THE 2022 GRAND NATIONAL.

yes i think a few bet on potters corner with that same mindset this year.

Got that last bit wrong.should have read. Had the faller after falling rolled to his left

Commodore must be at least a credible runner next year. He should go up to 140 after today so needs one more good run to get high enough in the weights.

My early pick is Enjoy D'allen ....third in Irish Grand National , 3rd in the PaddyPower and fifth in a competitive hurdle today.

That might be it if they are targeting Aintree.

Escaria ten looks chucked in off the Galvin form last March! I’ve missed the 25/1 though but 26’s is still available.

snow leopardess looks a great bet to me if a runner  on at 25/1

Ts on the grand national

Longhouse poet 33/1
Braeside e/w 50/1 

(Prices for information only)

Although worse off with Burrows Saint, who I don't think will stay again, I thought Farclas could easily improve on last years position.  I think that one interests me alongside the weight on Coko Beach on a line through Run Wild Fred but it would need to be soft (albeit unlikely).

^^^^Restrictions got 2u then obviously

In my opinion on current entries, Escaria Ten , looks reasonably treated, but non runners do very often bring others into play.

The Bailey stable has indicated that - Two For Gold - had a hard race at Ascot and that he'll be rested and as long as he's recovered from his run and conditions are soft then he'll run in the National for which he'll carry 10-11 (as long as the top weights hold their ground - but weights may well rise 6lb with defections). He's been put up to 159 after his 2nd at Ascot last time, but will run off 154 in the national.

Now, I think that as long as there is soft in the going description he'll run since he's won on GS, but the softer the better for him.

The big question is will he stay. He has the same sire as Galvin (Gold Well) who won the 3m6f (used to be 4m) National Hunt chase at last years festival and is 22/1 for this year National as well as 4/1 2nd fav for the Gold Cup. But Galvin's dam sire was Moonax who was twice 2nd in the Group 1 Prix du Cadran over 2m4f, whereas Two For Gold dam sire is Shernazar who was middle distance rather than a stayer.

He's twice won over 3 miles and the one time he tried 3m2f was in the 2020 Ladbroke at Newbury on good going when he was pulled up, so no one knows and it's a risk but Kim Bailey worked for the great Fred Rimell who trained four grand National winners back in the day and he always felt that a good National Horse wants two and a half miles which Two For Gold gets well. Not that I necessarily agree but it informs Kim Baileys view and would be another reason to run.

OK he's a long shot, but as a 9yo he's at the height of his powers having been raised from 150 to a career high of 159 (runs off 154 in the National) this year. I have him at an average of 126.0 (90 still available) and as long as he gets into the race I can see him being much shorter on the day and I should be able to have a free bet at a nice price, or more likely lose it all !!

*tipped

Ha ,also on Fortescue , plus that grey of Venetias that dotted up at HQ , Commodore (may not get in ) and HDB's recent purchase Court Maid (just on the offchance of a certain jockey ).

Blaklion.

I would like to see connections quietly withdraw this 13yo from the entry.
It would do the racing industry no good whatsoever to have a horse regarded as a pensioner hurt in this race and anything can happen.
It wouldn't do the horse any good either.
He;s already run in three - does anyone think he's going to improve to win one?

13 year olds have a better record in the race, than 7 year olds.

So Nicholls without a runner?

There was a major debate on here at the time Delta Work started going downhill after his Irish Gold Cup win in Feb 2020 and the possible reasons for it . Jack Kennedy's injury , sloppy jumping when crowded by horses etc however he never ran appallingly , just poorly . His jumping also tended to lack fluency . Perhaps the softer topped fences in the cross country and the national may just be the thing that sparks a revival . Like many on here I have a soft spot for the horse .

On the plus side Alice Plunkett is bound to tip it so that might deter a few people.

The price has gone to an extent on Enjoy D'allen and I'd have him on a shortlist however if you fancy him then you'd have to also consider Freewheelin Dylan.

Nationals are won by horses who jump, travel and get into good rhythms in their races, all the things he did in last years Irish National when Enjoy D'allen was back in third. He's still weighted to finish in front of him and the runner up that day, Run Wild Fred, yet is 50/1 generally. So long as the going stays decent he should go well at a big price off a decent break which he had before his Irish National win as well.

Really looking forward to the race, gl all.