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ajh1965
24 Jun 12 10:38
Joined:
Date Joined: 23 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 22 | Blogger: ajh1965's blog
My early thoughts
     Collingwood 1.14  Freo 8.0 (will be unlayable)
     Adelaide 1.22 Richmond 5.50
    West Coast Gold Coast na
    Essendon 1.28 W.Bulldogs 4.50
    Sydney GWS  NA
   Geelong 1.15 Port Adelaide 7.50
   Brisbane 1.50 Melb 3.0
   StKilda 1.55 North Melb 2.85

Looks like a punters round with plenty of shorties
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Report BJT June 30, 2012 7:59 AM BST
Eagles on track for 300+ here...  Laugh
Report BJT June 30, 2012 8:01 AM BST
Interesting to see AD.  I think they will make a big example of him to try to make a big statement trying to stamp such tackles out of the game for good.  Very dangerous tackle, and can easily see him copping at least 6.
Report Aussie Driver June 30, 2012 8:03 AM BST
I don't disagree with you BJT but don't think it will happen - you have to tear a limb off an opponent to get 6 these days. I would expect about half that will be the result

Guys on Adelaide radio saying he should get off as we speak Laugh
Report BJT June 30, 2012 8:06 AM BST
lol.  No chance getting off.  What drugs are they on?  Crazy
Report Aussie Driver June 30, 2012 8:08 AM BST
Stephen Rowe, Chris Mcdermott, Nathan Bassett doing the commentary. They pretty much think Adeliade are morals to win the next five flags. Walker is in line for Australian Of The Year in their eyes
Report Aussie Driver June 30, 2012 8:12 AM BST
They are now claiming it will be a Victorian conspiracy if Walker gets games Laugh
Report bigted. June 30, 2012 8:24 AM BST
how can u listen to 5aa AD..so biased..good for a laugh in port games tho..they hate port..
Report Aussie Driver June 30, 2012 8:34 AM BST
I actually like Bassett, he has a great football mind, will get an AFL coaching job one day

The rest are just a joke, I get a giggle out of them
Report wombleoz June 30, 2012 8:58 AM BST
Gold Coast not awful, just need to finish better - can stay with 10 goals imo
Report Mrben June 30, 2012 9:02 AM BST
GWS getting 96.5 from swans @ 1.24. Will it be enough?
Report wombleoz June 30, 2012 9:08 AM BST
Swans by 100+ tonight - no Izzy no Giants imo
Report drewboy June 30, 2012 9:57 AM BST
Anyone think Bulldogs are a back to lay prospect today?  Surely need to get their finger out early?
Report Winker June 30, 2012 10:22 AM BST
Can't see it drewboy, not enough scoring power for mine. They might keep it tight in a low scoring start, but hard to see this one flip flopping.
Report Winker June 30, 2012 10:23 AM BST
I'm actually struggling to find anything worth backing or laying tonight. Very quiet on all fronts.
Report drewboy June 30, 2012 10:33 AM BST
Cheers Winker - can see it being tight into 3rd quarter and thought I might be able to pinch a bit.  Dogs shooting at goal has been dreadful past few weeks, all about the start and some confidence - just about worth a punt at the odds for me.

Good luck
Report bigted. June 30, 2012 11:02 AM BST
Dogs only chanceof not copping a hiding is iff crameri can't come back on
Report bigted. June 30, 2012 11:04 AM BST
Fin touchy things these iPads Blush
Report drewboy June 30, 2012 11:05 AM BST
Dire - think I'll do some work.
Report Lets Elope June 30, 2012 11:35 AM BST
Nice to see the Eagles finally deal with a side as poor as that that in the manner they should. a nice little percentage booster today and have found another for the future in young Newman, the wraps I were getting about him from my contacts at Swans were spot on.
Report bigted. June 30, 2012 11:38 AM BST
Seriously you or I coulda got a kick out there today..no pressure at all..anyway g/l to the boy
Report Lets Elope June 30, 2012 11:43 AM BST
Going to be player though ted as long as long as he keeps his head on straight, probably not this year but is definitely one for the future his pressure, harassment and speed were terrific and he runs to the right places in the forward line.
Report Lets Elope June 30, 2012 11:49 AM BST
Yeah Ted I have to agreeGold Coast subbed all their players off at 3/4 time and put witches hats out for the remainder of the gameLaugh
Wish the Tigers had won they were the value part of a very nice multi for an extremely minimal outlay and if they  had won I was basically home.
Nearly laid off at quarter time on the crows  as thought they couldn't continue to play that badly for two weeks ins a row if they tried. Pretty disappointing loss that one for Tiger fans after being in total control early.
Report wombleoz June 30, 2012 11:55 AM BST
Suns were a different team after half time, totally stopped

