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letsalldance
04 Aug 10 21:29
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Apr 08
| Topic/replies: 1,901 | Blogger: letsalldance's blog
In terms of "worse" book:

Corin -£3,110.04
John James +£1,394.66
Josie -£171.18
Steve -£3,059.92
Sam -£2,980.04
Andrew +£2,275.97
Mario +£4,448.30
JJ +£3,583.90
Dave +£3,082.92
Rachel -£2,862.04
Jo -£2,744.54

Very shocking I know, although I'm still not getting the whole Corin sensation or indeed Steve in anyway. Sam looks a definite to be up for eviction next week and will more than likely be the favourite to go. Was intial green on Josie but her aciton of late and turned me to go red on her and thinking of going deeper red mianly to reduce my liablity on Corin which is a major worry. Whilst all my greens have their flaws I think they've got something in their character that could possibly turn it for them (or at least make their price drop so I can lay off).

A lot relies of JJ1 not getting evicted this week. If he does I'm well and truely fooked really.
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Report GeorgeBrush August 4, 2010 9:32 PM BST
jaysus Laugh

Well done for posting that lsad

Makes a change from Angela's 51k green

Having squared up on Corin and JJ1 I'm in the unusual position of hoping he doesn't go too
Report GeorgeBrush August 4, 2010 9:32 PM BST
ps. the scouser is nailed on Grin
Report letsalldance August 4, 2010 9:35 PM BST
I was in a similiar position with last year's CBB when everyone thought mini me was going to win and I had a massive red on him. Ended up bottling it slightly and didn't win half as much as I could have won.

p.s. I hope so!
Report GeorgeBrush August 4, 2010 9:40 PM BST
She's pissing the 2 most reliable polls

JJ has had the day from hell, but all the edit has to show on friday is Rachel shouting for a second or two
Report PAKEY August 5, 2010 9:38 AM BST
What a nightmare letsalldance, hope you have time to recover mate.
PS I would not bet on Sam being next to go either as he has built up a bit of a cult (think I spelt it right) following.
Report letsalldance August 7, 2010 2:21 AM BST
Thankfully JJ1 survived tonight. Both JJ1 and Dave's price has shortened and Corin didn't have the best of shows which push her price out a little.

Suprised Mario's price has stayed the same after his magician performance, he could be up for eviciton but he doesn't seem the type to get people voting to evict him unless he's up against one of the big guns.

Updated book
Corin -£3,188.61
John James +£2,405.64
Josie -£2,324.35
Steve -£3,243.61
Sam -£2,666.61
Andrew +£5,076.29
Mario +£5,134.87
JJ +£5,007.14
Dave +£5,473.45
Jo -£2,626.11

Still not exactly ideal sitution but I feel a bit better than at the beginning of the week. I feel three of my reds Josie, Steve and Sam are all possibles to be up for eviction and would probably be like to go if up against any of my big greens in Mario, Andrew, Dave and JJ2. Really need JJ1 to get a grip of himself and stop arguing all the time, might help a bit now that Rachel has gone. However Sam Pepper and Josie can tear into each other as much as they like. I feel I should turn Sam into a green at some point, he could be a slight danger if he reaches positive voting terrority but in a negative vote he stands very little chance of surviving.
Report GeorgeBrush August 7, 2010 10:21 AM BST
Corin could be a danger too Lsad ;-)
Report arams August 7, 2010 10:24 AM BST
I think sam will be up but don't count on him going.
Report GeorgeBrush August 7, 2010 10:35 AM BST
The best tactic is to stop him being up

He can only get a max of 4 noms now, Corin, Steve, Andrew and JJ2

There's S&R to deal with though
Report alfie46 August 7, 2010 11:07 AM BST
yes bad news for sam, he is an easy target(or excuse for mario) to be put up for eviction by S&R winner
Report GeorgeBrush August 7, 2010 11:16 AM BST
Mario is too mischievous to put him up, he'd go with Steve this time

Plus most of Mario's noms were related to his mood last week, he may avoid it this time

I reckon Josie or Steve could be under threat

Sam could maybe beat either in a h2h, more threat to him if in a multi
Report letsalldance August 7, 2010 3:40 PM BST
Corin is the obvious danger yeah but she's slowly starting to crack, the real Corin is the one we saw swearing at Sam last night.

The only chance Sam as of staying is if he is is in a head-to-head against one of the lesser HMs and the Sam fan club vote the other out, but if it's a multi then he's more than likely to go and if he's in a head-to-head against Corin, JJ1 or Josie he'll also more than likely go.

Don't really bet on rge eviciton market but ideally for my current situation Josie, Steve or Sam going to be a good result.
Report five leaves left August 7, 2010 4:04 PM BST
the real Corin is the one we saw swearing at Sam last night.

