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tobyp
10 Feb 12 20:07
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 180 | Blogger: tobyp's blog
Hi guys,

I've been gambling for about 6 years now, I've tried the lot; football, horses, american sports, accumulators, backing and laying, etc.

Im really excited at the moment, because I'm finally seeing a lot of success on NBA, just doing doubles and trebles on the spread and the O/U.
Anyway, i'm not going to divulge all the mathematics involved, but it's not as hard as you think.

This method has proven profitable for the last 6 months and regularly making a profit, even if it isn't huge compared to some on here, it's just pleasing to see a formula finally work.

Now, im about to post my tips on here....lets just hope its not a bad curse and everything goes wrong. haha
Pause Switch to Standard View *NBA Tips* System that is finally...
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Report tobyp March 11, 2012 5:17 PM GMT
PACERS +5 BIG BET!
Report pix3l March 11, 2012 6:31 PM GMT
im on this 5-fold for the moment:

5 Selections Chosen
1    Boston @ LA Lakers - Total Match Points (Backing  Over 180.5pts @ 1.99)
2    Milwaukee @ Toronto (Backing  Milwaukee Bucks @ 1.78)
3    Memphis @ Denver - Total Match Points (Backing  Over 200.5pts @ 1.96)
4    Atlanta @ Sacramento - Total Match Points (Backing  Over 192.5pts @ 1.9)
5    Golden State @ LA Clippers - Golden State +7.5 (Backing  LA Clippers -7.5 @ 1.94)

5-Folds
Selections    Odds    Stake    Potential win
1,2,3,4 and 5    25.79    €3.25    €80.57


will pick something on BOS - LAL... BOS or overs
Report Shazza93 March 11, 2012 7:49 PM GMT

Mar 11, 2012 -- 12:17PM, tobyp wrote:


PACERS +5 BIG BET!


Your tip for tonight? Happy

Report tobyp March 11, 2012 8:53 PM GMT
also got a double on lakers and Cavs, but i wouldn't recommend throwing paper on it, if your looking for value. i just did it for entertainment mainly and i thought they had the right stats to formulate a win
Report pix3l March 11, 2012 10:17 PM GMT
got overs on BOS - LAL... now picking overs on HOU - CLE
Report Shazza93 March 11, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
Any dead certs?
Report henok March 11, 2012 11:13 PM GMT
there seems to be a lot of high scoring games. almost all overs win lately. have u noticed this?
Report pix3l March 11, 2012 11:50 PM GMT
seems to be a good night for overs..

have a 5-fold overs only.. 3/5 are going pretty good (need less than 40point per game to score in last quarter, that's still not begun), the others 2 not yet started...
Report tobyp March 11, 2012 11:59 PM GMT
trust dwight to be in unstoppable mode tonight
Report pix3l March 12, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
my 2 accas are doing pretty good, first is 3/5 correct till now, second one is 2/5 correct up to now...

considering i've overs on DEN-MEM in both of accas, i'll pick in-play DEN -6.5 @2.02
Report pix3l March 12, 2012 3:16 AM GMT
lost my 27.22odds 5-fold just for 1 game... sooo unlucky Sad
Report Shazza93 March 12, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Bulls/Jazz double tonight for me, come on!
Report tobyp March 12, 2012 11:30 PM GMT
1)- medium
bucks/nets under 198
&
clippers/boston over 185.5

2)- small
jazz outright
hornets outright
bucks outright
and boston + 5.5
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
overs on BULLS
Report razz March 13, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
im on unders after watching 1st quarter
Report razz March 13, 2012 1:17 AM GMT
seems pretty fast paced so far, play should slow down a little bit in the 2nd half hopefully. think i'll green out if i can before the end though
Report razz March 13, 2012 1:56 AM GMT
uch i hate watching the bulls play, they rely on getting fouls rather than trying to score
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 2:21 AM GMT
traded out my over at 1.19 for a 70% ROI
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 2:22 AM GMT
and now picked PHX -3.5
Report razz March 13, 2012 2:23 AM GMT
nice, i just switched to overs, for a small green on over big red on under Sad knowing my luck every shot will start missing now
Report razz March 13, 2012 2:29 AM GMT
knew it CryCryCry
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 2:38 AM GMT
5 points more in 50secs, knicks -4.. i think overs is pretty safe here
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 2:39 AM GMT
i meant 4 points
Report razz March 13, 2012 2:42 AM GMT
need unders now...i messed this up big time, too tired for this
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 2:43 AM GMT
1 more point in 19secs, ball to NY, think you're f***ed
Report razz March 13, 2012 2:45 AM GMT
yup big time
Report razz March 13, 2012 2:48 AM GMT
might of been ok had bulls bothered to not give the ball away at the end
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 2:51 AM GMT
picked overs 186.5 and 196.5 on BOS-LAC
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 2:51 AM GMT
picked overs 186.5 and 196.5 on BOS-LAC
Report BARNEY15C March 13, 2012 7:18 PM GMT
my picks tonight......

