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What a night! At least a dozen fantastic races.
In the group 1 Coca Cola sprint For A Reason seems far too short at $2.10. He's has had dream runs at his last two to win in scorching time but it's yet to be seen how he goes when things don't fall his way. Interestingly he also basically got his a$$ kicked by Beautide first up so if he wins this tonight the Beautide hype will ratchet up another notch, if that's possible.
Bitobliss is $7 into $6 fixed but surely it's virtually impossible to win a Group 1 sprint from barrier 10. In three Menangle runs he's drawn 10, 10 and 7 and run two great placings but never looked like winning. Maybe if he goes forward to sit outside the leader he can win tonight and the favourites appear set to sit back.
In the group 1 Coca Cola sprint For A Reason seems far too short at $2.10. He's has had dream runs at his last two to win in scorching time but it's yet to be seen how he goes when things don't fall his way. Interestingly he also basically got his a$$ kicked by Beautide first up so if he wins this tonight the Beautide hype will ratchet up another notch, if that's possible.
Bitobliss is $7 into $6 fixed but surely it's virtually impossible to win a Group 1 sprint from barrier 10. In three Menangle runs he's drawn 10, 10 and 7 and run two great placings but never looked like winning. Maybe if he goes forward to sit outside the leader he can win tonight and the favourites appear set to sit back.
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Amajorjo is a horse on the way up so barrier 1 over a mile looks ideal until you spot kamikaze beginner Garnet River out in 5, a horse whose only purpose in life often seems to be to lead at all costs. It's 60/40 that he would hand back up to Amajorjo after getting to the front and $2.25 seems reasonable if he does get it back, but clear unders if he doesn't. Not a race to get to carried away on, that was last week.
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HRNSW Stewards @HRNSW_Stewards 5h
Raceday Integrity Operations: security guards placed on the following horses in the Group 1 Coca Cola Amatil Sprint from 10.30am today FIELD OFFICER NZ, RESTREPO, FOR A REASON and GAIUS CAESAR NZ Menangle COT's; Race 4 # 4 -Henrik Zetterberg - Further Back, Race 6 # 4 I'm Cool Harry- Less Aggressive, Race 6 # 5 Lochinver- Further Back R 1 # 8 Two Eye See- Further Back,R 2 # 3 Fernleigh Renegade - Further Forward, R 3 # 4 Miss Trickin LOMBO - Further Forward |
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So Fernleigh Renegade is coming out fast and Bettor Bet Black is one of the fastest beginners around too so the start of this will be very interesting. Punters are backing Amajorjo like he's a put in take out prospect but obviously he'll have to earn this. Is he up to that? Maybe.
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One of the most important things about betting in harness racing is figuring out which horses the melling are backing and staying off. Amajorjo started $1.50 because Saturday night punters love to back favourites even more than Garnet River loves to lead. They couldn't care less about odds.
The fact that it's belting down rain would seem to help Bitobliss, cause their decision now is between going to the death and hoping the face isn't too frantic, or easing back to last and being a million to one. I'm prepared to right off Mach Beauty (who led throughout to bolt in in this race in April) cause surely it'll be stuffed after two extremely tough runs in the last two weeks. |
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'melling' = lemmings
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expect the unexpected with that camp
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In the next Melton trot favourite paparazzi Snapshot has had 5 runs at Melton and never finished better than 10th, so good luck backing it.
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good drive l mcarthy - tim butt/handbrake should take a lesson
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Peter Rothaker and Gazoline are worth an honourable mention in any I Must Lead At All Costs discussion. He knows no other way. Lighning Joy was certain to win if Gazoline held up but Peter preferred to hold the front and come last of all the horses who didn't gallop. Lighning Joy was a big run for second and you would be utterly spewing if you laid it but surely not surprised. Brylin Crescent continued her good form when she behaves to win nicely.
Paparazzi Snapshot appears to be utterly hopeless at Melton and broke twice before disappearing off the screen, never to be seen again. In the next at Melton the lemmings are all piling onto the extremely talented Metro Mike who will go very close but is no value at all. Just one to watch. |
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Typo: Utterly spewing if you **backed** Lighning Joy. Deleriously happy if you laid it.