Swans need a hundred point win
Report Mrben June 30, 2012 1:18 PM BST
phew!!!  96.5 was just enough for GWSLoveLoveLove
Report wombleoz June 30, 2012 2:02 PM BST
wd Mrben - bit sloppy at the end but we did enough to hold second Cool
Report CrazySnake June 30, 2012 4:20 PM BST
Finally back to 9 game rounds and I haven't had a single bet Laugh.
Expecting all three faves to win Sunday so going to take a small multi for a giggle paying 1.85.
Gotta find some way to cut through the boredom Plain
Report Winker July 1, 2012 2:43 AM BST
Agree Crazy, I was excited by the full round, but hardly a bet to be had.
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 2:45 AM BST
I dont know about that, backing the Hawks at the relatively small line was stealing money
Report Winker July 1, 2012 2:46 AM BST
Actually I take that back, Geelong to cover a line in the wet. Line should start to come in with this weather and invariably they cover the spread in these matches.
Report Winker July 1, 2012 2:47 AM BST
Wasnt keen on that game LE, thought Carlton might have shown a bit more, and I think the Hawks can leak a few points.
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 2:53 AM BST
Hawks have been building again for weeks, last week was no test though, it will be interesting when they again play a "quality" side what happens they appear better balanced now but you won't really know for certain until they come up against a genuine contender and the blues are none of the those things.
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 3:41 AM BST
im having a little interest in the under 163 total at the cats..even tho theyll spank port im backing on the rain to keep the scores down

Scared
Report Winker July 1, 2012 3:47 AM BST
Ted, It is absolutely belting it down in Geelong, under 150 might add some value. very surprised that there hasnt been money for Port at the big lines with this weather.
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 3:52 AM BST
they are so decimated with injury tho..not gonna go there..
Report Winker July 1, 2012 3:56 AM BST
True, but wet weather footy is about attitude as much as anything. Port have shown they can bring it on their day.
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 4:00 AM BST
good luck mate,your usually quite astute..might have a little interest thru a multi..also might have inder 81 for first half..something to make the game exciting..
Report Winker July 1, 2012 4:05 AM BST
Not having a bet, but cheering the under for you
Report Mrben July 1, 2012 4:15 AM BST
in the conditions Port  + 77.5 @ 1.35 is a gift.I hopeCrazy
Report Winker July 1, 2012 4:27 AM BST
As long as Geelong don't kick 100 you should be OK, cause Port won't kick 5 goals today.
Report Mrben July 1, 2012 4:55 AM BST
the challenge during the port cats game will be staying awake.What a yawnfest of a game.
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 5:00 AM BST
That's why I had a bet on the game mr Ben..on edge of the seat here Excited
Under 82 first half Scared
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 5:07 AM BST
C'mon pi55 down Huey ffs Plain
Report Mrben July 1, 2012 5:10 AM BST
lol ted- think your home and hosed!
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 5:12 AM BST
Me too Happy
Report Winker July 1, 2012 5:50 AM BST
The whole arvo is a yawn fest, races called off, crappy wet weather footy. Hopefully the late game is a corker.
Report dollaroone July 1, 2012 5:55 AM BST
brisbane have been backed off the map since this morning . Melbournes bus mustnt of turned up
Report Winker July 1, 2012 5:58 AM BST
1.20 seems pretty short now. Think they win, but brave taking 5s on about a bottom 8 team.
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 6:01 AM BST
jamar,jones out is why
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 6:40 AM BST
got a goal yo play with Scared
Report Winker July 1, 2012 7:17 AM BST
Demons are a very very ordinary team. Kicking skills appalling for pro footballers.
Report BJT July 1, 2012 7:43 AM BST
Think Saints forward pressure is enough to control the Roos pretty easily here.  Roos won't have the space and need to rely on fast breaks for their scores.  Will be coming wide, and turning it over.  Saints by 30 for mine.
Report Winker July 1, 2012 7:44 AM BST
Fast start Roos. 12-0. Time to get on Saints me thinks.
Report BJT July 1, 2012 8:30 AM BST
Not sure about this, but looks a game played at cracking pace.  I think Roos are playing out of their skin here, and could very well come down to fitness.  A lot of mistakes being made, but I think that is all due to pressure applied by both teams.
Based on the speed the Roos play with I think that still works in the Saints favour.  They will have their spurts the Roos, but I think Saints grind out over the course of the game, and will run away in the end.

