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theonlywayforward
04 Jun 15 22:14
Joined:
Date Joined: 31 Aug 05
| Topic/replies: 10,690 | Blogger: theonlywayforward's blog
Against this shortie @ Ld
Proce reason only
gl
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Report hullstokey September 3, 2015 10:24 PM BST
PID Race 1
NO 3
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:10 PM BST
evening
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:13 PM BST
CC
betting Red Invader
s bet Your Gifted
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:21 PM BST
Sad
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:27 PM BST
FL
e/w #3 Nurse Stone @ 24/1
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:29 PM BST
2,7,3
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:43 PM BST
CC
trying Grams And Ounces @ 10/1
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:48 PM BST
Sad
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:53 PM BST
last for me
FL
betting #4 Bob N Betty
Report Bsmith September 10, 2015 8:59 PM BST
Sad 3rd
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 10:52 PM BST
sloppy track at PEN

we need the master of this scenario to drop in the Forum

he knows who he is Grin
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 10:55 PM BST
7 mins out to PEN 1

they've got the #4 fave in the USA

the #1 does well on these sloppy tracks also though

and is a huge class dropper if you can forgive the gelding for his shocker last start

a tough beginning event .. might set the pattern for the day
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:00 PM BST
seeders offered between 3.00  to 3.30  during the 5min to 2min window of opportunity before the #1 was smashed into odds-on

money came yes ... but they still have to run lol .. no guarantees ever  Plain
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:05 PM BST
#6  cleans them up ... no guarantees ever lol
Report Ekbalco September 10, 2015 11:06 PM BST
Do Odds-On pokes ever win in USA please?
Report ALIEN SEX FIEND September 10, 2015 11:14 PM BST
Best lay I have seen ages that 1 at PENN, however when it looks to good, it usually is. However on this race market go it well wrong,
never looked like winning. Deffo missed one there.
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:31 PM BST
they don't on sloppy tracks at PEN alien .. we had a guy on here 3-4 weeks ago on a sloppy track and he was banging them in at 25/1 and 48/1

the traders like razor would have cleaned up

he could have bought at $3 and sold at evens .. great race for the traders
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:34 PM BST
well the fave won the 2nd at PEN ..

but not for me ... the pattern has been set imo ...

I had an inkling towards the #7 in PEN 3 but it has not experienced the sloppy so who knows

i'll prob wait till LAD opens up and see the status there

all the best
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:51 PM BST
dunno where that sloppy track PEN guy is today

but he loved it when the turf was off and they switched back to the sloppy dirt ... like this PEN 3

ive had as good a look as I can ... but cant see at all what he might have done here
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:53 PM BST
maybe he would go the #1 at the long odds ?

first up and has raced fresh before

placed 3 of 4 on the wet

and won the mile on the dirt

crazy race .. be careful lol
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:56 PM BST
#3 wins at long odds
Report fullback September 10, 2015 11:58 PM BST
Good man.  Top tipping Thebas
Report ALIEN SEX FIEND September 10, 2015 11:58 PM BST
Thebas, leaving tonite well alone. GL if you have a go.
Report Thebas September 10, 2015 11:59 PM BST
smart move alien .. no go at PEN lol ... see you next time
Report Thebas September 11, 2015 12:01 AM BST
don't I wish fullback ... sloppy = loopy Wink
Report fullback September 11, 2015 12:25 AM BST
No 2 Drop to Pop wins race 4 at Penn.   Grey nag.
Report budapest September 11, 2015 12:42 AM BST
can somebody tell me how the 2 lost the 11.40 at lous
Report budapest September 11, 2015 12:44 AM BST
please i saw it win
Report budapest September 11, 2015 12:46 AM BST
11.30i meant
Report Thebas September 11, 2015 1:03 AM BST
winner was DQ'd by the stewards Budapest

https://www.equibase.com/premium/chartEmb.cfm?track=LAD&raceDate=09/10/15&cy=USA&rn=6
Report budapest September 11, 2015 2:02 AM BST
ty
Report Thebas September 17, 2015 10:23 PM BST
thought for the day

where a horse is ... in its preparation  (ie  3rd up after 60days ... 2up after a 30day freshen etc) is as important as 'how' it races

all the best today
Report Thebas September 17, 2015 10:34 PM BST
LAD 4 coming up ... a 5f maiden on the turf

never seen so many runners with so many starts and failed to produce a win

no interest for me those types but you look into the race and you find a couple that are having their first start

and they are mature aged horses ... why do they bother you think ... surely they have shown them something to consider pushing on for a race start rather than heading to the breeding barn

