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Grand National
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Have to be honest - my idea of the winner for the Grand National is BLACKLION - RSA chase winner will love the ground and the distance and ran well lto.
However love looking for good value elsewhere and an outsider that has a good shot..
And barring falls think PENDRA has a good a chance as any of the others and 4 times the price.
He ran in the Kim Muir... lto and was mighty unlucky to get caught on the line... if you watch the race he was leading for the first quarter, and then sat back... and then ran on... which tells me the horse has some stamina... he got caught cos he went wide of the line... and then sort of wobbled... but first time blinkers were on the horse... and that made the difference...
Few horses that ran in Cheltenham festival ran well in the GN... like Pineau De Re and Balthazars King... and maybe Pendra can add to this.
its was his first run in ages.. running in the grand national last year was quite disappointing but think it gave him a taster... and with blinkers on I think he has a great chance
But with better ground and his front running tactics - really worth a shout - given he is only 9... nice racing weight and in the JP McManus colours and his sire is Old Vic...
Good Luck
However love looking for good value elsewhere and an outsider that has a good shot..
And barring falls think PENDRA has a good a chance as any of the others and 4 times the price.
He ran in the Kim Muir... lto and was mighty unlucky to get caught on the line... if you watch the race he was leading for the first quarter, and then sat back... and then ran on... which tells me the horse has some stamina... he got caught cos he went wide of the line... and then sort of wobbled... but first time blinkers were on the horse... and that made the difference...
Few horses that ran in Cheltenham festival ran well in the GN... like Pineau De Re and Balthazars King... and maybe Pendra can add to this.
its was his first run in ages.. running in the grand national last year was quite disappointing but think it gave him a taster... and with blinkers on I think he has a great chance
But with better ground and his front running tactics - really worth a shout - given he is only 9... nice racing weight and in the JP McManus colours and his sire is Old Vic...
Good Luck
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good luck right age + coming on from Cheltenham. only drawback horses from previous years never won this century (I think)
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I've also backed this fella at some big prices.
I think the main negative is a stamina doubt as not only did he falter in the Kim Muir this year but he also did a similar thing in the handicap chase at the Festival won by Druid's Nephew a couple of years ago to finish 5th. On the plus side he jumped really well in last year's National and ran a good race for a long way before fading on the final circuit, I think the soft going did for him last year as it also did for a lot of other horses. He appears to have been trained with this year's National in mind, has a tidy racing weight, the going is coming somewhere near ideal and imo his prep run at Cheltenham was very encouraging so roll on Saturday! |
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I like Blacklion as well but have gone for Longsdon's other - Drop Out Joe - last night as the 80's Bog was too good to resist and looks like this has been the plan for this for a while (injury aside) been backed a little (well, its been shortened!) today by the looks of it. Should like the ground but obv you take a chance on him being ok after an injury that nearly ended his career. Will prob know my fate early on anyway and can concentrate on Blacklion romping home. Gl all.
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I'm another backer of this, that was an excellent re-appearence at Cheltenham, 66/1 very nice
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Out
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DOJ must be in such good form that the stable don't think it's worth running another! Hope it was backed nr no bet for you all.
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Can't believe that only horse to come out....
Back to drawing board on outsiders... |
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very unlucly
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Was any reason given for Pendra's withdrawal?
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Drop Out Joe been backed into 33's, must be all the homeless and people called 'Joe' backing it - of which i am neither i might add!
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