But really enjoying the game so far.  Some sore boys tomorrow me thinks.
Report Winker July 1, 2012 8:34 AM BST
Spot on BJT, can't sustain this type of up and back running. Whatever the score at 3/4 time, I'm backing the Saints to smash them at the back end of the game.
Report Winker July 1, 2012 8:39 AM BST
And the umps doing their best to help the Saints. Crazy
Report Winker July 1, 2012 8:41 AM BST
and again, omg this is disgraceful Angry
Report BJT July 1, 2012 8:49 AM BST
WTF?  A bump off the ball worth 50?  A high shot in a marking contest 50m?  2 ridiculous decisions, and a ridiculous way to try and sort that out.
Report Back High Lay Low July 1, 2012 8:50 AM BST
spray tan for stevie milne....stat
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 8:58 AM BST
If I was scottie watters I would be strangling that little shiit Milne at halftime, what an undisciplined farkwit all he was ever going to achieve by bumping the north player on the way off the field after being sent off to get another jumper was to give away another 50m penalty as  a matter of fact if the saints get back on top I would be subbing the little shiit off, you can't have that sort of stupid selfish undisciplined craap and if he gets a chance to sub him off it sends  a message to all of them that this sort of craap isn't tolerated from anyone.
I mean seriously what a farkin moron
Report Winker July 1, 2012 9:15 AM BST
I'm not normally an ump basher, but this has been truly terrible.
Report BJT July 1, 2012 9:23 AM BST
Yes.  Crazy umpiring here.
Report Kye July 1, 2012 9:26 AM BST
wtf was that free to Riewoldt. just brushed him on way past. is he a protected species?
Report BJT July 1, 2012 9:32 AM BST
Was a sorry for rorting you guys free kick.  Saints sore and sorry here, big effort from here all of a sudden.
Report Winker July 1, 2012 9:50 AM BST
Going to be hard with only 2 men on the bench, but Saints must have the run in the legs here in this qtr. Roos have gone flat out all night and have to tire.
Report BJT July 1, 2012 9:56 AM BST
Realistically, there comes a time when potential is just left behind.  Raph Clarke, way too long in the system.  Decision making isn't there, dead wood.
Report Winker July 1, 2012 10:00 AM BST
No slowing down. Impressive football. Daniel wells sensational game.
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 10:02 AM BST
Can anyone tell me why on earth you don't tag Wells!!!
He was killing them in the first half and then you don't put a hard tag on him from halftime onwards.
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 10:04 AM BST
Raph clarke is one of their few players todaywho has actually been good all day and put in a strong four quarter effort, stupid comment for mine.
Report Kye July 1, 2012 10:05 AM BST
How was that holding the ball. Pinned to him as soon as he got it. Umpires are changing the game!
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 10:07 AM BST
The plus 205 arrives !
Report BJT July 1, 2012 10:12 AM BST
Raph Clarke?  Been dead wood for years now.  Running through the centre of the ground 20 metres space, ready to pump in to 20 out, gets done holding the ball.  Has no awareness around him.  Is purely a punch, quick handball player and generally struggles at that.  He is a liability, and has been today.

10 disposals, 4 marks, 4 tackles.  Good all day?  Stupid comment for mine.
Report Kye July 1, 2012 10:12 AM BST
If you kick it away after the whistle has blown for free kick to the opposition i thought it was a 50m penalty. Have the umpires changed the rule on that too? or do they need to be lenient b/c they have fkd up the advantage rule. seems no consistency at all
Report Winker July 1, 2012 10:14 AM BST
Really poor umpiring today, but didn't spoil a great game.
Report BJT July 1, 2012 10:15 AM BST
Yeah, been **** umpiring all day.  TBH I think there is a few equalisers happening even though at this point they aren't as important.
North deserve the credit though, they have been too good today.  Play that way every week they wouldn't be fighting for a spot in the 8, they would be locked in.  A very long way between their best and their worst.

As for Wells being tagged, I think the worst decision was to leave out Jones, which could very well have been the difference in the 4 points.
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 10:17 AM BST
Lets see how these guys go against the Eagles next week in Tassie, you can guarantee someone from the eagles will be paying very close attention to wells.
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 10:23 AM BST
Clark was one of their few defenders who stood up all up day, do you actually watch a game mate or do you go on stats, stats can mean anything you want them to mean, his courage today was bordering on suicidal at times with some of the things he did,  if the rest of them had played with the same intensity as he did today its doubtful they would have lost, saints carried more passengers today than an indonesian people smuggler.
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 10:26 AM BST
I
Report bigted. July 1, 2012 10:27 AM BST
Oops ,I'll be backing north for sure next week
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 10:32 AM BST
Lots of luck Ted you'll be needing it  me I'll be loading up massively on the eagles if they're the right price.
Report ghoststory. July 1, 2012 10:44 AM BST
Wondering what odds any of you would frame the West coast
v Roo's nextt weekend...?

