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GeorgeBrush
06 Aug 10 09:18
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Date Joined: 16 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 68,001 | Blogger: GeorgeBrush's blog
Rachel will go ;-)

JJ will be missing from the HL's tonight, and Rachel arguing with Sam will be enough
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Report chepster August 6, 2010 9:31 AM BST
Are you Kenneth Tong?[:o]
Report CopaLibertadores August 6, 2010 9:31 AM BST
I won't be shocked either way, certainly won't be betting on it.
Report johnnyrant August 6, 2010 9:43 AM BST
How can you be so sure GB?
Report Topper Robson August 6, 2010 9:52 AM BST
Had a think about this last night, under normal circumstances assuming 100k votes Rachel would get 50k dave 28 k and JJ 22k in line with polls and figgies voting figs. So it boils down to how many people picked up the the phone and voted for JJ last night. If it was 1% of viewers thats 20kish votes and hes probably safe but anything more than 1.5% and hes in trouble. My wife who doesnt normally vote voted for him I think hes in trouble.
Report johnnyrant August 6, 2010 10:09 AM BST
I think 100k is a high estimate Topper. I'd go for something like 60k. And I guess we need to figure out what percentage of overall eviction votes are cast on a Friday – presumably a higher percentage. Whereas the initial burst of votes would have been tweenies voting out Rachel, the highlights viewer, after last night, would have been voting out JJ.
If it is getting around 2 million viewers now, we need to work out what a realistic percentage of those might have picked up the phone but I'd imagine the call volume was far greater after last night for JJ than the initial tweenie effect.
Report CopaLibertadores August 6, 2010 10:38 AM BST
Its a pure lottery trying to work it out, you also have to factor in the casual highlights voter who will vote once and the tweenie nutter who will vote double digits.
Report armagnac August 6, 2010 11:57 AM BST
rachel still goes imo
Report GeorgeBrush August 6, 2010 12:01 PM BST
It's just the law of the jungle JR
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