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TheOneThatGotAway
30 Nov 11 23:19
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Date Joined: 25 Nov 11
| Topic/replies: 891 | Blogger: TheOneThatGotAway's blog
returns 46gs (commission been taken into account)

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Fixtures 30 November / Colon v Talleres / Over/Under 5.5 Goals   
Under 5.5 Goals    Back    17347331300    30-Nov-11
23:18         1.02    50.64        1.02    30-Nov-11 23:18
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Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 8:24 AM GMT
Bet 32 - £168.42 Adelaide v Sydney Under 5.5 at 1.04
Report elisjohn February 19, 2012 9:23 AM GMT
main bet £1145     fun bet £66 , how did bet 30 go torres was it a close pts decision , well done
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 10:16 AM GMT
Thanks Elis. It was a fairly one sided points decision. Chisora is pretty Durable though
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 11:29 AM GMT
Bet 33 - £174.82 Granada v Sociedad Under 6.5 at 1.03
Report dangray February 19, 2012 12:19 PM GMT
granada games a risky one for me
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 12:34 PM GMT
Laid off at 1.02
Report yellowarmy17 February 19, 2012 3:00 PM GMT
morning all i have been bust building my three pots up now have £70+ in each.
So now getting to the stage where they are moving up a bit quicker. Pot 1 (£72.56) bet 101 stev v tott u5.5 in play £73 @ 1.01
Report yellowarmy17 February 19, 2012 3:00 PM GMT
Sorry to double post but been busy not busting!!!
Report yellowarmy17 February 19, 2012 4:10 PM GMT
pot 1 bet 101 Red bull v Salzburg u6.5 £75 @1.01 and pot 1 bet 102 Hibs v Celtic, Celtic win in running £69 @ 1.02
Report yellowarmy17 February 19, 2012 4:31 PM GMT
liverpool v brighton 1.05 for under 6.5 what are they expecting??
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 4:55 PM GMT
Lost £20 of my Bank on a Treble,  Damn Spurs Cry  Bank at £156.70
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 4:56 PM GMT
Bet 34 - £156.70 Liverpool v Brighton Under 7.5 at 1.04
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 6:23 PM GMT
Absouloute Phew a Lou!
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 6:39 PM GMT
Bet 35 - £162.84 Setubal v Porto Under 6.5 at 1.05
Report aheadington February 19, 2012 6:41 PM GMT
i did under 6.5 in the liv game, had gone from 25 to 101 in a week and no bust :(
Report yellowarmy17 February 19, 2012 7:07 PM GMT
bad luck mate for the rest of us it a bullet missed..
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 7:21 PM GMT
Bad luck aheadington, you will get back there in no time
Report Torres86 February 19, 2012 10:22 PM GMT
Bad Day, lost £50 messing around. Bank is now at £111.54
Report Torres86 February 20, 2012 3:35 PM GMT
Bet 36 - £111.54 Lillestrom v Piast Gliwice Under 6.5 at 1.05
Report yellowarmy17 February 20, 2012 6:04 PM GMT
Torres - just got in from work, remember don't be tempted to chase.
Pot 1 (£75.16) Bet 101 Korona v Jagiellonia u6.5 £75 @1.01 and
Bet 102 Bursapor v Buyuksehir £75 u6.5 @1.01
Report Torres86 February 21, 2012 10:01 AM GMT
Yeah your right yellow. Cheers
Report Torres86 February 21, 2012 4:38 PM GMT
Bet 37 - £116.44 CSKA v Real Madrid, Lay CSKA at 8.8
Report Torres86 February 21, 2012 6:25 PM GMT
Greened up on Madrid match. £4 CSKA 38
Report Torres86 February 21, 2012 6:26 PM GMT
Bet 38 - £126.48 Pakistan v England, England to win at 1.09
Report Torres86 February 21, 2012 6:28 PM GMT
Correction £116.48
Report yellowarmy17 February 21, 2012 6:38 PM GMT
pot 1 £80.29 Pot 2 £78.64 Pot 3 £70.52 - Pot 2 Bet 103 CSKA v Real £75 on u6.5 @1.03
Report Torres86 February 21, 2012 7:34 PM GMT
Bet 39 - £136.99 Napoli v Chelsea, Under 5.5 at 1.04
Report yellowarmy17 February 21, 2012 7:48 PM GMT
pot 2 £80.78.  Pot 3 Bet 100 Napoli v Chelsea £72 u6.5 @1.01 Bet 101 Milwall V Midd £73 u6.5 @1.01
Report elisjohn February 21, 2012 7:53 PM GMT
fun bet 7. £66 under 5.5 napoli v chelsea
Report yellowarmy17 February 21, 2012 8:55 PM GMT
Torres/Elis What are your thoughts on Napoli game?
Report yellowarmy17 February 21, 2012 9:25 PM GMT
