmer would win the open "if he was in his prime" etc

Extreme examples maybe but you csn't alter time to adjust for new and rising stars.

As it was KS gave a terrifically brave performance and genuinely i believe ran his race on his best ground,was exhausted by the last.For me (apart from the winner naturally) the run of the race was surely by Denman,utterly smashing the "over the hill" critics and running a blinding race and only beaten by a very young rising star who could himself turn out to be a NH legend.

Denman's gallop is breathtaking,it's quite remarkable how he is slightly outpaced but still maintains his gallop fully as the others quickly fade actually leaving him in front almost by default as he beats the relentless drum almost to the line.He's a one paced horse without doubt but what a pace that happens to be.
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