Australian
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28 Aug 14
06:05
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31 Aug 05
Win bet
Fundido 6
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Fundido 6
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Replies: 20
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Also layed Velonski 3
cl |
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Expensive .
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Well going to chase my losses and back Just Do Something 2 and lay the jolly Marjories Favorite 1
gl |
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TOWF:
Good Luck Velonski.....(Falvelon - Skidoodle) http://lauristonfarm.com.au/?p=5043 |
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Henry battle for the front runners expected and hopefully get a result.
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Well a half loss recovered.
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TOWF:
Very well done...professor |
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Henry was thinking about our previous discussion about you laying the trainer and have the right option for you .
Lay the sires that have less than a 4 % s/r .The data you need is there just work out your price. |
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Opps
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< = 4%
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Trainer thread just a passing interest to get some discussion on forum.
Whilst I may take interest in form on Saturday I rarely bet to it...which I know is stupid... but my other criteria works for me ... I am a boring layer only..... My last lay was Kings Dance which made me reach for the water down the straight .... You no doubt very successful mixing bets with lays etc so WD....plenty skyting rights with getting favs beaten which I think you do often.....should try US is mornings....all shifty rides on fav's over there..... |
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It will work out more successful than laying trainers.
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Look every race is its own identity.
I have worked with horses all my life so as I know every horse is different mind alot of pigs have alot in common. The failure that most people do is looking for a consistent formulae .It cannot exist as if it did smarter people would have nailed it years ago so their clever ass is negated ha. |
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Ok henry layed the 4 % sire which is fav @ Pinjarra Play For Love 4
gl |
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Close but there you go .That will do.
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TOWF:
"a consistent formulae .It cannot exist as if it did smarter people would have nailed it years ago" We will agree to disagree....on that one i. Consistent formulas do exist ...more than one i m sure....I cannot have the only one. ii.Plenty plenty smart people out there ....   |
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Well in relation to what one can make by using horse knowledge laying is poor value and backing is the true advantage as you are getting a big advantage on bf.As the reverse is true in any given situation therefore working out the true odds of horses is crucial which is not easy.
The brilliant math expert explains it better and you can research it if you want. The art of a right decision by Thomas Brusse. |
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HATZIS can win again here, put them away in good style last start, extra 100 a plus
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TOWF:
"what one can make by using horse knowledge laying is poor value" A horse or any sporting outcome for that matter with very little chance of winning... laying it at odds reflective of a misconceived prospect chance .... is never poor value..imo ..you regularly and successfully lay. "backing is the true advantage as you are getting a big advantage on bf." Most definitely Dont worry about theoretical mathematician "talk"...... Betting or laying is more basic and relies heavily on the following: The greed of making money v the fear of losing it |
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2014-08-28
08:26 4168460981 2014-08-28 07:54 AUS Mack (AUS) 28th Aug / 08:10 R6 1300m Hcap / 5. Hatzis Back |