Big Brother 11
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12 Jun 10
00:43
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Date Joined:
04 Apr 10
Wrong thread I know but enjoy the craic on here.
Have a look at "extra time" market. 0 - 3 games is favourite. I'm assuming this applies to all 16 knock out stage games (if I'm wrong let me know so I can lay off!).
If so then this is surely a must lay. Not much liquidity but £50 there to lay at 3.6. In the last 5 world cups the lowest number of extra time games has been 4 and the highest 8.
If there are only 2 out of 15 games before the final that are draws then the final itself will be about 3.6 to draw so can bail out.
Unless I'm missing something obvious (wouldn't be first time) then I just can't see there being less than 2 draws out of 15 games especially in tight knock out games.
Fill your boots..or is my logic flawed?
Have a look at "extra time" market. 0 - 3 games is favourite. I'm assuming this applies to all 16 knock out stage games (if I'm wrong let me know so I can lay off!).
If so then this is surely a must lay. Not much liquidity but £50 there to lay at 3.6. In the last 5 world cups the lowest number of extra time games has been 4 and the highest 8.
If there are only 2 out of 15 games before the final that are draws then the final itself will be about 3.6 to draw so can bail out.
Unless I'm missing something obvious (wouldn't be first time) then I just can't see there being less than 2 draws out of 15 games especially in tight knock out games.
Fill your boots..or is my logic flawed?
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Looks a good bet to me to be honest, but yes, your thinking is a little flawed I think. If there were only 2 draws leading up to the final, then to hedge your bet you would need to LAY the draw in Match Odds, not back it, yes? If so you would not really be able to bail out the bet.
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George you've confused Horse but ime with you.......
Yeah, lay 0-3, back in the final if only 2 draws to date job done, of course if thers 3 when it comes to the final, you have to back also, so you actually need 4 draws before the final to pick up |
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Nope try again , 2 draws upto final & your fvcked either way
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Yeah you are right need 4 draws but still a good value bet going by previous history. Hope so anyway! If first one or two games are draws can soon trade off. Other thing is that it gives me an interest in every knock out game.
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2006 6 draws
2002 5 draws 1998 4 draws 1990 8 draws 1986 5 draws Any reason why 2010 will be any different? |
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looks good
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