if you two haven't traded then you have more bottle than me - big respect Scared
Report yellowarmy17 February 21, 2012 9:26 PM GMT
If you two haven't traded out yet then you have more bottle than me - big respect Scared
Report yellowarmy17 February 21, 2012 9:26 PM GMT
opps sorry for the double post
Report Torres86 February 21, 2012 9:39 PM GMT
I wanted to lay off to break even but the 4th goal came a tad too early, let the bet ride, if the 5th goal had of gone in i would have redded out. Both teams couldent defend
Report elisjohn February 21, 2012 9:47 PM GMT
sorry yellow  just back to see your thread, no i didnt trade out  this time, i just couldnt see another 3 second half goals.
Report elisjohn February 21, 2012 9:53 PM GMT
oops just put £ 68  on 5 mins ago black v whu under 5.5, Crya goal just now, come on final whistle,   at 1.03
Report elisjohn February 21, 2012 9:53 PM GMT
oops just put £ 68  on 5 mins ago black v whu under 5.5, Crya goal just now, come on final whistle,   at 1.03
Report yellowarmy17 February 21, 2012 10:05 PM GMT
i was sweating with my u6.5 i suppose sometimes you just have to let it go and see what pans out. Have you considered splitting you bank and having two running?
Report Torres86 February 22, 2012 3:02 PM GMT
Bet 40 - £142.20 Oman v South Korea Under 6.5 at 1.02
Report Torres86 February 22, 2012 5:10 PM GMT
Bet 41 - £144.90 Asteras Tripolis v Kerkira Under 4.5 at 1.05
Report elisjohn February 22, 2012 7:47 PM GMT
bet 9 under 5.5 marseille v imter £70 at 1.05
Report Torres86 February 23, 2012 6:33 PM GMT
Im away for a week and wont be able t watch any games so i will have a week off from my challenge. Back with bet42 next week. Bank at £151.79
Report lancerlad February 23, 2012 8:38 PM GMT
Yellowarmy, how you doing?
Report lancerlad February 23, 2012 8:38 PM GMT
Yellowarmy, how you doing?
Report yellowarmy17 February 23, 2012 8:43 PM GMT
lancerlad - not doing too bad at the moment 3 pots of £80 - i was just about to trade out u6.5 but betfair have that market suspended!!
Report lancerlad February 23, 2012 9:18 PM GMT
LEICESTER ABOUT TO GIVE ME MY SECOND WIN WITH THIS APPROACH.
Report yellowarmy17 February 23, 2012 9:50 PM GMT
Good luck it about being patient - when you get a bigger enough bank you will start to see a steady return. Don't forget to trade out for a small loss if you get a bad feeling about a game.
Report yellowarmy17 February 24, 2012 5:43 PM GMT
pot 1 (£87.32) Pot 2 (£80.97) pot 3 (£80.80)
Pot 1 Bet 110 Rostock v Ingolstadt £87 u6.5 in running @1.01
Report lancerlad February 24, 2012 8:35 PM GMT
Yellow army- Got on Rostock game at start at 1.04 U6.5, well done.
Report yellowarmy17 February 24, 2012 9:26 PM GMT
Have won on both the SC Wiedenbruck v Fortuna Dusseldorf II and Waalwijk v Vitesse both u6.5 Currently on the st Helens game 1.04 st Helens to win £80
Report yellowarmy17 February 24, 2012 10:14 PM GMT
cashed out for a small loss Cry
Report koskos February 26, 2012 4:57 PM GMT
Keep the standards and the discipline and will win 50000
Report Mental February 26, 2012 9:18 PM GMT
has anyone really achive his goal with 360 bets or so....??
Report yellowarmy17 February 26, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
oh the pain, the pain all i have to say is PSG!!! testing my split pot theory now standing at Pot 1 (£66.96) pot2 (£63.92) pot 3 (£63.92) Now i just have to get further than i did before. ExcitedCry
Report yellowarmy17 February 29, 2012 4:36 PM GMT
Update pot 1 (£70.04) Pot 2 (£70.55) pot 3 (70.01) next bet £71 on u6.5 Portugal U21 v Ukraine U21 @1.01.
Report Mental February 29, 2012 4:40 PM GMT
you split your bank in 3 or so pots, and play a game with just 1 pot?
Report yellowarmy17 February 29, 2012 4:55 PM GMT
no i play with all three pots, i play all three pot at once but as separate banks, so if i get hit(like saturday) i still have two thirds left. I then split whats left and go on from there. The theory is that i get to more that i had before i was hit.
Report JOCI Club March 1, 2012 8:07 PM GMT
Kicking off a little challenge to try and build up a little bank for the Cheltenham Festival. Starting with £10 and setting a modest target of £250 for now.

