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Cheltenham Festival

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Steeplechasing
27 Dec 10 19:25
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Date Joined: 18 Jul 03
| Topic/replies: 820 | Blogger: Steeplechasing's blog
This mare looks the value bet to me for the Gold Cup.  She’s been available at 200 + for some days now and, on form, that offer strongly suggests she won’t run in the race and that the Ryanair will be her target again, but I'm hoping minds will be changed tomorrow in the Lexus.

She could be considered unlucky in the Ryanair back in March.  Having travelled well, she was given a very hard time of it by Ruby on Poquelin.  Just as she was coming to deliver her challenge, Ruby decided to close the gap Condon had seen.  Condon persevered but Ruby bumped and bored the mare, knocking her almost sideways at one point, killing her chance and not doing Poquelin’s much good either.

J’y Vole battled back but made a mistake two out and took an accidental bump from Poquelin on landing.  Still she battled on and was run out of second by a nose, staying on well enough for one who’d met so much trouble in running.

She went into the Ryanair on the back of an easy victory over Watson Lake in a Grade 2, her first win for almost a year - Mullins quote was that she’d finally been showing at home she was on her way back.

After the Ryanair, she was turned out at Punchestown and was moving sweetly in the 26f ****ss Gold Cup when unseating five out.  On her reappearance this season she really impressed me in how she travelled, jumped and stayed on to run Tranquil Sea to under a length in a Grade 1 on soft ground over 20f.

She disappointed in last year’s Lexus but went into the race in much poorer form than she’s shown lately, a fact reflected in her being third favourite for tomorrow’s race.  Heavy ground will test her stamina more than her action - she’s won 3 from 5 on heavy going (2nd and 3rd in the other two).  But I think she has every chance of getting the trip and if she runs well tomorrow and stays on stoutly, she will surely get a Gold Cup entry.

She certainly has a lot to find with the major players but I think she is quite a bit better than her 153 rating and, about to turn 8, she has, I believe, considerable improvement in her.

A strong traveller with an admirable attitude and a dose of tactical speed, my main concern would be how low she gets at her fences at times, though her jumping last time looked very solid.

Anyway, I’m hoping she wins or goes close tomorrow to merit a Gold Cup entry and a dramatic reduction in price.

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Replies: 8
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 28 Dec 10 23:22
Not a bad run today, but not sure she will stay the GC trip tbh.
By:
BJG
When: 29 Dec 10 10:31
Didnt stay yesterday imo
By:
Steeplechasing
When: 29 Dec 10 13:29
Yes, went out quickly after travelling well.  Ryanair looks the race
By:
aka
When: 29 Dec 10 18:08
Takes a lot out of herself jumping out of that ground and given the demands of the Irish fences. She is a sound enough jumper, but not quite enough scope to take those fences as efficiently as some in terms of conserving energy. In that light, not a bad performance and would be interesting if turning up in the Ryanair again.

On the ground yesterday, and over those fences, that was a tough race  against the likes of Money Trix, The Listener and Pandorama, who were all well suited by the conditions.
By:
abbott
When: 30 Dec 10 21:56
aka regarding jumping, dont laugh but she looks like she would lob round the national course.
By:
Steeplechasing
When: 30 Dec 10 21:59
I'd be watching through my fingers at Aintree mate!  She gets very low sometimes.
By:
Albion Dan
When: 30 Dec 10 22:10
Watch the Punchestown Gold Cup race from last year, she falls twice Laugh
By:
abbott
When: 30 Dec 10 22:10
see I think the other way. she seems to jump really high but occasionally a bit early or late. hope you have a good new year mate. ill drop you a mail next week and see if we can get you back on board for the preview this season.
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