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Hal
27 Apr 12 11:05
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Date Joined: 14 Mar 07
| Topic/replies: 508 | Blogger: Hal's blog
Not as bad as I thought.

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Replies: 39
By:
Winker
When: 27 Apr 12 11:09
Same Hal, wasn't expecting it to be that simple.
By:
Craig The Speculator
When: 27 Apr 12 11:10
seems unfair to put in on the greyhounds when they have entered into a gross product model
By:
Josh-T
When: 27 Apr 12 11:22
agree Craig, when NSW do it differently. but I have to say on face value I'm very relieved.
By:
Khan321
When: 27 Apr 12 11:23
Unfair is a word that could be applied to a few things, but this announcement is at least simple and Betfair has enough problems with perceived complexity already.

It'll also help me stop betting on things I don't know much about like AFL / NRL just because the takeout is so low.
By:
Barney The Bot Slayer
When: 27 Apr 12 11:32
TROUBLE WILL BE IN SMALL POOLS LIKE TROTS.

won't makemuch diffenrence to me.
I push and can do little business these days.

I won't be pushing any more
By:
Josh-T
When: 27 Apr 12 11:38
Could be right Barney. I think that can be helped a little if they expand #inplay to all harness markets. That's their plan, I just hope they go through with it soon
By:
Hal
When: 27 Apr 12 11:44
I can't see they are passing all the extra costs onto their clients. Still look a better deal then the scabs parimutuels (pc excepted).
By:
Kye
When: 27 Apr 12 11:51
1.5% increase. How could you have expected worse than that? I don't think you all realise how much this will affect your profitability long term.

I am leaving Betfair & the punt. It is difficult enough to win as a form punter with so many fixed races but this extra fee combined with the PC will make it near impossible to make a decent profit from betting here. I cannot justify the number of hours i spend betting on here.

Good luck all
By:
Barney The Bot Slayer
When: 27 Apr 12 12:02
Kye
It's hard to argue with you.

It's 1.5% when U win ,obviously

there are no rebates when you lose.

I hope B'/F have withdrawn all the sponsorship of races.
I would hate to think that we have now sponsor races through our increased 1.5%
By:
Hal
When: 27 Apr 12 12:05
All the best Kye. Wish you well.
By:
Winker
When: 27 Apr 12 12:14
It's a bit like the big banks, they can simply adjust their rate as they please to maintain/increase company profits. This business model continues to work when there is no competition.
By:
wombleoz
When: 27 Apr 12 12:22
looks like my sums were right-effectively means the average commission charged rises over 50% - can't blame Betfair for this one, it was forced on them Sad

terrible for the pros out there working on small margins - shame to lose people like Kye, will be missed Sad
By:
Wat Smol
When: 27 Apr 12 12:23
I only bet on Vic races & trots. I currently pay 3% commission. This will increase to 3.9% commission despite Betfair continuing to pay RVL & HRV for the present time at the existing rates.
I think the V man will cost me money.
By:
della
When: 27 Apr 12 12:29
Like KYE I have also decided to stop betting on Australian Racing

I will also be discontinuing my racehorse ownership was was born out of racing profits

instead I will be concentrating on poker and sports betting
By:
Kingston Town
When: 27 Apr 12 12:29
The caper was becoming very marginal for me whereas I could make a nice earn five years ago. Unfortunately I'll be gone after this increase.
By:
wombleoz
When: 27 Apr 12 12:31
it's a shame they haven't use different rates for different codes/states depending on what they have to pay - I guess this is easier

everyone going to change to the US/UK???
By:
nickw
When: 27 Apr 12 12:34
looks like to me that betfair will actually make money out all this
just charge everybody...mmmmmm

maybe a few PC payers may drop off due to paying more commission?
By:
Barney The Bot Slayer
When: 27 Apr 12 12:53
It will cost me(quick calculation)
25% of my profit for last 3 months

worse than PC
By:
wombleoz
When: 27 Apr 12 12:59
wow Sad
By:
Dooksy
When: 27 Apr 12 13:01
Agree with nickw. NSW greys haven't gone to the turnover model but yet we're still paying 6.5% base rate?
By:
Josh-T
When: 27 Apr 12 13:03
Sorry to hear those who aren't going to be around :( I still think I can make it work for me. I'm an exchange player exclusively. I'm just glad we still have an exchange. But I appreciate the views above. I'll tell you on May 31 if I can survive.
By:
Barney The Bot Slayer
When: 27 Apr 12 13:12
josh

the prob is
that the more that leave.
the lower the liquidity.
the lower the liquidity ,
the more that leave.