#6 is a 5yo mare .. first ever race start
#5 is a 4yo filly (we call them mares in Oz) .. first ever race start

neither are in a winning type stable

just rambling .. better races to follow for sure
Report Thebas September 17, 2015 10:38 PM BST
#6 and #7 of course ffs
Report Thebas September 17, 2015 10:42 PM BST
9-1-5 in the maiden ... nothing to enthuse over of course
Report Thebas September 17, 2015 11:12 PM BST
i'll have an each-way interest in the #2 Porter Central at Presque next up

the 6yo gelding's dam ... is by a fave old Oz stallion from the 80's ... who travelled to Europe at the time to place in the Arc - Strawberry Road

they freshened this one last start and jumped him up to a $40k ALW so better suited here you would think in a $5 claimer

it's all a gamble though Wink
Report Thebas September 17, 2015 11:20 PM BST
10-4-5    porter couldn't make any impression tight along the rail tho the #4 squeezed through there nicely to chase the wide winner
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 10:51 PM BST
PiD
betting e/w #8 High Native Fly @25/1
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 10:53 PM BST
Sad
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 10:56 PM BST
Pen
e/w #3 Luckyneva @15/1 ....... waiting for place to match Silly
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 10:57 PM BST
14/1 ^
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 10:58 PM BST
PEN #1  the fave a bit short for my liking but won its last start by 11 len lol .. and not ridden out hard either

a good watch race maybe ...
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 10:59 PM BST
2nd up from a let up BSmith and awkward on the sloppy last start so yes forgive it that run .. nice odds & GL
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:04 PM BST
2nd
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:05 PM BST
it was a terrific run at the odds #3 ... and a much better bet than the fave who was never really in it
Report placepotkid October 1, 2015 11:12 PM BST
Evening all, r3 Pres I am loathed to have a one cent on A. Gallardo and on that basis i am having win and place on number 6 the in form thunders rollin


good luck if u play
Report henryluca October 1, 2015 11:15 PM BST
PD--Lighthouse Sound---$2.5 out to 5.00 ish Confused (most likely bot)
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:16 PM BST
last for me
PiD
betting e/w #2 Linsanity @ 11/1
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:17 PM BST
it is a shipper henry .. they hold them safe early to see if any money comes ... $5 about right price imo
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:19 PM BST
2nd
gn + gl
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:20 PM BST
nice odds again BSmth gn
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:24 PM BST
hi PlaceP .. yes an interesting booking with Gallardo ... they'd been spacing his runs and today was his first time back on the dirt with all turf runs this campaign ... will be interested to see if they move it back to the turf next start
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:27 PM BST
I can't get involved in the next at PEN2 either .. the fave is another with the mare spacing her races and the work while ok is about the same as she's been doing before and not winning ... not that the others hold any of my attention either .. fave is back in class can win but a watch for me
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:28 PM BST
Penn
just looking as i log off
#7 Patria Querida looks like a good 9/1 ?!
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:28 PM BST
bit of money for the filly shipping in #5 but again a watch lol sorry
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:31 PM BST
crikey the #2 just threw itself right down on the ground .. its out late also for sure ... $110k on the race ... a few nervous now if their margins are tight
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:32 PM BST
Betfair can you re open Penn race #2 please ...... still 3-4 minutes to off ?!
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:34 PM BST
they used to BSm but not any more it seems .. this is one of the major complaints on here by the guys

I wonder if the seeder's tally up their margins and if green the managers don't bother re-opening ..
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:35 PM BST
:/ just noticed someone bet #7 @ 1.01 for £220 ?!
i think its worth 9/1 but 1.01 lol
Report henryluca October 1, 2015 11:36 PM BST
Glad Im not stuck in there ...
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:37 PM BST
does anyone know if purple closes races early
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:38 PM BST
the #2 was an 8/1 shot on course henry .. and the deduction here was for an 11/1 shot .. someone is happy
Report Bsmith October 1, 2015 11:39 PM BST
gn all
Report henryluca October 1, 2015 11:50 PM BST
bet #7 @ 1.01 for £220 ?!

