Galatasaray is in very good shape this year with good offensive line-ups.
They won the first game 2-1 at home. Yet, statistically speaking they lost the last three away games against Bursa. (Last year Gala was struggling at league, far away from this season's form.) Today, the game will be played without spectators though, since Bursa fans are banned. which is not so good for the home team.
Last 12 games: 11Ws and 1D for Gala. Wins include against Fenerbahce at home, Trabzon away. 3Ws, 4Ds and 5Ls for Bursa. Wins are against avg teams -relatively speaking-.
Last 6 home games for bursa: 21.01.2012 D1 Bursaspor 1-2 Sivasspor 10.01.2012 Cup Bursaspor 4-1 Şanlıurfaspor (2nd division team, this one I suppose) 07.01.2012 D1 Bursaspor 1-0 Mersin İdmanyurdu 17.12.2011 D1 Bursaspor 0-0 Antalyaspor 12.12.2011 D1 Bursaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe SK 04.12.2011 D1 Bursaspor 0-1 Eskişehirspor
Last 6 away games for Gala: 22.01.2012 D1 Eskişehirspor 0-0 Galatasaray SK 07.01.2012 D1 Samsunspor 2-4 Galatasaray SK 16.12.2011 D1 Orduspor 0-2 Galatasaray SK 11.12.2011 D1 Trabzonspor 0-3 Galatasaray SK 03.12.2011 D1 Genclerbirligi 0-1 Galatasaray SK 20.11.2011 D1 Besiktas JK 0-0 Galatasaray SK
Gala is worth backing @2.2 imho. Or a safer bet would be a lay of Bursa @4.1.