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Well you've got the best cross already there! (WxN)
I wouldn't be rushing to a Mr Prospector Double particularly with the not very robust Woodman perhaps. There is plenty of evidence of success with a Danzig or Nureyev line cross. With slightly less Sadlers perhaps. Seeing that these are so dominant over here you are probably quite lucky! |
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Thank you Potentialmillionaire for your insight. When you said you would not recommend a Mr Prospector double, in your view what is the downside of this type of cross ?
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Sorry for the delay D.D.
Mr Prospector is not a great place to start for soundness or a very commercial confirmation. So you would be increasing your chances of perpetuating those undesirable traits with inbreeding this way. Lord Shanakill was a sound horse mind you and the offspring of such a mating would only be 3x4 to Mr P so you need to assess any mating individually rather than being too influenced by a specific dogma. Actually your end use for this foal will be the biggest influence on your choice and that knowledge will help people on here with their answers! |
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Thank you for your last reply. In the meantime, I have researched what you have said and it confirmed everything you said about Mr. Prospector line. I am now looking at first season sires for this mare from the Danzig line, such as Alfred Nobel, Starspangledbanner (even though he is a bit over budget), Arcano and showcasing, Paco Boy, and maybe a second season sire like Jeremy or Holy Romam Emperor (fee down to 10K for 2011). I want to avoid the older cheaper sire because I found that the yearlings/foals sales have been dropping in GB and IRE. I'll welcome any opinion you have about these sires.
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Thank you for your last reply. In the meantime, I have researched what you have said and it confirmed everything you said about Mr. Prospector line. I am now looking at first season sires for this mare from the Danzig line, such as Alfred Nobel, Starspangledbanner (even though he is a bit over budget), Arcano and showcasing, Paco Boy, and maybe a second season sire like Jeremy or Holy Romam Emperor (fee down to 10K for 2011). I want to avoid the older cheaper sire because I found that the yearlings/foals sales have been dropping in GB and IRE. I'll welcome any opinion you have about these sires.
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All these horses have been in discussion on this forum d.d. I trust you have tralled back and confused yourself further. I don't know how much knowledge you have so forgive me if I state the obvious. The first thing that jumps out is that you need to nominate for Arcano now if you are to stand much chance in getting one ( and you probably don't!)
If you are commercial the next advice would be to see these horses in the flesh - if you consider your 'eye' a good one. If you lack experience then I really would recommend you get your mare appraised physically and get an opinion on your sires of interest too. It really is incredibly important to breed a good physical specimen for the sales as there simply is no forgiveness at any level of the market on this score. Jeremy - 4th season is a big risk and if you are newish to the game I think you should steer clear until you have got a thorough grounding in this jeopardy! Holy Roman is stone cold commercially and has a job to turn that round (not impossible) but again you need to be fully versed in those implications. I have yet to see Starspangledbanner but he would be a goer 1st season if he looks good (likely I imagine) Showcasing is nice but along with Alfred Nobel he represents a sector of the market that is a little flooded for 2011, something else you need to take into consideration. |
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Hi Pot.Millionaire,
Thanks again for your reply. I must admit you are right, I have followed your threads throughout this forum and did get confused at first. I should have explained that I have a couple of mares and have very recently got involved into the breeding business. So I am trying to get as much advice & gain as much knowledge from as many sources as I can. I was even advised to check out this forum. As regards to Holy Roman Emperor, I have noticed that Ballydoyle tend to support one of their first season sire each year, but as you said he seems cold commercially and I don't believe he will be supported again in the year to come. His stud fee even dropped from 17.5k to 10k for 2011. I think Starspangledbanner might be the one they will support next season. Some of my mares are better bred than others and I have shortlisted potentially suitable sires. Going through your comments posted in this forum, it made me investigate further whether to choose 1st or older season sires and have realised that with my budget I should stick to 1st season sires. After checking the median sales history for yearling & foals of some of the older sires over the last few years, it seems that most of the median sales have been in decline and so have their stud fees. At first, I thought the stud fees dropped only because of the recession but when I looked at the sales prior to 2008, it had already been in decline. You made me realise that what appears to be a bargain (low stud fee) could have been a disaster commercially. I am looking to sell at the foal or yearling stage. Good match on breeding does not necessarily equate to a good commercial move. For example, I was looking at Dubai Destination for one of my mares but now I have been put off because his median sales & stud fees have been in decline: GB/IRE Median sales yearling: 2010 = £14,286 2009 = £8,000 2008 = £15,000 2007 = £32,175 2006 = £52,545 Foals 2010 = £800 2009 = £5,750 2008 = £4,351 2007 = £17,375 2006 = £32,000 2005 = £56,000 Stud fees: 2010 EUR 3,500 2009 GBP 7,000 2008 GBP 15,000 2007 GBP 20,000 2006 GBP 20,000 2005 GBP 20,000 2004 GBP 25,000 I use this info when looking at older sires. Once again, thanks for your help. You speak a lot sense on this forum. |
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Dubai Destination has been standing as a jump stallion this year,commercially he's as cold as the snow outside.If you want to sell for the flat market steer well clear of him.
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D.D. keep plugging away with your research, you'll never have too much info.
If you are a keen student I wouldn't necessarily put you off proven sires, but I would recommend you research them thoroughly. As Prima Donna always says, a stallion by and large will cover his best mares in year one. Unless they are prepotent superstars, that is the year that will probably produce their best runners. If you think about Ifraaj for example, he is going to get a pretty good book of mares next spring. If he is an exceptional sire then he will continue to build a good record from next year onwards despite having to rely on lesser year 2, 3 & 4 mates. More likeley however, is that he has already had his best crop and year 2, 3 & 4 crops will be inferior. BUT, the mares he is about to cover may lift his record considerably so crop 5 could be superior once again. In reality that is the lot of most proven but unexeptional sires and their crop quality will be up and down like my thermals in this weather. So if you are prepared to research where a sire is in his cycle there is scope to take advantage and be ready to sell the year when his record is temporarily lifted once again. Not an exact science sure, but another thing to consider perhaps. After all, even Dubai Destination enjoyed a bit of a lift at this years yearling sales according to your figures! |
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Oasis Dream works well with Mr Prospector line mares. e.g Midday (ex Kingmambo mare), Naaqoos (ex Machiavellian mare). Unless you have 85k to spend, that leaves you with Aqlaam, Showcasing, or Captain Gerrard in England.
Who did you go for in the end with your Woodman mare? |
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Not enough info to go on, but from what you have said, Green Desert has a reasonable record with Woodman mares, and as his sons are outperforming their pedigrees, he is always worth considering.
As you have Nijinsky in your mare, id look for stallions with Blushing Groom in, this encompasses a important sister to a mare in Nijinsky's pedigree that has bolstered this cross when its brought together As for the cross itself, only 5 blacktype winners from this cross. 2 of these are sisters in Mudaarah and Ethaara and only 1 Group 1 winner from your mares cross. Definitely consider a Northern Dancer line, perhaps with the help of a Nasrullah line stallion in to. |