P2P's Tasmanian Racing Mug Punting Attempt - 5k Bank - 3% Stake

good luck
any early tips

Leaving Race 1 alone. Just too many variables for my liking

Bank $5000
Stake outlay: $150

Bet 1 – Race 2


Back: NITRO QUI           $100 @ $2.62 ave odds
Back ROYAL BELUGA  $50  @  $5

NITRO QUI to take a power of catching, hopefully not too much speed to go with it. ROYAL BELUGA racing well and a danger.

Bank $5000
Stake outlay: $150

Bet 1 – Race 2


Back: NITRO QUI           $100 @ $2.62 ave odds
Back ROYAL BELUGA  $50  @  $5

NITRO QUI to take a power of catching, hopefully not too much speed to go with it. ROYAL BELUGA racing well and a danger.

Bank $5106.36
Stake Outlay: $153

Bet 2 - Race 3

Back KOBBLE CREEK   $125 @ $1.65 ave odds
Back ROSEMOUNT DARA $ 28 @ $6.93 ave odds

Blinkers are on KOBBLE first time so really should be up near firing line, maybe OSL or in 1 by 1. ROSEMOUNT should work from inside gate and hold rail.

bottom one any chance?

market says so ta1
needs to improve for me but it keeps firming so where there's smoke....

shocking ride.
i was expecting it to be back and run on

I paid the price for jumping in early price wise, but so be it.
Need to be up there with rail out ta1 so at least she gave it a show. Had weight pull on fave so she may have thought it was worth getting in front of it??

apart from sitting wide the whole way....

Bank $5156.54
Stake Outlay: $155

Bet 3 - Race 4

Lay TALKING FRENCH @ SP for liability of $155

Last start, drew the marble, was fresh up from the mile run before and was able to hold lead and have reasonable time in front. This time, 2nd 2100m run, drawn 5. I also suspect at least one of the ones on its inside to kick up, especially fresh ones up to 2100 first time this prep. Even if they don't, I just don't think its that good a horse. Toppy will have it covered at bare minimum IMO.

you got teh winner well done.
short favs may pay to wait in maidens

Bank $5001.54
Stake Outlay$ 150

Bet 4: Quadrella

1,3,5,8/1,3,7/Field/2,3

FLexi for 104%

cheers ta1, good advice.

R Mangan is the 3 wide - 2100m Launceston specialist. She has her own lanes but at least she gives them plenty of room

hmmmmmmmm.-I just want to say one thing PTP. "NICE BANK"

talking french changed trainers 2 starts back PTP

Whiskas, lets hope I won't need to test the bank in full

NW, cheers, I missed that......I will pay it more respect from here on in as its last 2 runs have been good.

whats up next PTP??

Bank $5039.38
Stake Outlay $151

Bet 5: Race 5

Lay GURU REZ @ $3.90 (ave odds) for stake of $31.36 (liability of $90.99) and @ SP for liability of $60.01

Best horse in race IMO, however for mine gets back. There should be speed here and many of them have claimers on. I could see GURU spotting many lengths and with 59kg on its back, it will be a fair effort to pick them up.

OK you the expert, I dont fancy laying in small fields but you got the runs on the board and your only as good as your last innings so I'll lump on a lay aswell

far from an expert GCI, just a mug and proud of it.

I am sitting out of next race. I have no firm opinion. Will watch quaddie go around here. Lets get the roughie up

Looks like you scored a ton and had I have batted I'da got a duck, WD I layed it with supreme confidence

Almost got the bolter up.

I am letting quadrella go around in this. Just checked approx's and shame B/Fair go through Tatts as they look skinnier when compared to Tab

congrats on the quadie I backed second dozen with everything I could throw at it, seeing it was running against under the eiffel I thought it will **** this in.

Thanks GCI & well done.

06/03/2013 Bank closes @ $5546.67

Genius PTP==keep up the good "work"

Thanks Whiskas.

I dont need thanks PTP-----------------------------I need a miracle

I read most states Stewards reports each week more out of habit than anything else. Every now and then(or more likely often), I have a chuckle at what is in them or should I say not in them. On the Tasmanian theme, I watched races last night and was surprised to see an apparent change of tactics. I am all for this, however would like to know about it or at least have the opportunity to know.
Now I stand corrected on this and I may have missed it being mentioned on SKY but, I would have thought when a horse leads all the way when it hasn't been ridden forward since 2011, it would warrant some sort of notification and mention in a Stewards Report ?? At least the Wallaby delay snuck in there

10/03/2013 - Hobart

Bank - $5546.67

I have a couple of things on today so cannot be anchored to PC. Never fear, here is what I will be doing per race.

Race 1 - Laying MUNDINE - I thought this had every chance to win last start and last little bit I thought was just fair. First time Hobart, shortish odds and its a lay for mine.

