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CrowsEye
29 Mar 12 14:27
Joined:
Date Joined: 08 Jan 12
| Topic/replies: 2,153 | Blogger: CrowsEye's blog
Bank: 100pts

Bet: 1% of original bank until we see a 25% +/- then we scale to 1% of that bank and repeat.

'Rules': SGL only. Will bet wherever possible, no fringe/indie bookies though. Will list prices taken and where from.

Challenge over when bank is doubled or when I get bored after a few days (more likely).

Cool
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Report bob_terwilliger March 29, 2012 3:13 PM BST
good luck. whens the first punt? what will your selections be based on?
Report CrowsEye March 29, 2012 3:41 PM BST
1: Or D'Oudaries EVS @ BlSq/888
Report CrowsEye March 29, 2012 3:44 PM BST
Statistics, bob. Probably as in-depth as I can go.

Horse is at 15:45 Newcastle, btw.
Report CrowsEye March 29, 2012 3:48 PM BST
Heh, fell.

Bet 1: -1pt

Bank: 99pts

Cool
Report CrowsEye March 31, 2012 11:52 AM BST
2: Pistol Basc 19/10 @ Coral (17:45 Uttox)
Report bob_terwilliger March 31, 2012 2:05 PM BST
GL
Report CrowsEye March 31, 2012 5:55 PM BST
Unplaced!

Bet 2: -2pt

Bank: 98pts
Report bob_terwilliger March 31, 2012 7:16 PM BST
Cry
Report CrowsEye April 7, 2012 11:17 AM BST
3: Pacha D'Oudaries 5/4 @ Lad/PP (16:45 NAB)
4: Le Roi Rouge 11/14 @ Coral (17:05 Carlisle)
Report CrowsEye April 8, 2012 8:27 AM BST
Bet 3: +1.25pts
Bet 4: -1pt


Bet 4 was really poor value in the end, drifted markedly and came nowhere.


Bank: 98.25pts
Report CrowsEye April 8, 2012 1:06 PM BST
5: Carriglea Wood 2.42 @ Coral (16:05 Plumpton)
Report CrowsEye April 8, 2012 2:59 PM BST
6: Sawago 5/4 @ Lads (15:00 Plumpton)
Report CrowsEye April 8, 2012 4:38 PM BST
7: Mercers Row 15/8 @ Paddy (17:30 Muss)
Report CrowsEye April 8, 2012 7:02 PM BST
5: -1pt
6: +1.25pts
7: +1.88pts

Better day today.

Bank: 100.38pts
Report bob_terwilliger April 9, 2012 1:59 AM BST
keep going
Report CrowsEye April 9, 2012 5:06 PM BST
Bet 8: Tecktal 6/5 @ BlSq/888 (17:25 Plumpton)
Bet 9: Highlife Dancer 11/10 @ BlSq/888 (17:20 Yarmouth)
Bet 10: Newton Tonic 11/10 @ Coral (17:15 Huntingdon)
Report CrowsEye April 9, 2012 5:32 PM BST
8: -1pt (matched at 1.03 to place, fell at the end)
9: -1pt
10: +1.10pts

Bank: 99.48pts

A little unlucky today. Newton Tonic won in the end, I like the steadier returns of placing though.
Report CrowsEye April 14, 2012 7:04 PM BST
Bet 11: McCool Bananas EVS @ Coral (20:15 Wolver)
Report CrowsEye April 15, 2012 3:23 PM BST
Bet 12: Rockabilly 10/11 @ B365 (15:15 Ffos Las)
Report CrowsEye April 15, 2012 4:55 PM BST
Bet 13: Wait No More 1.87 @ Betfair (16:55 Ffos Las)
Report CrowsEye April 15, 2012 5:10 PM BST
11: -1pt
12: +0.91pts
13: +0.83pts

If you see a discrepancy in post times related to off times, Ffos Las was running late earlier today.

