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squares
07 Aug 10 11:37
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re: Newmarket

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Replies: 8
By:
squares
When: 07 Aug 10 11:42
Not an easy day's racing you've chosen here!  Had plenty of rain overnight so could well be more NRs through the day.  Very quiet for messages this morning.  Sent a few texts out yesterday to try and get on the case early but not a sausage. 

I'll run through my take on it anyway.  Had a good night last night but not so confident today.
By:
squares
When: 07 Aug 10 11:53
2.05.  Only been able to narrow it down to Psychic Ability, Kindest and Spanish Duke.  The fav seems plenty short enough tho, so prefer the other two at the prices.  Took what I thought were decent odds before the NR came through.

2.35 Both the front two look to have solid chances but not keen on the price the two combined so prefer Clinical and Musharakaat at the odds.

3.10 The favourite (and as a rule I'm not really into favourites) and Primaeval for me.

3.45 Unraced maidens, not heard anything so no idea.  No doubt one of the front ones/main stables will win.   If I had to go for one ew, I'd go for Tameen.

4.20 Only a handful of runners in this.  Fav looks solid enough.  Possible each way = Music City.

4.55 Narrowed this down to Act of Kalanisi and Plymouth Rock.

5.25 My Best Bet looks a decent ew shot. 

Sorry, it's a bit waffly today.  Good well be an outstanding day for Godolphin.  Any thoughts yourself?

Will you be wearing your "I Hate JJJ" badge?

GL
By:
johnnyrant
When: 07 Aug 10 12:16
Thanks squares - much appreciated. Uncannily a lot of those match my own thoughts on todays cards. Was looking at Spanish Duke (also Rumble Of Thunder).
Also like Clinical and the Ed Dunlop filly in Solera.
Sun Raider, Primaeval and Redford who will like the cut and may have been perked up by change of stable.
I was looking at Tameen too e/w - nice breeding, J Dunlop has good record running 2-y-0 at July Course.
Pink Palace
Cotillion & Wells Lyrical ew
Titbit, Avon Lady in last...?

good that so many match up with you. Why the Cotin drift.
cheers squares
By:
johnnyrant
When: 07 Aug 10 12:17
Corin drift
By:
squares
When: 07 Aug 10 12:31
No idea really.  I guess just because JJJ have shortened, and BBBM peeps overdoing it on the JJ2 action ?


LOL at Redford.  I have a long history with this old rogue from Bell days, always the type to pop up and annoy you when you least expect it.  My main gripe back then was that Spencer (and Hughes) just didn't seem like the ideal jockeys to ride him.
By:
five leaves left
When: 07 Aug 10 12:33
Not much of a drift really jr.

Last night we had some confused messages.

Boos for JJ from the crowd, that continued on BBBM, plus a general deramp from Davina. Which suggests maybe more bad edits for JJ to come.
On the plus side, 58% was impressive and clearly one bad edit hasn't knocked his support that much.

As for Corin, the argument with Sam didn't look bad to me, but it would be a worry if Sam (with JJ1's help) manages to wind her up on a regular basis.
BBBM - it wasn't as negative to her as they were to JJ, but hardly positive with the HJ story.

Polls - Corin down a little with sam picking up some of her support. You'd think it would go back to her when Sam goes.

JJJ down a little on most polls, but they do tend to pick up over the course of the week, except for on DS where the reverse is true.


Overall a small drift for Corin and JJ coming in a little looks about right.
By:
squares
When: 07 Aug 10 12:35
George Lamb sounded like he'd find a baseball bat handy when JJ1 gets on BBLB
By:
five leaves left
When: 07 Aug 10 12:37
Yes, he's clearly not a fan ;)
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