Cheltenham Festival
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16 Feb 11
23:51
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Date Joined:
16 Feb 11
£5 Lucky 15
Peddlers Cross 11/2 Champion Hurdle
Big Zeb 7/2 Champion Chase
Albertas Run 12/1 Ryanair
Imperial Commander 7/2 Gold Cup
Missed the boat on the prices I know, but what's my chances on returning a big one?
Peddlers Cross 11/2 Champion Hurdle
Big Zeb 7/2 Champion Chase
Albertas Run 12/1 Ryanair
Imperial Commander 7/2 Gold Cup
Missed the boat on the prices I know, but what's my chances on returning a big one?
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Replies: 13
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Well Lucky 15's are awful bets in themselves. However, your selections are decent. Not sure what the latest is with Alberta's Run though...
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Yeah I admit i've took a gamble on Albertas well being, but thought it's a cracking price if it lines up again. Clearly loves Cheltenham and the trip.
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They're all in with a squeak. But i think you'll only have one winner out of that lot. Which one? I do not know.
Just my opinion |
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Three have got a chance but you are taking a punt on Alberta's . Been out of form this season compared to last. Prefer Menorah and Denman myself but agree with Big Zeb. I have done those three plus Medermit for the Arkle in a unlucky 15
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horses aint bad but why not go for singles? bookies love lucky 15's a chances of winning are slim at a normal meeting let alone cheltenham!!!
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lucky 15 mugsville bet lad.
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It's a nice enough bet for a bit of fun with a runner every day. It's a red hot CH but Peddlars is unbeaten and who knows how good he might be? IC and BZ are the most likely winners of their races in my view and should be favourites. Your price on Albertas is skinny given his form, but he's a spring horse with a cracking Cheltenham (and Festival) record, and always underrated. Good luck with your selections!
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Howdi, a lucky 15 is anything but a mugs bet if the odds are in your favour. If you have 4 overpriced horses and you put them in any sort of a multiple it makes that value even greater. You have to play up when the odds are in your favour.
As regards the lucky 15 above, your total return will be £0. |
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I won £2k from a £1 lucky 15 at Chelt last year and only The Package ( beaten a head) let me down for £22k - so it can be done
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got to say Neutral, your bet is looking a lot better than my ante post multi, personally I would have it E/W but that's just me, I think all your selections have an excellent chance of top 3 finishes but like I said, I'm not brave enough to back win only multis so good luck to you mate and I hope you get a decent pick-up
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At the prices, I would've been more inclined to place a yankee, or even a trixie. If you do get all 4 up, the returns will be much greater, and you have to be prepared to lose all your stake when placing a bet so I don't see the value in having small stake singles as part of the bet.
No one can be confident of a selection in the Champion Hurdle given the quality of the race. I seriously rate Big Zeb's chances, but im concerned that he's a 10-year-old; they don't have a great record in the race and a couple of the others are still open to slight improvement. Albertas Run is a great price, as im sure he's a spring horse and runs to the best of his ability at this time of year, Imperial Commander I can't see being beaten, in short id say you have a very live chance!! |
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I backed Albertas at Chelts and Aintree last year and I really like the horse but I think 12s is a shocking price. It may well be a spring horse but before winning at Chelts last year it was at least placing in its races, it won a grade 2 in November and at least finished in the King George. This year it has been well out of each race it has entered before getting to the closing stages.
I really wouldn't be surprised to see it go for the Gold Cup if they aren't confient it is in good form they may as well have a crack at the big one. The horse owes connections nothing and they had to talk the owner out of the Gold Cup last year. |
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Hope they go for the Gold Cup, as I'm on at big prices and the race could fall apart and an outsider win it. Apart from Imperial Commander, it's wide open.
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