The Mark Lawrenson school of predictions

it's funny because it's true.

God knows why every week I have a quick look at his predictions.

I'd be better off asking just about any of the other 60 million people in Britain.

how to beat lawro in the predictions game:

predict the shortest price score for each game.

Very good Mr E.  Can't ever remember him predicting a 0-0 either.  He's cost me a lot of money .

Lawro has predicted so far that Man utd would have conceded 6 ( SIX ) goals in their 23 games!

They have conceded THIRTY!

You would have thought in September when they were shipping goals for fun he might have revised his opinions on their defensive capabilities.

Mr Eboue

Mr Eboue
25 Jan 13 19:30
Joined:
15 Sep 09
| Topic/replies: 20,216 | Blogger: Mr Eboue's blog
God knows why every week I have a quick look at his predictions.

You do and i do because he performs his role to perfection. Fluff for the masses. Once you realise this you'll have a happier life.

rule 5) Go for and against Wigan on alternate weeks
because "you just never know what you'll get with Wigan"

Wish id posted this.You couldnt be more right.I actually cover the page with my hand and predict his predictions (weirdo).Its amazing how many times you get his actual score spot on.

"You dont do that to Sir Alex".

Relax - the new ESPN/Yahoo/Sun highlights package should mean the end of MOTD (and Lawro, Virgil Tracey, Shearer) within a couple of years.

No idea what the Beeb pay the presenters but the fact that I once had to step aside to let Hansen and his extended family exit the 1st class cabin on a London to New York flight suggests that it's too much

Was on QOS last night, he predicted Giroud, , the answer was the fringe....but it was so bloody obvious....I think he misses his moustache

Going to Lawro for predictions is like watching Soccer AM and expecting insight into the game.

got bad news for u bigH - its either £10k or £20k per week.  And we like to say footballers are the most overpaid creatures on earth.

"how do you reckon you've done so far this week, mark?"
"I haven't got a clue."
(LAUGHS) "I knew it was something you did off the cuff"

(THERE FOLLOWS A LIST OF 2-0s THAT HAVEN'T COME IN)

Arsenal v Villa.

It doesnt take Albert Einstein to predict what Lawrenson has gone for. Thats's right

Lawro's prediction: 2-0



There's ten games this weekend. Lawrenson has picked every single one to finish 2-0 or 2-1 ( bar the monday night game).


And to round things off he comes out with this



Chelsea's away form in the league is probably better than their home form.



He's too lazy to even look at the league table and check.

'Probably' FFS

LOL , scroll down and there is a table on there showing what the League would look like if all Lawro's predictions had come true

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/21370831


2nd Arsenal

7th QPR

How much of your licence fee does he get a week ...£20K  ...Nice!

Funniest was the other weekend when he was beaten by Hulk Hogan!

You forgot.

Liverpool will always win unless they are playing Utd, City, Chelsea or Arsenal.

Quick update to prove Mr Eboue's rules.  This week Lawro has gone for:

Zero away wins (see rule 3)
Zero games with more than 3 goals (see rule 4)
Five out of the ten games will finish 2-0 (see rule 1)

The only logical conclusion is that he reads the thread and wants another namechck.

rule 5) he gets paid top dollar to make wild guesses
rule 6) we do the same and end up losing money

FFS

At least if you read his predictions on line you don't have to listen to him mangling his vowels, or watch him channelling Frankie Howard.

good thread mr e

Nonetheless, Lawro's overall record is quite impressive. If you had made bets based on his predictions this season, you would actually have made more money than if you had staked your cash on the results calculated as most likely by the bookmakers.

The ex-Liverpool defender turned BBC football expert correctly predicted 200 of the 379 results (win, lose or draw), giving a 52.77% success rate. The bookmakers successfully predicted 199 correct results (ie the home win, draw and away win result with the shortest odds), giving a success rate of 52.36%.



However, the former Liverpool and Republic of Ireland defender  still has some way to go to please all of his followers.
Julian Adamson contacted BBC Sport to say he and some friends found Lawro's predictions so predictable that they played a game called 'Predicting Lawro's Predictions'.

Julian argued that Lawro used only three results for most of his predictions: 1-1, 2-1 and 2-0. And the statistics do largely bear this out. Lawro only predicted that a side would score three goals in 17 of his 758 predictions (2.24%), whereas this actually happened 120 times (15.78%).
And he did not predict that a side would score four goals or more in any of the 379 games. In reality, this happened 43 times out of the 760 individual scores (5.66%).
Lawro does not really go for away wins. He predicted that eight teams (Aston Villa, Fulham, Norwich, Reading, Southampton, Swansea, West Brom and West Ham) would not win ANY of their away fixtures this season. In fact, Villa, Swansea and West Brom all won more away games (five) than sixth-placed Everton (four).
He predicted that Fulham and West Brom would lose EVERY away game (scoring only four and six goals respectively), and drew the ire of Southampton fans by predicting they would lose 15 straight games at one stage of the season  .

Top threading - only made more apt because I read his predictions every week. It's like a drug. I have the same problem with Tony 'Propunter' Cascarino in the RP!