001 Orleans v Vannes 3.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.39
Report JOCI Club March 1, 2012 8:10 PM GMT
001 Orleans v Vannes 3.5+ goals £10.00 @ 1.39
002 Orleans v Vannes 4.5+ goals £13.71 @ 1.48
Report JOCI Club March 1, 2012 8:49 PM GMT
Ah well....Sad
Report charwell. March 2, 2012 9:50 AM GMT
Betfairs greatest minds on this thread Crazy

all that effort trying to nick £1 here or there and then sh1tting your pants at every goal and all going busto eventually. Then followed by 'ul mate.'

Nope, it's not unlucky it's plain daft as you have no edge and are trying to 'buy' money which does not happen on total goals markets.

You all must have too much time on your hands but gl if you enjoy it then no harm done chaps.
Report yellowarmy17 March 3, 2012 10:54 AM GMT
Bit Harsh.........
Report dan_411 March 3, 2012 9:25 PM GMT
Put a bit of time into this - it's now my second attempt. A few close calls like the Bordeaux v Nice match but ended up surprising me in a good way.

My run is still in the early stages but will upload a photo to show everyone cos typing it out would take an eternity :P
Report elisjohn March 4, 2012 8:46 AM GMT
bet 10 £ 73 under 6.5 liverpool v arsenal  1.02
bet 11 £74 under 5.5 qpr v everton  1.05
bet 12 £77 under 5.5 leeds v soton  1.04
bet 13 £80 under 6.5 juventus v chievo 1.03
bet 14 £82 under 3.5 setubal v sporting 1.13 , traded out at 1.05 balance  £ 87.35, main bet £1145
hi all sorry for aftertiming yesterday, not been on for a while had to take money out etc to sort finances, but back in nowHappy
Report elisjohn March 4, 2012 8:51 AM GMT
joci, getting xcited for cheltenham now, im sure ?
Report elisjohn March 4, 2012 8:52 AM GMT
how is everyone, segovian, tez, torres, yellow, bonkingbadger etc ?
Report Tez82 March 4, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
hi elisjohn, what happened to your big bank?

hope your doing well mate.
Report elisjohn March 4, 2012 10:54 AM GMT
big bank £ 1145, but had to sort out finances last week and a bit, so borrowed it , back in again nowGrin
Report Tez82 March 4, 2012 10:58 AM GMT
oh right i dont blame you. i was wondering where you had been as i hadnt seen you posting for a whil. i thought you may have lost it, but you havent which is good Happy

best of luck mate. iv been having an awful run on various bets. i might get a good run going 1 day Happy
Report dan_411 March 4, 2012 12:30 PM GMT


That's basically what I done so far. Today I'm laying any unquoted in the Napoli match and after that finishes will have a look to see how to progress from there.
Report elisjohn March 4, 2012 1:00 PM GMT
bet 15 back under 5.5 zaragoza v vill £87 at 1.03
bet 16 back under 4.5 cardiff v whu £ 89 at 1.1, will trade out soon
Report yellowarmy17 March 4, 2012 5:25 PM GMT
Hello all - well i had a bit of hit with the Lyon v PSG game, it was that mad that i couldn't even trade for a smaller loss!! Alls well though have spent a week re-cooping losses. Current standing pot 1 (£80.16) Pot 2 (£80.44) and Pot 3 (£77.06).

Some may say that i have too much time on my hands but i have been doing some research. Taking the matches that are displayed on Flashscores (which are pretty much all of them) and goal predictions from soccervista.

Out of 1515 matches played over the past week and a half 31 have produced 7 or more goals which equates to 2.05% therefore you would need to bet on odds of over 1.02 to make a profit.

However if you compare the matches that have 7 or more goals in with the over 2.5 predictions on soccer vista it works out that only 5 that have had a prediction of less that 2.5 have had 7 or more in them. This brings the percentage down to 0.51%.

Nothing is guaranteed but if you stick to the matches that are predicted as u2.5 then your chances of success should be greater. The only time i have been hit so far was when the prediction was o2.5.

