The last horse to get in the Grand National will be...

That would surprise me to be honest. Thinking No.60-The Package based on my own estimations on future entries/engagements etc.

I reckon around #57.

Was thinking high 50s too

Sorry for a asking a particularly 'new' question, I should now this, why dod you think "Qhilimar according to the handicapper. "?
Is that based on the 10st handicap?
how does this work?

I will say number 68 will be the last in.

thats what mr smith told me when the weights were released. personally i think high 50s, but the stats on previous say it will be in the 70s.

But that's with a lot more initial entries (usually 100+, as sopposed to only 80ish this year).

Backstage

(If eligilble) 

Remember some of the entries (7 i think) arent even qualified to run in the race.

I'll predict Some Target as no. 40 on the day.

They still have another 4 weeks to qualify though, but it's fair to expect some of them won't.

Hector's Choice qualifies if he manages a first four position today..

With the smallest entry for years, there will be hardly any eliminations this year.

Last year Skippers Brig (bootom of the card) was number 71 in long handicap. 71 this year is Some Target, but the top of the handicap is very "fragile" - I can see  SYNCHRONISED, MIDNIGHT CHAS,E  WEIRD AL, BURTON PORT and QUEL ESPRIT all washing their hair come April 14th.

Hoping State of Play gets in. Love to see that one win it.

14Apr12          Ain 36GS C1HcChG3 600K 10-3    1/40 (2L West End Rocker 10-12) 40/1    Paul Moloney    140     *       *
09Apr11       Ain 36Gd C1HcChG3 535K    10-6    4/40 (16½L Ballabriggs 11-0) 28/1    Paul Moloney    142    *    *
10Apr10       Ain 36Gd C1HcChG3 521K    10-11    3/40 (25L Don't Push It 11-5) 16/1    Paul Moloney    145    *    *
28Nov09       Nby 27GS C1HcChG3 114K    10-0    PU/19 (Denman 11-12) 12/1    Paul Moloney    148    *    *
04Apr09       Ain 36GS C1HcChG3 506K    11-2    4/40 (18L Mon Mome 11-0) 14/1    Paul Moloney    150   

State of Play's last 5 career runs before a well-earned retirement