3 fold on:

MEM +1
IND -4
MIA -4.5

£5 PAYS £34.29

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE Grin
Report yazza101 March 13, 2012 8:26 PM GMT
I think GSW are a good price
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
im doubtful about POR-IND, dont know what to pick, cause both team are doing bad in the last matches.. stats says POR (or at least POR +hcap) is the best choice, but i dont really know...
Report yazza101 March 13, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
why don't you take GSW instead?
Report yazza101 March 13, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
or I guess it may be too late of a game
Report Over3.5 March 13, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
Cavaliers to beat Toronto outright, Cavs full of confidence, no Calderon for Toronto and Kyrie Irving is pulling the strings for the Cavs. Good luck all
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 10:51 PM GMT
surely i'll pick something on GSW-SAC and i will be awake at that hour, i was only saying i dont know what to expect on POR-IND, this doesn't mean i'll make a bet on that match Cool
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 10:52 PM GMT
is Bargnani on tonight?
Report Over3.5 March 13, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
Bargnani is on tonight yes, the tall idiot lol.
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
gonna pick 2 accas for the moment:

1    Miami @ Orlando (Backing  Miami Heat @ 1.56)
2    LA Lakers @ Memphis - Total Match Points (Backing  Over 181.5pts @ 1.77)
3    Houston @ Oklahoma - Total Match Points (Backing  Over 203.5pts @ 1.85)
4    Atlanta @ Denver - Total Match Points (Backing  Over 195.5pts @ 1.86)
5    Washington @ Dallas - Washington +12.5 (Backing  Washington +12.5 @ 1.87)
6    Toronto @ Cleveland (Backing  Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1.55)

6-Folds
    Selections    Odds*    Stake    Potential win
    1,2,3,4,5 and 6    27.98    €3.00    €80.94



1    Houston @ Oklahoma - Houston +10.5 (Backing  Oklahoma -10.5 @ 1.84)
2    Toronto @ Cleveland - Toronto +4.5 (Backing  Cleveland -4.5 @ 2.03)
3    Miami @ Orlando - Orlando +4.5 (Backing  Miami -4.5 @ 2.03)
4    Atlanta @ Denver - Atlanta +5.5 (Backing  Denver -5.5 @ 2.01)

4-Folds
    Selections    Odds*    Stake    Potential win
    1,2,3 and 4    15.45    €2.00    €28.90
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 11:21 PM GMT
and picked overs in-play on MIA-ORL
Report razz March 13, 2012 11:38 PM GMT
i got a bit on overs for miami orlando too, good start so far
Report razz March 13, 2012 11:42 PM GMT
i reckon miami is worth a small lay, i think they'll trade closer to evens after 2nd quarter, thoughts?
Report pix3l March 13, 2012 11:58 PM GMT
the key is Superman, see he's not playing during these minutes and Miami cameback with two 3pts in a couple of seconds... i hope you traded out your lay on Miami (odds went up to 2.10 couple of mins ago), cause i think Orlando will loose here..
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 12:00 AM GMT
14-0 run for Miami in the last 3mins... that's all!!!
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 12:06 AM GMT
20-0 in the last 5 mins
Report razz March 14, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
hah, yeah i traded out for a small green, not making the same mistake i made last night
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 12:50 AM GMT
Miami is choking during this 3rd quarter.... ORL had a 14-3 run in 5 mins in their favour... strange game...
Report razz March 14, 2012 12:52 AM GMT
bit like the knicks dallas game last week
Report yazza101 March 14, 2012 1:02 AM GMT
pix3l
13 Mar 12 23:58
Joined:
12 Apr 11
| Topic/replies: 175 | Blogger: pix3l's blog
the key is Superman, see he's not playing during these minutes and Miami cameback with two 3pts in a couple of seconds... i hope you traded out your lay on Miami (odds went up to 2.10 couple of mins ago), cause i think Orlando will loose here..

Shocked
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:04 AM GMT
gonna loose my in-play overs i think, 4th quarter started poor in points :(
Report razz March 14, 2012 1:06 AM GMT
they could still make it, alkways the chance of overtime too, im hoping for unders atm, greened out with a bigger green on unders after 1st quarter
Report Mr. Purple March 14, 2012 1:08 AM GMT
1.01 just busted in the NCAA game. Western Kentucky down by 16 with 6 mins to go
Report razz March 14, 2012 1:14 AM GMT
can you trade out atm pix3l? i would if it's available
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:15 AM GMT
atm? what means?
Report razz March 14, 2012 1:16 AM GMT
at the moment Happy
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:18 AM GMT
LOL sorry for asking, im not english mother-tongue...
yes i can, but honestly i dont want, still believe they can do overs
Report razz March 14, 2012 1:21 AM GMT
it's gonna be close, Good luck
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:23 AM GMT
howard really sucks at free throws Crazy
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:27 AM GMT
still 5 points and 44secs to play... c'mon!!!!
Report razz March 14, 2012 1:31 AM GMT
there ya go you cant lose now
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:33 AM GMT
yepp... was lucky although...
Report razz March 14, 2012 1:34 AM GMT
94-94 was lucky, might of been a different story if 1 side was a point ahead and just ran down the clock Wink
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:39 AM GMT
i mean i was lucky because they started the quarter scoring like 6 points in 3 mins, that was pretty bad, and the went to overtime...

