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copyandpastie
13 Aug 10 14:10
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Date Joined: 13 Aug 10
| Topic/replies: 1 | Blogger: copyandpastie's blog
I'm a big green on Sam like most here, but I am a bit worried about tonight's eviction. Am I the only one?

For as boring as Jo is, she isn't that far ahead on any polls that i've seen so far and she is missing from all the highlight shows lately.

In fact I saw a poll for 'least liked housemate' where Sam polled higher than Jo.

What are peoples thoughts?

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By:
ghatroonh
When: 13 Aug 10 14:17
There is potential for them to do a complete hatchet job on Sam tonight, but more likely if they target anyone, it would be JJ and/or Dave.

Jo is unlikely to feature much - so it's difficult to see where masses of votes for her are going to come from, particularly in a Dave/JJ1/JJ2 vs Sam highlights show.

There is a potential shock tonight.
By:
armagnac
When: 13 Aug 10 14:19
im not laying a penny, what will be will be...his price could go straight to evens if he's saved
By:
Arbitrage
When: 13 Aug 10 14:19
Still a 4 way fight for me.  Over a week to go.....this is unknown territory.  Anyone who thinks this is over on here is a fool.  By all means back your fav but don't be surprised by a couple more twists before the end.  Polls are too close to be reliable.
By:
Topper Robson
When: 13 Aug 10 14:20
Hi copy my advise would be if you want to back him for eviction wait till in running tonight, he will defo have plenty of cheers. Re Jos invisibilty Rachel was absent virtually from the highlight shows last week and still went easily. John James had a far worse edit last wed and survived so I dant think hes in much danger personally.
By:
ghatroonh
When: 13 Aug 10 14:22
Regarding Rachel - John James fans seem to be way more organised in the who to target game. I'm not seeing many Sam twitter fansites telling people to target Jo - they just list the numbers of all the other three to evict.
By:
ghatroonh
When: 13 Aug 10 14:27
Rachel was also a very obvious target for John James fans - even without twitter/facebook campaigns as he was going on about how annoying she was - i.e. telling his fans to vote him out.

Is Jo as obvious? - particularly if early scenes of JJ2 and Dave bitching about him are shown. Add to the fact that I'd imagine all the hardcore John James fans will now be targeting Sam after last night.
By:
leveller
When: 13 Aug 10 14:32
ghatroonh Joined: 13 Jun 10
Replies: 371 13 Aug 10 14:27   


Rachel was also a very obvious target for John James fans - even without twitter/facebook campaigns as he was going on about how annoying she was - i.e. telling his fans to vote him out.

Is Jo as obvious? - particularly if early scenes of JJ2 and Dave bitching about him are shown. Add to the fact that I'd imagine all the hardcore John James fans will now be targeting Sam after last night


I think there has been a little bit of that, but no organised campaign, twitter, FB or forums, just a change of heart and nervousness over the edits, where Sam is a threat.  I think Jo is obvious, and of course as others have pointed out (which I vehemently dispute).. she has the curse.Sad
By:
shrewdbury
When: 13 Aug 10 14:48
Even if he doesn't go, he clearly has lost some support - so gawd knows why he's the price he is.
By:
leveller
When: 13 Aug 10 14:59
I think Sams problem is that he doesnt have a long-standing loyal fan-base.  He is a two week housemate picking up Ben fans and the anti-vote... is it enough to protect him on a vote to evict.  Its not like his 'fans' are voting to evict any particular other, or even John James....

His fan base likely to be fickle, and hopefully busy on a friday night kicking in bus-stops!.. Laugh
By:
Topper Robson
When: 13 Aug 10 14:59
think i would retract my original advise given the spoiler, jo invisible and plenty of sam. still think he will get cheers but a lot of people with sam greens will be nervous me included and will cover positions 8/1 sam on the high street.
By:
five leaves left
When: 13 Aug 10 15:00
Sam has fans. Probably more than JJ now.

Rachel didn't have any nor did the likes of Nathan.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 15:04
Sam has fans; it's the residual JJ ones that concern me a little

I have covered him for eviction

Any loss on Jo would be compensated on the OR.  Sam through tonight and he has a clear run for the final as the next eviction becomes the JJJJ vs Corin and the rest
By:
leveller
When: 13 Aug 10 15:04
didnt say he didnt have fans fig... he has plenty on here for starters.. I thought I was suggesting he didnt have a long-standing loyal fanbase.