Race 2 - Laying AT SUNRISE - A bit like above in that its had its chances to finish closer of late. It does have a little zip but I think its quite a limited horse.  Average looking race though.

Race 3 - Backing ESPRESSERADO & ROYAL EQUERRY. Both are going super IMO and mile looks ideal.

Race 4 - Laying STREETWISE SAVOIRE - Its a good horse, no questions but it will be short enough IMO. I think they will be too zippy for it over 1000m. Its drawn 6 and will surely go back. It will spot them lenghts. I recall a couple of runs back in a small field over 1100, LITTLE RIVER GIRL got it off the bit. It was more fresh then and now @ the 1000m, if it does that again, it will be game over IMO

Race 5 - Laying  SOREELL MISS - Similar to race 4. She gets back and TBH, I just don't think she is going that well. Her fresh win was super but really hasnt done much since. It will be layable with Froggy on.

Race 6 - Laying DOUBLE UNIQUE - Inside draw no favour to it IMO. Its going well but it gets back and from that gate, its a lay for mine

Race 7 - Backing - HAT ROCK & STORM CELL - HR's last two runs have been amazing. Should take a power of beating but I have SC with the light weight to cause the upset. Its going well and from draw and with weight, should be there abouts.

I am not having a quadrella today.

Good luck all.
Race 6 -

Bank $6020.63

Stake - 180. I have gone fixed odds with this one. Its been a good day. Lets finish it off.

Hobart Race 7

Back HAT ROCK   $134  @ $4.60
Back STORM CELL $46  @  $13

10/03/13 - Bank closes @ $5840.63

13/03/2013 - Launceston

Bank - $5840.63

As many Tasmanian markets don't heat up until a few minutes before the start, I thought I would post what I am doing tonight early. It can be a rush to get bets on and post after that.

Race 1 - Backing (Dutching) FULL MAGNUM & GEEGEES HAWKEYE. FM will be short and ran quite well last start. There really is no depth at all IMO. Froggy is on and he should shoot it accross from the outside gate. Not sure if it has the speed but Froggy will get it up in the firing line. GGHE showed good speed in trial and from its inside draw, should hold its spot. I could forsee these two up front. Even if FM goes back, GGHE is good insurance.

Race 2 - Great little race this with at least 4 live chances IMO. I am backing (Dutching) CAMPARI & INNER WARRIOR. CAMPARI is having first start, well bred and trialled super. SHowed good toe and should be able to use good draw. IW has been going super and ran a great race last start. It may have the slight class/experience edge on these. It should position up well enough and have plenty of room to make its run even if it gets back a little. I respect the 5 & 6 but the 5 may get too far back (and I query strength of last race field. The 6 could hold its spot but I query any form in small fields at Devonport. So its CAMPARI & INNER WARRIOR

Race 3 - Backing (Dutching) ROYAL BELUGA & GREAT WHITE. Both going super. RB deserves the win and gets its chance. GW is on the up and may be new horse on the scene. RB only has to run up to last weeks run to win IMO.

Race 4 - Backing (Dutchng) VICTOR VICTORIUM & KISSAWAY. KW should be on the speed and lead these maybe. Good run last start behind a possible smart one. VV may get back but I do like the way it hit the line last start.

Race 5 - Backing (Dutching) LILUKA BELLE & SHIPSPOTTING. LB may be above average. Brained em last start and ran great time for Launceston 1200m. SS was in stronger race last time and was probably in worst going, ran quite OK IMO.

Race 6 - No firm opinions - leaving this alone

Race 7 - No firm opnions - leaving this alone

Race 8 - Backing (Dutching) ISIBAEVA & ANOTHER CONCERTO. These two fought it out last start day and could see the same again. Both going well

Race 9 - Backing (Dutching) TIGER JACK & BEN ANNALOU. Both going well. I have always had time for both horses at one point or another. They maybe munchers but I still think they are going well enough to win this one. Quite open this race IMO

There it all is. Good luck to all who play

Race 9 -

froggy jockeys challenge 2.40
save on mccoull at the 8.00
for me

I went to Launceston Cup Day a couple of weeks ago.

the day is a shadow of its further self

" former"

Why?

gl NW and all concerned

I am in queue for a collect already in the first

from 25,000 people to about 7,000

I thought it was about 11k...was a pretty ordinary day.

11,ooo legs more like it

Well i suppose I may have counted some people twice

13/03/2013 Bank Closes @ $5513.09

20/03/2013 - Launceston

Bank $5513.09

Jockey Challenge: Back JENNY DUGGAN $165 @ $4.50

The lass has 5 rides, all with a show. Whilst A Darmannin and S.Carr have more rides, I doubt they have any more than 5 realistic chances. Got me fkd how B.Mcoull is favourite with his 4 rides. So its Jenny for P2P.

Bank $5348.09

Launceston Race 1

Back ROSEMOUNT DARA for stake of $160.

