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maam8mandingo
19 Mar 13 21:09
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Date Joined: 23 Apr 12
| Topic/replies: 135 | Blogger: maam8mandingo's blog
Very impressed with this horses performance at Cheltenham last week. Trying to make all from the front in the Kim Muir chase. Looks a big price at 100/1 at Ladbrokes? What do you make of the horses chances and will he even get into the race off a feather weight?
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Report San Quentin March 19, 2013 8:27 PM GMT
not on my radar for the race a agood few sloopy slow jumps but you never no.GL
Report Fabulous March 19, 2013 8:27 PM GMT
He already makes the line up maam. He's fell in the last 2 renewals, but I suppose his last run was very encouraging. Ran well in the Kim Muir last year too before his exit at The Canal Turn. Threw in a stinker at Cheltenham in December, but the going was desperate that day.

If you go for him, good luck, 100's seems tad generous.
Report maam8mandingo March 19, 2013 8:39 PM GMT
Yes his jumping can be abit sloppy at times but if he gets into a rhythm then you never know. What do you reckon about the extra distance? Potential problem? I'll be having some of the 100s though, seems decent value.
Report kavvie March 19, 2013 11:13 PM GMT
i backed him last 2 nationals.one for a good sum.i dont think the fences suit him at aintree for some reason.i wont be baking him again.id love to see noel glynn winning it but its hard to see it.
Report maam8mandingo March 19, 2013 11:23 PM GMT
Surely he's worth a small punt at a huge price? It is a little off putting that he has failed to complete the last twice. He is entered at sandown for the bet 365 gold cup on the 27th April? Could he go for that instead?
Report VillaBoy March 20, 2013 12:18 PM GMT
I've backed him last couple of years. His price is very big if he takes to it, but I've got a feeling he hates the race. Last year he never jumped at all and seemed to be trying to refuse.

Watch the race back and make your own mind up but I think this isn't his race
Report kavvie March 20, 2013 3:34 PM GMT
exactly what i seen villa boy.
Report Big Bucks John March 20, 2013 3:59 PM GMT
The horse can't jump. Won't be touching this one
Report kavvie March 20, 2013 5:05 PM GMT
he can jump(cheltenham 2 yr in a row?) but maybe not the gn fences for some reason
Report maam8mandingo March 21, 2013 12:08 AM GMT
Yes I can understand why people are skeptical about the horses jumping but at 100/1 that is taken into account. If he takes to the fences after some more thorough schooling then I think he could run a fair race.
Report Ming_the_Merciless March 21, 2013 9:40 AM GMT
got Roselier blood in the dams side so he should stay all day.

he was hampered that's why he fell last year.

I've have 'lumped on' with two quid at 130's.Happy
Report maam8mandingo March 21, 2013 10:28 AM GMT
Yes he will definitely stay the trip, it's just the jumping which can be sketchy. Will he even go for the race? He's entered for the bet 365 gold cup at sandown?
Report kavvie March 21, 2013 4:48 PM GMT
if he runs ill have to have a small bet.i was watching him from the start last year and he had to be ridden into every fence,i didnt see him being hampered?..he will stay all day..
Report maam8mandingo March 21, 2013 6:55 PM GMT
True, he didnt find much fluency before coming to grief, one thing is for certain. he wont be 100/1 at ladbrokes at the off!
Report kavvie March 21, 2013 7:45 PM GMT
2 yr ago he was backed into 12/1 or that.i was on at fancy prices here.was in the stand.fell at 1st!
Report maam8mandingo March 21, 2013 9:36 PM GMT
Yeah I remember him being well backed that year. 12/1 2 years ago and now 100/1. How times change!
Report VillaBoy March 22, 2013 11:03 AM GMT
Agree Kavvie. He jumps Cheltenham well when ridden up with the pace and has also jumped ok in Ireland, but there definitely seems to be something with him and the Aintree fences/experience. I felt he was too young in first year he tried and obviously only made one fence, but last year was a huge disappointment. As I say, for those considering make your own mind up but I don't think being hampered made any difference, he didn't want to be there imo. After two bad experiences I can hardly believe he'll be delighted to be back there again!! I only say this because I was gutted on the day, and watched it back a few times after to try and see what went wrong with him.

