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Grand National

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tinkler
04 Apr 11 18:51
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Date Joined: 02 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 1,652 | Blogger: tinkler's blog
Given that the ground maybe on the softer side of Good and that Overturn looks like running as a pacemaker, it looks like it might be a stiffer
test than usual.  Under these conditions Binoculer has little chance of staying well enough to win.  Peddlers Cross is likely to start at a fairly
short price and looks one to take on. He had an extremely hard race at chelt and gave everything ,although he should be Ok at the trip
to me he's best at 2miles and has alot of pace.  If hes a reasonable price OSCAR WHISKEY looks a fairly strong bet, he will love the trip
and got beat for toe at Chelt before staying on again. He's a horse that looks after himself never giving everything so Chelt won't have
bottomed him. Kyhber Kim will also love this specialist trip but is difficult to back given his past 2 runs.

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Replies: 12
By:
Howdi
When: 04 Apr 11 19:34
brave call to say Bino won't have a say
By:
tinkler
When: 05 Apr 11 16:02
OSCAR WHISKEY'S price of 7/1 suggests that the horse isn't quite right and there not going to run him. If he is declared to run 7/1 is very big about a horse
with the best  2 1/2m form in the race.
By:
buddeliea
When: 05 Apr 11 17:20
OW each way,looks nailed on to place imo,and possible winner.
By:
tinkler
When: 05 Apr 11 20:07
Personally i virtually never bet e/w . Its probably worth noting that Henderson until last year didn't have a great record at Aintree  , a lot of his horses
used to run poorly. Given he did well last year he may have turned it round. Oscar Whiskey could win easily  but is just as likely to run like a damp squid
for that reason he looks a win only bet.
By:
tinkler
When: 05 Apr 11 20:17
Its also probably worth noting that the weather up here is set to change dramatically over the next few days and could dry the ground out to almost fastish.
This would put a different complection on the race. Binoculer could safely beruled out on softish ground on fastish ground its not as clear cut.
Oscar Whiskey stands a much better chance if the grounds on the soft side.
By:
horse9
When: 05 Apr 11 20:46
I make Hurricane Fly a serious horse (didn't before the champion mind) and with that I have to fancy Peddlers for this assuming he's come out of Cheltenham OK.
I wouldn't discount the Halo completely, had the race in the bag last year before tipping up, he'll love the ground and I think the trip is perfect for him these days
By:
baracouda30
When: 05 Apr 11 22:58
OSCAR WHISKEY'S price of 7/1 suggests that the horse isn't quite right and there not going to run him. If he is declared to run 7/1 is very big about a horse with the best  2 1/2m form in the race.

Totally agree. The price is so big that there MUST be some serious negatives (other than being up against PC and Bino). If the horse and the ground are fine then it's a barmy price, should be half that.
By:
Rondetto
When: 06 Apr 11 10:31
Lovely horse Oscar Whisky he really is but get real guys.

The only basis for him to be winning is that he is better suited to 2m4f than he is by 2 miles but surely the same can be said of Peddlers, so the advantage he might have at Aintree just flew out the window,

Peddlers Cross's weakness is he can be beaten by a horse with a bit of toe which we saw at Cheltenham.

Oscar Whisky lacks the turn of foot but Binocular doesn't.

He's 3rd fav with good reason and I wouldn't back him in the win market at any price.
By:
baracouda30
When: 06 Apr 11 15:32
Any price?

You sure?
By:
Splicer Keats
When: 06 Apr 11 15:43
Peddlers Cross best at 2 miles is questionable, imo, i think this race is made for him, especially as connections think he may be a gold cup horse, the further the better onwards and upwards
By:
Rondetto
When: 07 Apr 11 09:06
His lack of kick in a finish would obviously make 2m4f more suitable but he finished 2nd in the Champion Hurdle because someting had to.

He barely outgunned Get Me Out Of Here last season and he'll find Binocular a whole different ball game in this.

9/4 Binocular is like taking candy from a baby
By:
Rondetto
When: 07 Apr 11 09:28
or was that Menorah Laugh Just got out of bed ffs
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