New Posts For Thread: Danny Finkelstein in the Timeshttps://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-timesHis models say the probabilities of winning the WC areBrazil 58.5%Argentina 19.3%Holland 13%Germany 9.2%The market here says differently! EIther Danny (whose offerings I generally respect) has it badly wrong or there is the betting opportunity of a lthe model assumes its the brazil side of 1970https://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540390531#540390531the model assumes its the brazil side of 1970Wed, 09 Jul 2014 15:55:32 -0500brazil v germany game just shows how cak dannys model is!https://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540385345#540385345brazil v germany game just shows how cak dannys model is!Wed, 09 Jul 2014 11:10:47 -0500Sorry, I misread - it says elimination round. I initially thought they meant the whole tourney. In that case impressive enough but not too surprising given how the favs have mostly been getting through.https://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540379957#540379957Sorry, I misread - it says elimination round. I initially thought they meant the whole tourney. In that case impressive enough but not too surprising given how the favs have mostly been getting through.Wed, 09 Jul 2014 00:24:15 -0500"Microsoft's artificially intelligent digital assistant Cortana has accurately predicted the outcome of every match of this year's World Cup elimination round,"From the telegraph article. This has to be total b*llshit.https://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540379951#540379951"Microsoft's artificially intelligent digital assistant Cortana has accurately predicted the outcome of every match of this year's World Cup elimination round,"From the telegraph article. This has to be total b*llshit.Wed, 09 Jul 2014 00:21:13 -0500Well done Danny Finkelstein, formerly of the Timeshttps://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540376901#540376901Well done Danny Finkelstein, formerly of the TimesTue, 08 Jul 2014 17:07:03 -0500My (schoolboy!) error!https://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540370177#540370177My (schoolboy!) error!Tue, 08 Jul 2014 14:27:55 -0500http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/google/10953379/Germany-to-meet-Argentina-in-World-Cup-final-tech-firms-predict.htmlrather trust google analytics to come up with the real probsalso it looks like only rider has noted that 58.5% does NOT imply (Nhttps://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540368563#540368563http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/google/10953379/Germany-to-meet-Argentina-in-World-Cup-final-tech-firms-predict.htmlrather trust google analytics to come up with the real probsalso it looks like only rider has noted that 58.5% does NOT imply (NTue, 08 Jul 2014 13:15:30 -0500just a small misunderstanding.https://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540368071#540368071just a small misunderstanding.Tue, 08 Jul 2014 12:32:10 -0500These are his current probabilities.I'd happy lay Brazil at 11/8, 6/4https://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540367679#540367679These are his current probabilities.I'd happy lay Brazil at 11/8, 6/4Tue, 08 Jul 2014 12:08:48 -0500don't know if I'd ever trust someone called Danny eitherhttps://community.betfair.com/world_cup2014/go/thread/view/147697/30300259/danny-finkelstein-in-the-times?post_id=540366541#540366541don't know if I'd ever trust someone called Danny eitherTue, 08 Jul 2014 10:53:04 -0500