100/1 is a massive price "if" he takes to it, and he's well weighted, but for once I will be swerving him this year.
Report johnhanmerappreciationsociety March 22, 2013 12:46 PM GMT
The stats are well against him also as only one horse has fallen in two preceding Nationals before winning the race in more than 40 years - Little Polveir 1989, and he at least relished the course and race as he fell when leading five out in one of those Nationals.
Report Big Bucks John March 22, 2013 3:14 PM GMT
Kavvie - even at Cheltenham on his last run there his jumping was horrendous. Really couldn't touch it.
Report Big Bucks John March 22, 2013 3:16 PM GMT
His run at Cheltenham before his last one there sorry.
Report maam8mandingo March 22, 2013 9:02 PM GMT
Yeah he always goes better from the front and his jumping isn't naturally the best. Perhaps it might be asking too much to win but could run into a place if all falls right!
Report kavvie March 22, 2013 9:58 PM GMT
there would be some party in quin if he won it!!
Report maam8mandingo March 22, 2013 10:18 PM GMT
Oh yes, I'd be the first one at the party if he wins! We are all talking about the national but he is entered for the bet 365 chase at sandown? Think he will go that route?
Report kavvie March 22, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
maybe.only one who knows for sure is noel.
Report maam8mandingo March 22, 2013 10:40 PM GMT
This double entry has really thrown a spanner into my work.
Report Meadow X1 March 22, 2013 11:39 PM GMT
Ok, I threw some speculative minimum darts at three horses a wee while back and one of them landed on this guy.
  I am not keen on his jumping either really and wonder why they haven't targeted a race that suits front runners that can often get into a good rhythm if confident, the Scottish national being the obvious one.
Report maam8mandingo March 22, 2013 11:52 PM GMT
Yeah I know what you mean, I genuinely believe he could go well from the front at this years Grand National if he gets into a good rhythm at his fences. We know he will stay so that's not a problem, yet for some reason he has shown a considerable dislike to aintree so far, but if he can take to it then surely he'd be a cracking bet for the national
Report Swardean March 23, 2013 9:37 PM GMT
Love this horse always have, backed last couple of cheltenhams and nationals.  Never seems to be in the same groove at aintree but has been slow to come to hand this year and could be peaking at liverpool rather than tailing off. 

I have had few quid again, cant do any harm at 100s.
Report maam8mandingo March 24, 2013 12:02 AM GMT
Yes that could be a good point mate, perhaps he is coming into form at just the right time. Do you think he will target this race rather than the race at sandown that he is also entered for?
Report kavvie March 24, 2013 11:22 AM GMT
if i knew he was def going for aintree a few quid with lads at 100/1 ew wouldnt go amiss
Report maam8mandingo March 24, 2013 12:51 PM GMT
The 66/1 Non Runner no bet and 5 places seems the best option from Bet 365!
Report kavvie March 24, 2013 5:03 PM GMT
im restricted with them like many others.if i looked for 50ew id be offered something like 2.73euro ew!!
Report kavvie March 25, 2013 11:01 AM GMT
noel stated it runs in  scottish national if ground too soft at aintree(todays irish examiner)
Report maam8mandingo March 25, 2013 7:06 PM GMT
You must be winning plenty then mate! what's the forcast looking like? If it rains then we can forget about the national.
Report nostaw_01 March 26, 2013 3:49 PM GMT
I like this horse as well.  I completely agree that his jumping has been poor at times, especially on recent efforts but at the odds I'd be more than willing to take the risk that he might not complete, because if he gets round I can see him being right there.
Report Swardean March 26, 2013 7:20 PM GMT
BetVtor now going 6 places 1/4 odds on grand national.  Non runner no bet.

Becauseicouldntsee 66/1
Report maam8mandingo March 26, 2013 7:54 PM GMT
Yes if he picks up his jumping then he should be there or thereabouts. I hope he front runs and gets into a good rhythm, could be potentially hard to peg back.
Report BIGNotorious March 28, 2013 3:34 PM GMT
Agree completely. The 66`s and 6 places with bet victor looks appealing. Especially with NRNB. Il be having a modest e/w punt on it. Agree that his jumping can be sketchy but has a bit more going for it than some others at shorter prices. GL with your investment!
Report kavvie April 3, 2013 10:33 PM BST
it looks like this one is running.the 100/1 is too tempting to leave,specially for a horse who was 12/1 two years ago.and hasnt regressed.i hear hes been extensively schooled over aintree type fences so i had a bit ew today with lads at the price..
Report maam8mandingo April 3, 2013 11:08 PM BST
100/1 is very tempting and it won't be around come race day. Where have you heard that he has schooled over the national fences mate?
Report kavvie April 3, 2013 11:14 PM BST
fella told me that today that would know..not the actual aintree ones but ones like the aintree fences.
Report maam8mandingo April 3, 2013 11:23 PM BST
Nice one mate, is he in the know? And he must be going for this race rather than the Scottish national?
Report Clarky9 April 4, 2013 7:45 AM BST
I like him too. Backed him last year and thought he was going well enough when he went at Canal Turn.
Report kavvie April 4, 2013 8:53 AM BST
well i was told he was..but things can change i guess.ground looks itl be safe and not any extreme so id say he will go for aintree.dunno who hes planning to get to ride it..
Report kavvie April 4, 2013 11:21 AM BST
what sort of a jockey is martin ferris?
Report maam8mandingo April 4, 2013 6:07 PM BST
not entirely sure to be honest, what do you make of it?
Report kavvie April 4, 2013 6:09 PM BST
hopeful more than confident..worth a bet at 100/1 tho
Report maam8mandingo April 4, 2013 6:14 PM BST
definitely, way overpriced but i thought Andrew Lynch may take the ride as he has rode it for the majority of the season!
Report kavvie April 4, 2013 6:23 PM BST
maybe ferris schooled it maybe?il know more wen i get back from aintree
Report maam8mandingo April 4, 2013 6:53 PM BST
well shall see, let me know if that fella tells you anymore about the horse/jockey please mate. Are you having a nibble on Noel Glynn's other horse tomorrow in the Topham?
Report kavvie April 4, 2013 7:33 PM BST
no.im flying out to aintree tomoro morn at 7.ill not be back near a computer til sunday..and if becausei wins ill hardly be near one til at least tue!!
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