Tassie is quite the road trip for the Coasters....
Think they could be very gettable
$2.50 ish for North?
Report CrazySnake July 1, 2012 10:50 AM BST
North no chance. Posting 1000/1 right now. They can only win under the roof Laugh
Report ghoststory. July 1, 2012 10:54 AM BST
I'm not greedy CS.... Just $1000 at $3.00 is fine
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 11:02 AM BST
Seriously snake what do you think the betting will be, do you think there's  any chance of getting a semblance of a price about the Eagles?
Report CrazySnake July 1, 2012 11:02 AM BST
I suspect you'll get something around 2.80
Report CrazySnake July 1, 2012 11:02 AM BST
I price it 1.55 Eagles 2.82 North
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 11:05 AM BST
yeah I thought if we're serious somewhere around 1.6 would be fairly close to the mark any chance of the Vic bias kicking in and getting a bit better than that Eagl;es have to travel all the way to Tassie, north red hot again etc
Report wombleoz July 1, 2012 12:02 PM BST
Hobart should be in for a ripper match, it's been sold out for a while apparently
Report CrazySnake July 1, 2012 12:29 PM BST
Nothing to do with bias. Just around where I price it.
Report ghoststory. July 1, 2012 1:25 PM BST
I'll go $1.50 to $2.55....

Always a chance the Roo's could come back to earth and i'd
stay away if this was at the G....

However Tassie is a monster trip for the Coasters......
to a ground none of them have not even seen let alone played on.
2'S on for an interstate team playing an inform team in the 8 in Hobart....no way...
I will be very surprised if coasters don#t trade above evens in the run.
Thought they were just ok against the Blues...
good against the Pies who were average and their
soft training run on the weekend does not do them any favours.

I'm backing Roos at anything above $2.60
Report logroller July 1, 2012 1:32 PM BST
well hop to it ghostman........you'll get 2.80 maybe 3.0 for sure
Report CrazySnake July 1, 2012 2:29 PM BST
The Eagles ran the Hawks very close there last year and probably should have won. I doubt the ground and trip hold many fears for them tbh.
Report Lets Elope July 1, 2012 4:43 PM BST
Snake wasn't referring to any bias you had I was talking abut the main bookmakers price setters. Going to tassie holds zero fears for the eagles as Snake said would have beaten the Hawks last year except for 10 min lapse where Buddy went berserk.
Report logroller July 2, 2012 7:00 AM BST
have WCE played in Hobart??

this will be a North bias crowd for sure in Hobart, their big push into Tassy/Hobart
not Launceston
Report Aussie Driver July 2, 2012 7:43 AM BST
Taylor Walker gets 4 weeks

Do yourselves a favour and get a copy of 5AA transcript about this tonight. Stephen Rowe has claimed Richmond has stitched him up with their docs report, and proceeded to go into a rant I have never heard before on radio. Graham Cornes has claimed it is a Victorian conspiracy that is ruling the roost.

They conveniently forget to mention he should have got 4 weeks after the showdown where he slid straight into Surgeon with his knees first, and somehow got off.

Just hilarious
Report Lets Elope July 2, 2012 11:46 AM BST
Am well aware its in Hobart North not in the same class as the Eagles, Le Cras starting to push really hard at training and is not impossible to be back for the finals which would be a massive bonus.
Report Lets Elope July 2, 2012 11:48 AM BST
Seriously why would anyone listen to 5AA in the first place and expect anything tha'st unbias. Walker could have broken the guys neck for fark sake.
Report CrazySnake July 3, 2012 6:44 AM BST
Loggy,

The point was not Hobart versus Launceston. It was the trek from WA to Tassie, you goose. That was cited as a reason the Eagles might struggle but the point was made that they travelled there (Tassie) last year and gave the up and going Hawks a fright.

Bloody pedant!
Report logroller July 3, 2012 6:52 AM BST
derrrr......................who u calling pedantExcited
Report megsy July 3, 2012 7:55 AM BST
whats WCE's home ground advantage, 6 goals? north lost by 4 pts last year over in the west with half a side, 36 pts this year playing 12 kids over in the west earlier this year. bring on WCE i say for a beating in tassie.
Report Lloydy Trots Man July 3, 2012 2:49 PM BST
In normal motion Walkers tackle looks a Brilliant strong Tackle, what you want your players to do.
In slow Mo it looks terrible.
to me was 50/50.
Afl want it stamped out so might be a good call, to me im think he should of got a week and higher suspended sentence if does again.
Walker is a Big man tackling a little man as well and easy to do with size difference. Very Harsh penalty. Very Happy the Richmond guy was ok as well. He got up pretty quick.
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