That's part of who she is, as is the generally upbeat, positive, energetic, cheerful, witty, amusing, determined, kind hearted woman she is at other times.
Report GeorgeBrush August 7, 2010 4:38 PM BST
I'm not a big Corin fan, but that's a load of nonsense lsad.

She's cracked just once properly in 9 weeks
Report letsalldance August 7, 2010 11:21 PM BST
I make it twice, she totally went off on one at JJ1 earlier in the series, the time when she was screaming countless number of swear words in the diary which could be heard from the lounge.

She also makes really stupid comments, tonight she did it twice during a Josie/JJ1 convo. I personally think she's not quite as thick as she's making out and is just acting stupid because other housemates in the past have done that and been popular.

Bit of a JJJ love-in tonight which could only have boasted their chances, the Croin fanbase is no where near as big as the JJJ fan club and Corin up against JJ or Josie in the final two would see one the JJ club win in my opinion. I'm slowly turning my red on Josie back into green.
Report Jack Bauer '24' August 7, 2010 11:50 PM BST
It was a bad play to go big red on Josie from a smallish red and have only John James running for you imo.
Report letsalldance August 14, 2010 1:20 AM BST
Updated book (14th August)
Sam +£2,387.00
Corin -£4,669.30
Josie -£3,897.60
John James +£6,929.73
Steve -£4,860.48
Dave +£4,383.30
Andrew +£4,486.38
JJ -£803.79
Mario +£2,217.24

Thought I'd turned things around a little this week by getting a decent bet on Sam Pepper at a decent enough price. Kept my big red on Corin and Steve as they both drifted a little. Big mistake was not greening up on Josie when she drifted out earlier in the week, my thinking was that come the positive vote I'd feel Josie and John James would attract similiar vote percentage and that out of the two John James was the much better value at double figures he's been at all this week. Tonight's Hls and the news that everyone will be up in a vote to evict as totally but a spanner in the works. If it was a vote to save I'd feel pretty confident that my two main challengers in John James and Sam Pepper getting to the final from here but with a vote to evict against everyone else I feel one of them will probably go.

I really shouldn't have left myself upto such a situation but I don't recall Big Brother doing in this past and it seems weird stunt to pull to cancel nominations all together and just put them all up. I couldn't help myself topping up on John James at 20+ in what would be a massive price if he somehow survives this eviction and gets to positive voting terrority.

I basically need Corin, Steve or any of the others bar Sam and John James to do something so hateful and horrible that would turn them into prime eviciton targets. But at the minute the biggest two characters in the house (my two main greens) look in danger and what makes it worse is all the John James fans with be voting out Sam and all the Sam fans will be voting out John James when they could mutual come together and get rid of one of the no hopers left and gurantee the safety of their own favourite.

Feel free to abuse and add your own comments... Cry
Report armagnac August 14, 2010 1:24 AM BST
you should get on all the forums and twitter and start a massive campaign to join forces and pick on one of the others then.
Report Chompy_imo August 14, 2010 1:58 AM BST
Oops, you lose £3.8k
Report shrewdbury August 14, 2010 8:10 AM BST
Not to worry letsalldance - I'm lovely and red all over after having (another) bad BB generally - kept mistiming them all this year, but biggest mistake was getting into backing Mario and Andrew too much which left me with reds. Smallest red is Josie though (somehow) which is my saving grace, as I've traded her correctly recently so I shouldn't be down too much despite basically getting almost everything wrong this year, lol. Always time to trade properly between now and the end for you too.
Report GeorgeBrush August 14, 2010 11:55 AM BST
Sit tight on those greens lsad

Both the blokes could shorten up at the expense of the girlies, particularly if JJ looks like staying and Steve going
Report GeorgeBrush August 14, 2010 11:57 AM BST
Also Josie's price has overreacted with the golden thicket and the idea that JJ is going
Report jack12321 August 14, 2010 12:11 PM BST
Ah that's who took my jj green off my hands :)

Anyway unlucky :( hope for your sake Sam makes it home.
Report letsalldance August 14, 2010 12:27 PM BST
I'm still not to sure on either Josie or Corin to be honest, hence the big red. Ideally I'd like to lay Josie at this price but don't want to have any more liability on her at present.

All is not last, providing Sam or John James (or both) make the final, there's a fairly good chance that one of them will win if they make it in my opinion. Really hope John James stays this week though, as his price would plummet to single figures I reckon. Steve being evicted would be ideal.
Report The Great Daylami August 14, 2010 6:13 PM BST
Your in trouble mate unless a massive ramp comes for Mario or Dave.
Report The Kitten August 14, 2010 6:22 PM BST
It's all on again!
Report PAKEY August 14, 2010 6:48 PM BST
I laid my Josie stake at 2.6 to give me an all green in the outright, now she's 1.9ish
How p1ssed off am I ?
Report letsalldance August 15, 2010 2:32 AM BST
I feel like I personally been screwed over by the Big Brother produciton. A four-way eviction, never heard such nonsense in all my life? Don't know what to do now, hold tight and pray against.