$80 will be at BF SP and the other $80 on TW's best tote.

It has drawn 4 and has real good speed. The three drawn inside it are FILLOUT THE TICKET, MAGGIES HAWK & HONEY FOR US. On Victorian runs, I would be suprised if FTT could hold it out and will more than likely settle behind first few. MH has no speed. HFU could kick up, however I doubt it has the speed to hold it out and they would me more likely to sit right behind speed. I can see KENTUCKY TEA being other speed runner, however its drawn outside and would have to have real zip to cross ROSEMOUNT DARA. I hope RD can get to the rail and lead. With it back to the True position and the Dead track, for 1200m, I hope its the spot to be. Others have a great chance and not an easy opening race.

Bank $5188.09

Launceston Race 2

Back AVENTADOR for stake of $155. It will once again be split between BF SP and TW Best Tote.

This is an average race. LA BRETTA should lead and that will be no disadvantage, however its suspect at the 1200 for mine. ARTIC BLITZ has drawn wide and may burn accross. If it does, there will be speed on. I think many of these are suspect to run a strong 1200m apart from BUZZING AWAY but I think its just a horse. AVENTADOR ran well first up. It lost ground at a vital stage. A change in jock is a plus. I expect this to sit off them, even well behind. With speed on, I think a few may struggle over last 100 -200m. This is where AVENTADOR can come into play.

very nice p2p.   wd

ty Chanters, it raced more forward than I expected. As soon as the fave went back from its barrier and I was OSL, I was confident it wouldn't be run down as it looked strong on line last start

Bank $6067.59

Launceston Race 3

Back LOST ISLAND for stake of $182. It will once again be split between BF SP and TW Best Tote.

NITRO QUI leads on its ear but I query it late. KOBBLE CREEK goes back from gate. COOL PARTNER wont settle of late. GURU REZ gets a nice run but its having third run in quick time. LOST ISLAND has a good jock change and should hold its spot. It should be right behind leader and in firing line. It may need an ounce of luck if they pack but with NQ flying up in front, it should get plenty of opportunity to get into clear.

Bank $5885.59

Launceston Race 4

Back REVEBNING for stake of $177.  Split between BF SP and TW Best Tote.

It was given a very cold ride last start IMO and ran home super. It will get back but with some speed on, should get its chance to get home over top. Hopefully JD can navigate a clearer path than she did in Race 3.

Bank $5709.09

Launceston Race 5

Back: ZEYBEK for stake of $170 split between BF SP and TW Best Tote

Siggy should shoot it across from wide draw to the lead. Whilst fresh, it should be able to cross and then take running down. Condition may be a worry but the bias near rails should aid it if it can cross ok.

Bank $5539.09

Launceston Flexi Quadrella $165.60 outlay - 92%

3,4,5,9,10/1,2,4/6,8,9/1,2,3,4

Bank $5373.49

Launceston Race 6:

Back: ARTIES SPUR for stake of $161 split between BF SP and TW Best Tote

Should ping the gates and cross to lead and adopt catch me if you can tactics.

Bank $5212.49

Going to leave it at that tonight and kick home Jockey Challenge and Quadrella

Good luck with kwaddie--Pee-too-pee..

Hope 6--wins race 7-at lonny--moral

imruined--good luck last leg-Peetoopee

If that wasn't a boat race, I don't know what is


Whilst the quaddie is out the door, I believe the Jockey Challenge saluted. Awaiting all clear on that but not a disaster.

what jocky--and how much

20/03/2013 Bank closes @ $5954.99

Jenny Duggan got up .

--Happy punting Peetoopee--ps-Your punting attempt is better than watching paint dry---justps--Just joking.

24/03/2013 - Hobart

Bank $5954.99

Jockey Challenge Stake $178

S. Maskiell $113 @ $4
J. Maskiell $65  @ $7

I put these on not long after market opened. They have both firmed but $3.60 and $6.50 freely available and still a great dutch IMO

Iam on S.maskiell with you PTP

Bank $5776.99

I am utilising Best Tote today for all selections based upon 3% of bank at the time and in this order.

Race 1: Back DULANI
Race 2: Back ONE AT A TIME
Race 3: Back GEE GEES HAYKEYE
Quadrella: 1/1,3,5/1,4,6/2,7 (Flexi)
Race 4: Back SECOND DOZEN
Race 5: Back SUGAR GUM
Race 6: Back BOUGGIE DANZER
Race 7: Back REACH THE MOON

Gl all

good judge NW.

JM will come home hard me thinks so nice insurance

24/03/2013 closed $4965.39

Unfortunately, I have not gone as well as hoped/expected. Its not worth the effort in posting to fellow forumites unless I can deliver the goods. I will lurk in quiet until the time I feel I can offer something of substance.
Good news its not been a disaster