anyway had to trade out on LAL for a loss cause they're really sucking tonight... picked overs on DEN  at the end of 1st quarter @ 1.50...
Report razz March 14, 2012 1:44 AM GMT
yeah the threat of bad starts to the quarter like that make me trade out whenever i can. happens quite a lot in nba
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 1:55 AM GMT
i usually dont let overs (i never play unders) going till the end, after backing i set a lay bet around 1.05-1.15 and the hope to get matched before the end of the game, sometimes it happens already in the 2nd quarter, sometimes in the 3rd, but the most of time during beginning of 4th..

but if the match is going against me, about 80% of times there's no way to trade out for a not too big loss... tonight i could trade out in the 4th for a 2-3€ profit at the beginning, or for a real small loss around 8mins...
Report razz March 14, 2012 2:01 AM GMT
hard to trade on over/under as theres not a lot of money in some of the markets
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 2:07 AM GMT
yeah that's true..

anyway what's your thoughts on GSW - SAC? do you think GSW is a good picks considering that this is the last game of Ellis and Udoh wiht warriors???
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 2:27 AM GMT
cant believe lakers managed to go overtime, they were about -15...
Report razz March 14, 2012 2:56 PM GMT
sorry i fell asleep Laugh. dont have a clue about gsw or sacremento, only recently started betting on nba, and i've only really been watching the top few teams
Report Shazza93 March 14, 2012 10:51 PM GMT
Why are the Rockets at 1.3 tonight? I was thinking they'd be shorter, am I missing something?
Report Shazza93 March 14, 2012 10:53 PM GMT
I know they have some injuries, but they'll be on a high after that comeback in OKC?
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
dont have knowledge on HOU team, but found this list of injured players:

Hasheem Thabeet    C    Ques Wed - Back - 3/14/12   
Greg Smith    C    Ques Wed - Undisclosed - 3/14/12
Kyle Lowry    G    Ques Wed - Illness - 3/14/12
Kevin Martin    G    Ques Wed - Shoulder - 3/14/12
Terrence Williams    G    Ques Wed - Illness - 3/14/12
Jordan Hill    C    Ques Wed - Flu - 3/14/12
Report pix3l March 14, 2012 11:06 PM GMT
im pickin' over 185.5 on IND-PHI, but not really confident...
Report tobyp March 14, 2012 11:47 PM GMT
spurs over
kings under

thats all u gotta know
Report tobyp March 14, 2012 11:48 PM GMT
throw in a bulls, gsw and lakers treble if u want
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 12:03 AM GMT
LAL -4.5...
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 12:24 AM GMT
miami big tonight for me.no rose for the bulls.
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 12:28 AM GMT
is he injured?
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 1:01 AM GMT
groin injury reported.
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 1:07 AM GMT
LAL big facepalm!!!!
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 1:15 AM GMT
lakers awful away from home.hope you never went in big pixi?
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 1:48 AM GMT
lakers all square now.game on
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 1:51 AM GMT
same as yesterday, playing awful in 1st half, down 10-15, then won the game... i switched off the game, but im glad to see they're 70-70 now cause i've picked LAL -4.5
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 1:53 AM GMT
good luck pix
Report razz March 15, 2012 2:08 AM GMT
3k of 1.01 available for overs in bucks game if anyone wants it, need 2 baskets in 4 mins
Report razz March 15, 2012 2:09 AM GMT
ahh its gone now
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 2:24 AM GMT
LAL 2 overtime in 2 games....
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 2:24 AM GMT
lakers into overtime
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 2:28 AM GMT
anyone is watchin MIA-CHI?? couldn't expect chicago playing soo good considering rose's injury...
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 2:30 AM GMT
seems bulls want it more
Report razz March 15, 2012 2:39 AM GMT
yeah,they look up for this, 1.3 seems a bit short though, think im gonna lay that
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 2:47 AM GMT
cant believe i won my LAL -4.5... so lucky tonight...
Report nellie1970 March 15, 2012 2:49 AM GMT
well done pix down to the wire i see
Report pix3l March 15, 2012 2:52 AM GMT
i think i will stop betting on lakers game for a couple of days, they tempted to my life in the last 2 days CrazyCrazy
Report Shazza93 March 15, 2012 7:28 AM GMT
Had a cheeky acca with Houston and Lakers at 1.92, came off nicely.
Report tobyp March 17, 2012 9:03 PM GMT
IM BACK

Nets and knicks both with the handicap

and

jazz under and spurs with the handicap
Report yazza101 March 17, 2012 10:48 PM GMT
tempted to back Knicks kind of chasing a little
Report yazza101 March 18, 2012 3:18 AM GMT
Knicks ExcitedExcited
Report tobyp April 28, 2012 10:34 PM BST
OKC
Pacers
OkC/dallas and pacers/magic OVER


Treble.

BIG
Report ForThePassword April 28, 2012 11:08 PM BST
Hello Toby haven't seen u for a long time tipping.How serious is that treble?Don't u think the handicaps for overs are too high.I watch basketball just for 1 year , but i think the play off games should be tight err?
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