Grand National
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19 Mar 14
15:50
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Date Joined:
04 Oct 09
lottery in which any of the 40 horses can win!!! I have always believed this more than i have from any other race over fences of extreme distances due to the nature of the fences/course/number of runners!
The results from the past 30 years prove this theory, winners of sp from all points in the market, 100/1, 66/1, 40/1, 20/1 and so on!
Don't waste yer money with antepost. It aint worth it on this race! I say this after backing Long Run at 33/1 nrfb with bet victor some time ago mind
People will come on here and say this is the strongest trends race in the calender and so on and then go onto explain why and how they backed Aurora's Encore, Mon Mome and so on and so forth. Fine, i ask them to please post their selections below with a brief description as to why this selection meets these trends and then we will see after the race. I trust that the same horse or number of horses will keep featuring in posts, if trends really do come true they should prove fruitful!
I think my theory will stand up though
The results from the past 30 years prove this theory, winners of sp from all points in the market, 100/1, 66/1, 40/1, 20/1 and so on!
Don't waste yer money with antepost. It aint worth it on this race! I say this after backing Long Run at 33/1 nrfb with bet victor some time ago mind
People will come on here and say this is the strongest trends race in the calender and so on and then go onto explain why and how they backed Aurora's Encore, Mon Mome and so on and so forth. Fine, i ask them to please post their selections below with a brief description as to why this selection meets these trends and then we will see after the race. I trust that the same horse or number of horses will keep featuring in posts, if trends really do come true they should prove fruitful!
I think my theory will stand up though
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I think since the modifications the trends have been broken regularly ie French Bred over 11stone winners, but more than ever you need a strong stayer the 2 big price winners Mon Mome and Auroras Encore both had extreme distance form.
I would still point to 9-11 year old age range. 4 of my original 8 choices are already out and I agree to leave it till the day now, though Chance Du Roy with course form and Night In Milan good win last time are 2 that I have not backed but quite like. |
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It's far from a lottery, unless there's been any 14 million-1 winners I've missed.
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Oh and Steamship, tipped last year's winner at over 200-1 before last year's race.
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STS this is boring m8,you done this last year.
As big field handicaps go its one of the easier puzzles. |
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My theory is he is unable or unwilling to do the form for the race,. So you wont be getting my selection or any reasons why after many hours study.
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STS its not about form its about profile and AE and MM had the right GN profile.
Good form stops you winning m8 just look at Triolo on to high a mark The hard work is done a year before maybe longer. |
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The ones for me are:
Sunnyhillboy Burton Port The Package Lion Na Bernai Alfie Sherrin Shackalackaboomboom |
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My post from this afternoon is gone?
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Marychain did you back shackalacka before its comeback run?
To me its looks the worst value in the race at the moment, horse doesnt look fit. What am I missing? |
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Ran a decent race for a long way at Cheltenham I thought. Went off 8/1JF two years ago and was right up there 2 out. Reckon he'll be more suited now than he was then as an 8 year old. No evidence he's back to his best of course, but that's built into the price. Was rated 149 then and 140 now. Guess you could say 140 too high, but one I could see improving a lot.
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