Does B/F really need deserters,

as for B/f going inplay at trots--won't happen.
By:
frog2
When: 27 Apr 12 13:17
Increasing win per market fee to pay for a turnover fee! Very dangerous I think. Traders will cost Betfair alot more yet will only pay a tiny bit more in charges. Scratch trades will cost Betfair a fortune.
By:
Josh-T
When: 27 Apr 12 13:22
I don't disagree frog if that's what indeed happens. What keeps me going is new people trickling into the market...whether they be smart, naive or indifferent.

And Frog although I've been wrong many times before, I think Aus is key in Betfair's global strategy and the push into the US etc.  So perhaps it's break even, small loss for them for a bit. Happy to be way off track.
By:
elsu.
When: 27 Apr 12 13:56
I PAY 2% COM HOW MUCH WILL MY COM BE AS FROM 1ST MAY
AUS Melt (AUS) 27th Apr / 22:42 R9 2240m Pace M
Comm Charged 2% On Net winnings of AUD915.31
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 27 Apr 12 13:59
You will be paying 2.6% Elsu
By:
mickh
When: 27 Apr 12 14:13
I would have thought that Elsu would have to pay 3.5%.  Isn't the increase 1.5%?
By:
mickh
When: 27 Apr 12 14:18
Sorry AD you are right I just worked it out.  He is on the maximum discount
By:
elsu.
When: 27 Apr 12 14:53
YES I THOUGHT ...3.5%
but reliabilty told after a few puone calls it will be 2.6%
     thanks for that
By:
Thebas
When: 27 Apr 12 22:20
1.5% ... same as rnsw increase ...

but the rnsw increase is on turnover .. and there is still conjecture on here as to what consitutes turnover ...

BF have never explained exactly what they have been advised is ... THEIR turnover ... (ie is it just the 'back' bets etc)

seems to me the other codes/states on here are now helping to pay the rnsw tax

... should RVic and others go to the turnover model (as they say they will) ... then i am assuming there will be a ... further upward adjustment to the (now) 6.5%
By:
wombleoz
When: 27 Apr 12 23:47
Racing Victoria switch to turnover from 1 July or 1 August anyway - they are charging 2% for the Spring Carnival - will Betfair up the commission to 7% then???

Turnover is "back bet turnover"

Agree the other codes / states that haven't changed models are being punished along with the punter - I'm guessing the assumption is they will all move across.  Maybe the option is for Betfair to limit sponsorship to those codes / states that don't???
By:
swansdude
When: 28 Apr 12 00:38
Hopefully gross profits is back after 12 months I was expecting worse so i have some relief right now hopefully volume is not to badly affected.
By:
aachen
When: 28 Apr 12 01:29
big winners will be the states/codes that keep the 15% of gross profit

betair have increase their commission by 30%

15% of 30% is 4.5%

and 4.5% is 3 time bigger than 1.5%
By:
wombleoz
When: 28 Apr 12 03:09
very good point Aachen
By:
PCisaripoff
When: 28 Apr 12 03:25
How great of the mighty Betfair
I'll still pay 20% but happy to do so as long as they stay in the game
By:
wombleoz
When: 28 Apr 12 03:34
actually - doesn't work that way Aachen - 1.5% on turnover is 60% of their gross on the old calculations
By:
aachen
When: 28 Apr 12 03:44
not sure on the maths..but I still think they will be better off

because they will be getting more from betfair than they
would be if things had stayed the same
By:
wombleoz
When: 28 Apr 12 03:56
yep they will be bit better off than they were
By:
Mr. Memory
When: 28 Apr 12 07:17
I live in London & 48% of my turnover is with Australia & New Zealand.....due to insomnia.

At 6.5% basic, you cannot win paricularly when it is applied to low turnover greyhound racing.

I therefore intend to invest in some sleeping pills.
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