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Lemmings burnt yet more cash with Metro Mike settling last and looking a thousand to one at best.
Big one coming up! Restrepo has had one run at the track for a third to Christen Me and Smolda (whatever happened to Smolda?). Given it's clearly stepped up this prep you could make a good case for backing it. For A Reason a very good horse but just too short. The heart says I would love BoB to win but can't back it from out there. Hope he death seats and gives a great sight. I reckon Mach Beauty will lead and collapse. Trainer currently telling us it's backed up 'really good' but they never say anything else. |
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think smolda broke down
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Best drive I have seen this year G Lang ....... There was no way For a Reason or Bitobliss could run him down given the circumstances. Cracking drive
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Good drive to probably change all his plans on the run.
No way would he have expected to land there. Brave Wiggy would have crossed the pole then let Mach Beauty go. Seems the mobile couldn't get away from Mach Beauty --- if so it should actually be a NO RACE ??? |
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ALL CLEAR -- how come they don't sort everything out that fast ???
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Like jazzabout at e/w odds next at Albion..won't,cant will never bet at menangle ...yawn..
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Looks like Majestic Mach is just another overrated qlder
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like laver, norman, border, lewis. rudd, gunsynd, wondais mate ...
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chris barsby stated it was surprise he didn't get an automatic MM invite...
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Chris Barsby might want to be told he is yet to win out of his age
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Except maybe some crappy c0 at the creek
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Surely Yayas is just LAW. Can't imagine Gaving going too crazy on the second favourite.
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Nope, Rockstar looked like a true star. Huge night for Group 1!
Will be watching closely for the faintest traces of form from Pembrook Caesar at Melton. |
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Great night Elsu, well done
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Live_in_Hope • November 16, 2013 9:52 AM GMT
like laver, norman, border, lewis. rudd, gunsynd, wondais mate ... Wasn't Maoris Idol a qlder ffs? |
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Keystone Del is 4 classes above this field and should destroy them, except for the wet. Nice late gee up by Greg Hayes to destroy the price though. :(
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thanking you AUSSIE DRIVER group 1 drove all 3 a treat
like the look of YANKEE ROCKSTAR |
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Great to see one of Harness Racings best judges 'Tara' Tom Hogan, win with his 2 horses tonight, & Team Tonkin winning with 3. 'Tara' would be one of the best judges I've ever had the pleasure of meeting...... Great judge & a great bloke, hope both horses aim straight to the top.
As for Grant Dixon, champ this is the big league, keep that Cream Puff Qld Champion, up there cause this is the big league, you just stay in Qld where you have 5 in every race. themaster007 |
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thanks for kind words THEMASTER007 plenty of good judges out there on the forum and outside the forum notebaly VILLAGE KID/AUSSIE DRIVER/THEMASTER007/JOSHUATREE/LLYODY/BARNEY THEBOTSLATER/ZIGGY/ HUTCHY/TROTMAN/THE JUDGE/CRAIG THE SPECULATOR /KHAN/C.D.NOTT/THE WOODYS/CASTIRON/UNCLEE/DARK TARGET.. and many more that have SURVIVED OF THE PUNT on trots and dogs
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BAKERBET should be invited to bet at miracle mile
they are betting HERCULIAN on trots at the moment biggest bookie on harness racing in the land |
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great to see restrepo delivering in the big time, has been an exciting horse since his 1st start
got to feel for connections of PM he would have brained that field last night, racing is incredibly tough but to have them go amiss a week before their comeback is terrible |
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Im Corzin Terror was awesome again on the clock last night. Don't have his individual splits yet but looks like he was home in around 55.5 after making an early move around the field. Very impressive stuff.
That should be a very good form race, thought there were a few excellent runs there |
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I Survived after last night
3 in a Row as Master would sat Booooooooooooooooooooooooom I had that many 100s they couldnt fit in my wallet from a $50 outlay Also my Corp account i had $1500 more than i thought I still cant read after all the Vodkas. Well done to all who were on Miracle Mile Inter RESTREPO |