Firstly their is no heart in this, its purely head, I have a pure dislike for 1 of the owners( who in fact has to be 1 of the luckiest people on the planet).
The horse.
Trained by a master trainer, who has a knack for getting it right with the best horse. Jockey has a very decent SR for chases.
The Horse.
well in on official ratings. His last run was exceptional. ground and distance no problem. 8yo not uncommon. to quality animals. Never fallen, decent size horse. blinkers not a bad thing around here, and improved him last time.
I can see him hacking if he stays away from trouble.
very good call, but didnt he spit the dummy in the hennesy one year? when tanking up to the last two, what will happen if he gets left out front on his own? he will still carry my shilling e/w
very good call, but didnt he spit the dummy in the hennesy one year? when tanking up to the last two, what will happen if he gets left out front on his own? he will still carry my shilling e/w
Dont Push It looks very reasonable at 11-2 to go off fav. AP factor on last year's winner on the day will prove mighty popular on the day with household punters who in the end move the national market
Dont Push It looks very reasonable at 11-2 to go off fav. AP factor on last year's winner on the day will prove mighty popular on the day with household punters who in the end move the national market
Had a very hard race three weeks ago in Gold Cup. It will take all the horses in the GC a while to get over that run. For that reason you have to oppose both Denman and What A friend in their chosen engagements this week. The National appears to be an afterthought with regards to What A friend and i have no doubt that there are other better handicapped horses lurking around below him that have been prepared specifically for this race.
Had a very hard race three weeks ago in Gold Cup. It will take all the horses in the GC a while to get over that run. For that reason you have to oppose both Denman and What A friend in their chosen engagements this week. The National appears to be a
He can't go off fav when Ruby has got off him. Most of your logic stacks though. There is a very strong form case to be made for What A Friend,and a pretty strong one for Arbour Supreme & Niche Market. But Ruby has rejected al of them to ride The Midnight Club - so what does he know exactly?
He can't go off fav when Ruby has got off him. Most of your logic stacks though. There is a very strong form case to be made for What A Friend,and a pretty strong one for Arbour Supreme & Niche Market. But Ruby has rejected al of them to ride The Mid
I disagree with "trip no problem" mind you. I think he'll stay myself, and there was certainly plenty of encouragement in his Gold Cup run, but you can never be sure a horse is going to stay 4.5m when the furthest it's run over is 3.25. WAF has had breathing problems too.
I disagree with "trip no problem" mind you. I think he'll stay myself, and there was certainly plenty of encouragement in his Gold Cup run, but you can never be sure a horse is going to stay 4.5m when the furthest it's run over is 3.25. WAF has had b
Very often there's a huge gamble in the race and it ends up fav despite the fact the gamble is totally fictitious. You should look for something under 20/1 that can't win and you'll not be far away.
Come to think of it What A Friend fits the bill big time.
Very often there's a huge gamble in the race and it ends up fav despite the fact the gamble is totally fictitious. You should look for something under 20/1 that can't win and you'll not be far away.Come to think of it What A Friend fits the bill big
I think What A Friend will be cantering all over them coming to the last and hopefully he can battle it out. People say he wilted in the Hennessy when Denman dug deep. That was Denman in his prime and What A Friend was an inexperienced 6 year old. On good ground and an aptitude for the Aintree fences, i think he will be able to save himself for the last mile. He is different class to every horse in the race and at the weights he is absolutely thrown in.
I think What A Friend will be cantering all over them coming to the last and hopefully he can battle it out. People say he wilted in the Hennessy when Denman dug deep. That was Denman in his prime and What A Friend was an inexperienced 6 year old. On
You gotta have faith with name like that it would appear you have more faith in What A Friend than Ruby Walsh does.
Great record in the race has our Ruby knows a dodgy head carriage when he sees one.
I hope he's cruising with 3 to jump with a few others a round him. As Bob Dylan would say Lay lady Lay
You gotta have faith with name like that it would appear you have more faith in What A Friend than Ruby Walsh does.Great record in the race has our Ruby knows a dodgy head carriage when he sees one.I hope he's cruising with 3 to jump with a few other
Ruby would have known What A Friend was ground dependantand his decision was made a couple of weeks before the GN. WP Mullins has shown great loyalty to Ruby ( in Rubys` eyes ) and Ruby has in return. There maybe a touch of personal reasoning behind his decision. The Midnight Club is fav so he also thought the market had it right at the time. Yet come saturday when the ground is riding good and What A Friend is lining up, he may have serious doubts.