Bank: 100.22pts

Slow progress.
Report xmoneyx April 16, 2012 5:06 AM BST
yeah--jockey was hurt--delay
Report DFCIRONMAN April 16, 2012 10:47 AM BST
1: Or D'Oudaries EVS @ BlSq/888 ----------------BF SP ODDS  2.09


Horse is at 15:45 Newcastle, btw.
=============================================================

CrowsEye 31 Mar 12 11:52 
2: Pistol Basc 19/10 @ Coral (17:45 Uttox)........BF SP 2.80
===========================================================


CrowsEye 07 Apr 12 11:17 
3: Pacha D'Oudaries 5/4 @ Lad/PP (16:45 NAB).........BF SP 2.80
======================================================
4: Le Roi Rouge 11/14 @ Coral (17:05 Carlisle).......BF SP 1.92
CrowsEye 08 Apr 12 08:27 
======================================================

CrowsEye 08 Apr 12 13:06 
5: Carriglea Wood 2.42 @ Coral (16:05 Plumpton)....BF SP 2.22
=========================================================
CrowsEye 08 Apr 12 14:59 
6: Sawago 5/4 @ Lads (15:00 Plumpton).....BF SP 2.38
=========================================================
CrowsEye 08 Apr 12 16:38 
7: Mercers Row 15/8 @ Paddy (17:30 Muss)  ......BF SP 2.90
=========================================================
CrowsEye 09 Apr 12 17:06 
Bet 8: Tecktal 6/5 @ BlSq/888 (17:25 Plumpton)....BF SP 2.39
=========================================================
Bet 9: Highlife Dancer 11/10 @ BlSq/888(17:20 Yarmouth)BFSP2.02
=====================================================
Bet 10:Newton Tonic11/10 @ Coral (17:15 Huntingdon)..BF SP 2.05
====================================================
CrowsEye 14 Apr 12 19:04 
Bet 11: McCool Bananas EVS @ Coral (20:15 Wolver)..BF SP N/R
====================================================
CrowsEye 15 Apr 12 15:23 
Bet 12: Rockabilly 10/11 @ B365 (15:15 Ffos Las)...BF SP 1.78
======================================================
CrowsEye 15 Apr 12 16:55 
Bet 13: Wait No More 1.87 @ Betfair (16:55 Ffos Las)..BF SP 1.93
=======================================================




Just posting above for information.......

Generally are odds not better on BF???????Confused



GL
Report DFCIRONMAN April 16, 2012 10:57 AM BST
CE - I understand that you are posting BEFORE races and so you are showing odds available from bookies......but trust you seek better odds on BF when money goes down!

GL again.....though the odds you are backing at are too short to make much from such bets.....Higher odds ones are needed and your edge needs to be stronger than indicated from bets SO FAR ( too early on thread to judge this....but I suspect you will tread water with this way of betting!)
Report CrowsEye April 16, 2012 11:06 AM BST
Some are better, some not, some not after commission. You're right though.

A few I've chanced on being backed in, which they weren't.

I think my bets would be a good go for a Martingale opportunist Wink
Report DFCIRONMAN April 16, 2012 11:12 AM BST
Must admit .....I never knew bookies accepted PLACE only bets, possibly as may have clashed with TOTE contract? However, they probably do....and just lay bets off on BF as odds generally better than they give punter.DevilLaugh

Never...ever do such staking CE.......road to oblivion!

GL again!
Report CrowsEye April 16, 2012 11:17 AM BST
Coral seem to have some sort of automatic process to do their place only bets as they change in real time, however they often seem to be a lot higher than BF some times.

Unusual, and can be exploited I am sure.
Report xmoneyx April 16, 2012 1:09 PM BST
hi crow

starting today im trying out win only + place stake return--nothing less than 4.bank £100--5pts each bet

g/l Cool
Report xmoneyx April 16, 2012 1:10 PM BST
5pts toal bet
Report CrowsEye April 16, 2012 1:17 PM BST
Nice one money. I look forward to seeing your thread.
Report xmoneyx April 16, 2012 1:32 PM BST
not putting up thread but will post bet on mepoors thread

i imagine my bank will be like snake & ladders--but always good to try something out--not bet blindly
Report CrowsEye April 21, 2012 2:49 PM BST
Bet 14: Petit Robin 4.4 BFair @ 14:50 Ayr
Report CrowsEye April 25, 2012 4:41 PM BST
Bet 15: Zing Wing 11/8 @ Coral/Lads (19:25 Kempton)
Report roadrunner46 May 24, 2012 3:03 PM BST
whats happened you given up on only place betting?
Report roadrunner46 May 24, 2012 5:10 PM BST
how$ your crowseye working, did you find my tip in 4.20?
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