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Lets Elope
20 Nov 14 01:55
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Date Joined: 05 May 06
| Topic/replies: 11,542 | Blogger: Lets Elope's blog
In the Guineas a rising star in Disposition just wins,  the only possible danger is Outlaw Pete the rest are well and truly outclassed.

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Replies: 238
By:
whoopi
When: 20 Nov 14 02:03
I think we're all more interested in your opinion of the Railway Stakes Lets.
By:
Joel
When: 20 Nov 14 02:23
I was more interested in the Ballarat Cup rather than the rubbish that is served out West.
By:
Lets Elope
When: 20 Nov 14 03:35
For mine The Cleaner can't possibly win, it doesn't quicken and he has zero excuses as virtually all of the main chances have drawn poorly but he's not up to winning a Group One against quality horses.

The only way he can possibly win in my opinion is if all the chances have bad luck in transit i.e. hard runs etc and if he gets a massively bias track, failing that he's impossible.

The race is an afterthought and comes at the end of a long arduous spring campaign and a really hard run on a very firm Flemington at his last start when despite being favoured by an on pace bias, he still couldn't win.

Not to mention the fact that he's giving some serious up and coming progressive horses 4 and 5kgs, that all adds up to him being the falsest of false favourites.

So if he wins he will have well and truly earned that victory, but for mine there are so many factors against him the fact that he is favourite on sentiment alone is laughable, this is not the ridiculous social media fantasy world it is the stark reality of racing.
By:
whoopi
When: 20 Nov 14 04:16
Certainly is a hard task for it...but what does it say about W.A. racing that a national embarrassment is the fav. for your biggest race of the yearBlushBlushBlush
By:
Lets Elope
When: 20 Nov 14 04:54
As I will reiterate the national embarrassment is a massively false favourite Whoopi just another great opportunity to bet around a horse that can't win.Wink
By:
Joel
When: 20 Nov 14 05:05
As opposed to one that just wins?
By:
Fizzar
When: 20 Nov 14 08:01
LE says..."In the Guineas a rising star in Disposition just wins..."

LAY of the WEEK...bookmaker.com.au...Disposition 3.2

Thank goodness for differing opinions.

..
By:
Lets Elope
When: 20 Nov 14 11:49
I may partake in some of that, thanks for that mate but then again they may not let me after the touch up they copped during the Cup carnival as was promptly banned from the best tote plus offer on Derby Day after the first couple of races.
By:
Lets Elope
When: 20 Nov 14 11:59
Yep surprise, surprise I am not eligible for that offer on Ladbrokes, what a shock and a waste of 50 bucks.
By:
bigted.
When: 20 Nov 14 12:01
if Ysmael wins the Winterbottom,i'm gonna slash my wrists..
By:
Lets Elope
When: 20 Nov 14 12:34
Love the horse mate it was the first leg of my quaddie last week, don't think it will be winning this week though even with the Durrant magical training touch.
By:
Thebas
When: 22 Nov 14 01:25
a great day begins for the west

some past winners of note included

Railway Stakes ... Asian Beau, Better Loosen Up, Jacks Or Better & Northerly
Winterbottom ... Asian Beau, Placid Ark, Jacks Or Better, Miss Andretti & Takeover Target
WA Guineas ... Ngawyni


all the best to all today

Grin
By:
Joel
When: 22 Nov 14 01:36
Good luck everybody on Roma Cup Day
By:
Thebas
When: 22 Nov 14 01:43
ffs joel lol ... you are a stirrer

and apologies to Lets and his main annual carnival but i couldn't resist lol

---

Located 470km west of Queenslands capital Brisbane, Roma is itself a capital in it's own right.

The town of nearly 7000 being famous for it's rich and distinguished history in Gas and Oil exploration, is the pivotal business centre for the Western Downs.

Roma lies at the crossroads of the Warrego Hwy, Great Inland Way and the Carnarvon Development Rd.

"King of the Cattle Duffers".

The legend of Harry Redford was brought to public notice in the Roma courthouse 2 years after he was charged with the theft of 1000 head of cattle from Bowen Station.

Grin


.. now .. back to the great day ahead
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 01:58
8--OUR LOVE IT--moralWink
By:
Thebas
When: 22 Nov 14 02:02
sensational start whiskers

first thread offering this morning - wins
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 02:02
did it hard-Mischief-wobbled big time in the straightScared,but much to good--Im back--babyExcited
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 02:04
Cheers Thebas---First winner ive backed since the Romans invented the aqueductCrazy
By:
BJT
When: 22 Nov 14 02:05
WD whiskers.  I had a little on it too, decent start.
By:
bigted.
When: 22 Nov 14 02:20
monzoon here at avondale Happy
By:
BJT
When: 22 Nov 14 02:21
Not putting all my bets on here today, not going to clog it up. 

Think BUSH AVIATOR is the value at Doomben
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 02:34
1/11--kwinny--at the ratScared
By:
BJT
When: 22 Nov 14 02:40
BF gone to pieces or just me?
By:
BJT
When: 22 Nov 14 02:40
API*
By:
iz77778
When: 22 Nov 14 02:41
gawnski - againski - ****ki -
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 02:42
1/5--kwinny at morphinevilleMischief
By:
bigted.
When: 22 Nov 14 02:56
four strings gets the cash at boom imo
By:
bigted.
When: 22 Nov 14 02:57
boomden ExcitedMischief
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 03:01
Scared
By:
bigted.
When: 22 Nov 14 03:03
****den Sad
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 03:04
1/5--kwinny at nuke-car-sellCool
By:
bigted.
When: 22 Nov 14 03:06
some mug has had over 40k on shamozzle Shocked
By:
bigted.
When: 22 Nov 14 03:08
deary me Excited
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 03:08
spck--9--BONW-DERRY--at the ratMischief
By:
BJT
When: 22 Nov 14 03:10

Nov 22, 2014 -- 3:06AM, bigted. wrote:


some mug has had over 40k on shamozzle


Had 40k, then another 30k at 2.05.  Started at 1.70.  How much was laid off on here?  Probably made himself a nice few pennies just by moving the market.

By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 03:11
those bets are irrellevant unless you know the amount of money in someones bank account---40k for someone like J packer is chump change--not sure wwy they even mention that stuffConfused
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 03:12
damn--ran into a superstarAngryCryfilthy racesSad
By:
BJT
When: 22 Nov 14 03:13
That is the reason I don't bet in races with debut runners...  Was tempted too....
By:
got beat by a whisker-again
When: 22 Nov 14 03:22
First starters are just another variable,like slow starts,useless jockeys,track bias,horses not trying,etc.There are at least 387 ways to lose a race.If I was too worry about them all I would never have a betScaredTongue Out
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