Happy
By:
armagnac
When: 13 Aug 10 15:04
thats just it people are scare mongering, i would'nt take any notice of sams eviction price coz people are just covering positions when there really is no need.
jo will probably end up 1.25 or hit 1.3 when her true price is 1.05 she leaves with 50% of the vote.
By:
leveller
When: 13 Aug 10 15:08
I agree armagnac... jo is out tonight.
By:
Topper Robson
When: 13 Aug 10 15:11
hope so army ive been on the high street backing sam to go £2.50 at ppSad £7.10 at boylesSad £10 at hillsSad £25 with 365 and £30 with fred
By:
ghatroonh
When: 13 Aug 10 15:13
there is also that issue of "mature" women generally doing worse on internet polls etc than in the actual vote.
By:
armagnac
When: 13 Aug 10 15:15
Laugh HS are such a joke, make out they take any bet...they wont even take a decent sized footy bet anymore. i give up with em long ago.
By:
armagnac
When: 13 Aug 10 15:29
i will put everyones mind at rest by keeping this very simple:

since sun/mon sams popularity has grown everyday, he's gaining support at an alarming rate and with tonites tears and then tomorrows apology from john james he will be at his peak imo.

this time last week he was trending very bad on twitter, he has turned that around full circle and is the most popular trender right now.

it just does not make any sense that sam will go tonite, it would be a tragedy for BB and for the viewers.
By:
votewithfeet81
When: 13 Aug 10 15:43
Excuse me, but doesn't the poll that was posted on the sammy pepper express tell you that he is going tonight:

Who's your LEAST Favourite?
                               
            Sam      18%     █████████████��...     
            Dave      6%     █████     
            John James      22%     █████████████��... ███     
            Corin      4%     ████     
            Mario      12%     ████████████     
            Josie      13%     ████████████     
            Steve      11%     ███████████     
            Andrew      2%     █     
            Jo      11%     ██████████     
            JJ      2%     █     

Unless i'm reading that wrong, that says that there are more people out there who feel strongly about getting Sam out than Jo...and that's without John James telling his hoards of supporters to get Sam out tonight?!

I can't believe Jo is such a short price in what seems more like a 50/50 coin flip.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 15:43
True, but they've found it impossible to keep him out of the edit army, and impossible to get Jo in
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 15:44
He's either evicted or odds on tonight

More likely the latter, but I've covered the former
By:
armagnac
When: 13 Aug 10 15:47
he's safe as houses GB have faith
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 15:49
Oh, I've been backing on the OR Army

But covering for eviction

At these prices it looks the bet
By:
armagnac
When: 13 Aug 10 15:52
you old shrewdy [;)]
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 15:55
I think you're right for once, with the reset polls he goes close to OO  ;-)

But covering the stake at 6- 7s for eviction seems wise
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 15:55
Unlikely he'll be evicted next week, looks like the JJ Corin shoot out
By:
jack12321
When: 13 Aug 10 15:58
6-7's pretty fair imo, bit late to be backing him for eviction now surely?
By:
johnnyrant
When: 13 Aug 10 15:58
He will be a silly odds-on shot if he does go odds on after tonight. He would not merit such a short price. Doing well in online polls does not equate to votes to win on finals night. I think it should be joint-favs of 3. A long, long way to go.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 15:59
Confused
By:
jack12321
When: 13 Aug 10 16:00
Josie now favourite Plain
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 16:04
Confused was to jack
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 13 Aug 10 16:06
I just got matched at 3.7 on Sam Shocked
By:
armagnac
When: 13 Aug 10 16:07
lucky you, josie only fav coz people laying off there greens..silly people caught up in the hype
By:
SILENCE
When: 13 Aug 10 16:23
If those on here that are confident that Sam will not be evicted phone up 100+ times each to get Jo out then I will start sharing the confidence, but I think it's misplaced confidence. The people who will be phoning tonight have no loyalties to betting slip and will vote on what they see. When John James tells his army of supporters what to do tonight, it will happen. John James is still strong in the polls because his supporters are dedicated and organised and I think anyone that doesn't protect their investment tonight will look extremely silly.
By:
shrewdbury
When: 13 Aug 10 16:36
Funny if in fact what BB really wanted was a nice 'big' eviction tonight - boring Jo or someone else... [;)]
By:
SILENCE
When: 13 Aug 10 16:45
Seems set up that way.

Can you imagine if the shoe was on the other foot with armagnac...say it was someone who he has a massive red on in Sam's exact situation he'd be loving the way things have been edited.

I can't wait for tonight, I really don't know who's going!
By:
SILENCE
When: 13 Aug 10 16:51
One thing that is for certain is that Jo won't gather 50% of the vote. The vote is bound to be more evenly spread with how BB are protecting Jo and 'setting up' Sam.
By:
balsamic
When: 13 Aug 10 16:59
Yes, I can really see why BB would want to protect Jo and set up Sam. Plain
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