I have the spreedsheets to prove it sad i know!!
Report elisjohn March 5, 2012 6:52 AM GMT
main   bank £1145      fun bank  £96,     unlucky yesterday  had £10 spurs2 manutd 3 and rooney 2 3 scorecast £2 CryCry
Report Torres86 March 6, 2012 10:48 AM GMT
Hi guys Im back, I withdrew my cash before I went away, Im going to start with a £50 bank again, may wait till the weekend to start. Glad to see you guys doing well. Nice stats yellow
Report yellowarmy17 March 6, 2012 8:11 PM GMT
torres - not going to set the world alight but should be able to make a steady profit (fingers crossed)
Report elisjohn March 7, 2012 3:35 PM GMT
fun bank 17. £96 under 5.5 1.05 chelsea v bgham
         18. £100 under 7.5 1.04 barcelona v leverkusen
Report elisjohn March 7, 2012 9:00 PM GMT
thank god got out at ht
Report elisjohn March 8, 2012 6:58 PM GMT
bet 19 back under 4.5 sp lisbon  v man city £100 at 1.10
Report melon4 March 8, 2012 7:56 PM GMT
Bet 1  over 0.5 goals man utd Bilbao 1.06 £49.17
Report elisjohn March 11, 2012 8:36 AM GMT
reply to maximumbet , back in january, sorry im never on the beta screen but accidentally there now so your message, cant recall for certain about that bet, but usually i trade in play, and if a goal i always put a few quid on that market etc to cut liabilitis ,suppose we all have our ways of doing things
Report elisjohn March 11, 2012 8:39 AM GMT
ps not on here much at moment, see chit chat joined the gym, im spending more time there, than betting on here every minute, im still trying to bet on matches that are live on tv etc, no more bloody finnish reserve msatches on betfair live againGrin, will post more and do more bets from today
Report elisjohn March 11, 2012 9:04 AM GMT
man utd v wba £110  at 1.02 under 7.5 , unmatched at moment
Report Torres86 March 11, 2012 10:42 AM GMT
Hey guys, im Starting the challenge again today, £50 starting bank
Report Torres86 March 11, 2012 10:44 AM GMT
Bet 1 - Atl Madrid v Granada £50 Lay o 6.5 at 26 to win £2
Report Torres86 March 11, 2012 1:44 PM GMT
Bet 2 - Swansea v Man City £51.90 Under 6.5 at 1.02
Report Torres86 March 11, 2012 4:02 PM GMT
Bet 3 - £53.38 Norwich v Wigan Under 6.5 at 1.03
Report Torres86 March 11, 2012 8:04 PM GMT
Bet 4 - £54.90 Lazio v Bologna Under 5.5 at 1.04
Report Torres86 March 11, 2012 9:04 PM GMT
Laid off bet 4 to break evem
Report elisjohn March 14, 2012 7:50 PM GMT
main bet funds back in, lay chelsea v napoli £45 at 27        put £ 35 on unquoted at 7.2
Report elisjohn March 14, 2012 7:52 PM GMT
oops over 6.5 forgot
Report elisjohn March 14, 2012 7:57 PM GMT
joci club, if youre reading this , hows your 1st 2 days been
Report Farez March 18, 2012 10:26 AM GMT
1 Hong Kong Sapling v Sun Hei - Over/Under 5.5 Goals under 5.51.05*60$
Report Farez March 18, 2012 12:09 PM GMT
1 Hong Kong Sapling v Sun Hei - Over/Under 5.5 Goals under 5.51.05*60$  FT 1-1
2.Valladolid v Almeria - Over/Under 5.5 Goals under 5,5 1.05 (24 minute (1-0)) 65$
3.ADO Den Haag 0 - 0 Ajax Soccer Stats - In Play Score over 0,5 1,06*65$ (35 minute 0-0)
Report elisjohn March 20, 2012 7:00 AM GMT
bet 21 £110  under 6.5 everton v sunderland   1.02     
bet 22 £112  under 8.5 chelsea v leicester     1.01
bet 23 £113  under 7.5 lpool v stoke   1.01
bet 24 £114   under  8.5 roma v genoa 1.02
Report elisjohn March 20, 2012 4:22 PM GMT
£110 no tied match at 1.04 bangladesh v s lanka
Report elisjohn March 20, 2012 6:06 PM GMT
bet 26 £115 no tied match wi v aus 1.02
Report jackandvera April 2, 2012 6:37 PM BST
Is Roy Hodgson doind this?
Report koskos April 13, 2012 6:06 PM BST
why you stopped?
Report GoldG October 16, 2012 2:55 PM BST
ttt
Report Mr.Angry October 16, 2012 3:12 PM BST
No staying power.
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