Surely Big Brother wants the most entertainment Hms in the final. Josie is going to walk it easily if Sam and John James are gone. Need some serious bad edits this week for Dave, Mario, Andrew, Corin and Steve please!
Report map August 15, 2010 2:52 AM BST
letsalldance, john james will have a rally of supporters, teen girls etc who will be out in force voting for anyone to keep him in

same goes for Sam

I can see both Sam and John being in the final at 20s it looks like a good bet now

just like 9/2 for Sam top man looks good , basing it alone on his price in the OR
Report balsamic August 15, 2010 2:53 AM BST
I'm not surprised you feel personally screwed over, that's really harsh on you if your book is still the same as last posted.
Two choices really: pray for Pepper and take the hit, or pile into Josie/Corin, doubling your potential losses to come out even. Josie may well win, but I wouldn't recommend the latter option.

Feel for you mate, but you may have to just write this one off.
Report map August 15, 2010 3:02 AM BST
I'd try and not worry, imo Sam and John have a very big chance of getting to the final

8 left, 4 going

Sam is entertaining, he's made it more interested, livened it up etc

people will keep him in for that along, yes he may be a nightmare to live with, but for viewing it's good

John James - as previously said, he has a large following from day 1, girls and prob older women ..
Report GeorgeBrush August 15, 2010 8:12 AM BST
Yeah, but either's fans will be voting for the other map.

Unless you could call a truce, or there's another twist, both are doomed with Steve, and one from Dave, Corin or Mario
Report PAKEY August 15, 2010 11:30 AM BST
It's a vote to evict guys, their fans can do nothing unless they give every other housemate a vote, even that would only count as one for their guy.
Report PAKEY August 15, 2010 11:31 AM BST
While Sam has a lot of fans, he also has a big negative, which is his main problem. Same for John James
Report letsalldance August 15, 2010 12:23 PM BST
It's hard to see four of the existing housemates getting more votes to evict than John James or Sam. These two do have big fan bases but it will be difficult for them to vote in such a way to esnure they stay. I could possible see Steve and maybe Dave getting more votes to evick than them. But JJ2, Corin, Mario and Andrew haven't done enough to attract hatred in my opinion.
Report letsalldance August 20, 2010 7:17 PM BST
Well tonight really is crunch night, a few evictions in my favour here and I feel I can get out the market with a relative small loss. But a wrong result tonight and I'm surely going to lose a biggish sum of money.

Updated Book (before Tonight's evictions)
Josie -£4,396.37
Corin -£5,224.18
Sam +£2,167.13
Mario +£7,933.10
Steve -£5,177.84
John James +£4,257.57
Andrew +6,571.74
JJ +6,209.60
Dave +£4,649.14

Obviously not in the greatest shape but I feel I could be in a position to trade after tonight's eviction. My main move was put big greens on Mario, Andrew and JJ2 who all have the potential to shorten after tonight's eviction (the mole espeically) depending on who goes. I'm already resigned to seeing John James go but the other three spots i'm not so sure. The market suggest it will be Sam, Steve and either Corin or Dave. Ideally for me I'd like to see both Corin and Steve evicted with either (or both) Mario and Sam staying. Also got a sort of back-up green on Dave in case he stays.

Eviction outcomes
Realistic Best Case Scenario: John James, Steve, Corin, Dave
Realstic Worst Case Scenario: John James, Sam, Mario, JJ2

I'll have my fingers crossed that's for sure.
Report letsalldance August 21, 2010 1:07 AM BST
Well I got my wish of Corin and Steve going, but big shame Sammy Pepper didn't stay. Unsure about what to do now, could easily red out all round but would still be a decent-sized lost. In hindisght I should have put more on Mario and reduced liaiblity on Josie more.

Oh well will probably trade out gradually.
Report Ghetto Joe August 21, 2010 1:18 AM BST
Think you'll just have to bite the bullet and red out, hard to see beyond Josie as the winner and not like the remaining housemates are going to create any drama amongst themselves to have any dramatic last minute changes.
Report letsalldance August 21, 2010 1:31 AM BST
Yeah that's what I've decided to do, although it may take a couple of days with the amount of time it takes any serious amounts to get matched on these markets. Anybody wanting to back the four outsiders, let me know how much you want and at what price I'll put it up (as long as it's responsible). Cry
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