RondettoRuby would have known What A Friend was ground dependantand his decision was made a couple of weeks before the GN.WP Mullins has shown great loyalty to Ruby ( in Rubys` eyes ) and Ruby has in return.There maybe a touch of personal reasoning b
Got nothing to do with loyalty to Willie Mullins mate this is the Grand National and you don't get of a horse with a winning chance to ride something of lesser ability.
Ruby new exactly what he was doing and this horse of his will take the world of beating.
Got nothing to do with loyalty to Willie Mullins mate this is the Grand National and you don't get of a horse with a winning chance to ride something of lesser ability.Ruby new exactly what he was doing and this horse of his will take the world of be
Was he ever on What A Friend? it wasnt even part of the equation untill after the Gold Cup. In Rubys head it was between TMC or Niche Market. What A Friend would have had doubts about the ground and his wellbeing after the Gold Cup. These factors will have gone into his decision making. Mullins has trained/plotted TMC for a long time for the GN. Ruby is reckoning on the horse being unexposed. Just because he has chosen TMC does not mean it will fair better on the day, than WAF.
Was he ever on What A Friend? it wasnt even part of the equation untill after the Gold Cup. In Rubys head it was between TMC or Niche Market. What A Friend would have had doubts about the ground and his wellbeing after the Gold Cup. These factors wil
I have a friend who is a agent, and he tells me that a few days after the GC, the owners of WAF asked if RW will be ridin, the answer came back he's undecided, immediately the choice was taken out of his hands, he tells me AF told PN THEIR AND THEN HE WASNT GOING TO BE FECKED ABOUT, so they stayed loyal to GC rider. Not surprising for me, as the man is loyal if nothing else. End of RW stayed with mullins, that is 100% fact as i have been told.
Secondly.
People go on about distance, please, look at the book, tell me how he's not going to see this out, in one of the best run GC's of all time he was doing all his best last on, yes he has to be delivered after the last, but he has 350yds to think about it, the jockey that is, and the blinkers will help again.
Thirdly.
The gamble factor, the housewives etc backing in this country, pales into insugnificance, the amount of bets that will go on in the far east from 6pm-2am their time.
1. They always always go for the top rated horse, the one that is best in. look at your stats for the last few years,
MONKERHOSTIN, prime example.
Also, how many MAN UTD supporters in the far east, their manager has a horse in the race, hes top rated and 1 of the favs..
This will 100% go off fav, mark my words, and he is good enuff, baring trouble to have this in his pocket from valentines 2nd time,
Lay him from their if you dare, not me.
Let me answer some questions here.Firstly,I have a friend who is a agent, and he tells me that a few days after the GC, the owners of WAF asked if RW will be ridin, the answer came back he's undecided, immediately the choice was taken out of his hand
The uk betting market will not decide on which goes off as Fav, it will be the far east, and i can assure you that the midnight club will not go off as fav. Its not the highest rated horse, simple as that.
Their will be a flood of money on What a Friend late on from that area.
The uk betting market will not decide on which goes off as Fav, it will be the far east, and i can assure you that the midnight club will not go off as fav. Its not the highest rated horse, simple as that.Their will be a flood of money on What a Frie
The horse is not a National horse full stop. The blinkers worked first time. Second time blinkers rarely work the oracle twice. Walsh would never pick the horse over Niche Market which is a real National type or The Midnight Club (may be better next year). I think you are right regarding it going off favourite just like Monkerhostin. The same thing will happen here. Sloppy jumping and mistakes followed by a fall or PU. I hope it does contract in price because I would be happy to lay 10's down. 8's will be a gift. That's a fact.
The horse is not a National horse full stop. The blinkers worked first time. Second time blinkers rarely work the oracle twice. Walsh would never pick the horse over Niche Market which is a real National type or The Midnight Club (may be better