Bsmith

There is a graph pattern commonly called the fat finger ...there are ways to program automation bots for this ..that race many had FF ...many low low odds taken on few in that race..you should/will find literature on it
Report Thebas October 1, 2015 11:56 PM BST
anyone wanting the live video ... on the Meadowlands meeting today ... can also find it here

http://playmeadowlands.com/video.aspx?id=252
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 12:28 AM BST
yielding surface at meadowlands .. first time ive seen this course on BF for the horses

an all turf meeting on the wet so I would only be watching them all night lol
Report capntin sensible October 2, 2015 1:47 AM BST
race 1:30 at charles town stunk how do i raise a complaint bet no
56173924185
Report capntin sensible October 2, 2015 1:48 AM BST
massive funds being laid against fav  and it fell
Report capntin sensible October 2, 2015 1:49 AM BST
dont usually complain  but this stunk like a skunk
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 2:44 AM BST
  but this stunk like a skunk

Welcome to US horse racing..along with US basketball and Indian cricket its the biggest rort on the planet
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 8:48 AM BST
2 absolute dills ... both of you ... henry & captain non event

henry you are getting worse in your old age .. please seek help

on a sloppy track at CT ... the lightly raced 3yo filly went down on its nose and straight down in the mud ... awful to watch

luckily for it and the young jock Jose Montano there was not a pile up due to the fortunate spacing in the race

any normal persons would have merely hoped both horse and jockey were unharmed from the fall

but a punting dollar is sacred I guess and over rides such human emotions

henry you should know better ... you fkn dill
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 10:11 AM BST
henry you should know better ... you fkn dill

Ouch!

My comments meant to refer to US racing generally...too many suspicious races imo...did not even see the race referred to by Capt.

Nevertheless apologise for comments ...what happens at times when posts are read on the run so to speak and replies made....

BTW I would never use those words on Thebas or anyone ....
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 10:18 AM BST
Curiously Capt Sensible expresses an opinion which he is entitled to do  .....and Thebas comes back with personal attacks....NOT COOL....

Perhaps a break is required to regroup Thebas's mojo!
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 11:06 AM BST
the horse & jockey fell henry

hmmm still nothing from you regarding the horse or jockey

just .. justifications re rorting ffs

you are better than that henry .... but recently a slide for sure
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 11:25 AM BST
did not even see the race referred to by Capt.




any normal persons would have merely hoped both horse and jockey were unharmed from the fall

I hope that both horse and jockey were unharmed....of course I do

Please can we move on...Love
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 11:31 AM BST
First saw a race fall in front of me at Rocklea Trots...horse put down...also saw one leaving the Rocklea trots straight...horse put down....saw one down the Doomben straight..horse put down.....The great Ken Russell Sad in a race fall.....

Yes these incidents most definitely beyond words....you should know my level of passion....unnecessary inference of lack of care little grating so lets move on ...Love
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 11:31 AM BST
did not even see the race referred to by Capt.

but you did read his post to reply to it  Plain


henry I know you would care for the horse & jockey's welfare ... as I'm sure the good Captn does also once he is over the emotion of the bet loss .. he did state that he doesn't usually post gripes so this one just snuck thru to the keeper and is now over

and nothing wrong with caring for each other so yes we move on Love
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 11:34 AM BST
I might have mentioned before henry that at a Canterbury Function back in the mid 80's me and my guest were seated at the same table as poor Ken ... top bloke

I looked at him (I'm just a blow in not an industry person) ... but he takes to me straight away and looks me in the eye and says

"where can a bloke get a drink around here"

was a terrific night with a few other jocks (not Ken) getting up and telling some very funny stories

was a tragedy the day he died from the race fall .. and I cringe each & every time I see a horse fall on the track  Sad
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 11:38 AM BST
the emotion of the bet loss .

Which is why there are no sharp objects on my desk..WinkHappy

Sharing is caring ...GL
Report Bsmith October 15, 2015 6:53 PM BST
evening
Report Bsmith October 15, 2015 7:14 PM BST
Keen
trying #1 The Strip @ 8.0
Report Bsmith October 15, 2015 8:18 PM BST
Keen
e/w #3 Epic Journey
Report Bsmith October 15, 2015 8:20 PM BST
3rd
Report Bsmith October 15, 2015 8:22 PM BST
gn + gl
Report Razor68 October 22, 2015 11:11 PM BST
Thebos I have soccer tonight, but I need to bet number 3 at Delta in the fifth race. I will put a bid at M/L odds right now for 50, id love to get the action.
Report Thebas October 22, 2015 11:35 PM BST
cheers razor ... all the best with it

back with broberg again .. resuming .. up in grade and the work is different than leading into the last first up win at Evangeline where the 4f gallops had been some 2 secs faster and he gave it a final 5f belt out before the win in the best of the day .. compared to the final hitout for yours today

of course the prior 4 lead up works you had looked much better and maybe the final hitout a fortnight ago was just an exercise and odds getter

it can probably beat the rest of the first uppers imo with the fave a last start winner but coming from out wide and also back from turf to dirt

yours a good chance with its wins all around the 1.90 fave mark or something so if the stable fancy it I'd expect it to shorten today

I've seen your bet and if you get the odds you will have a nice chance to trade out for half and sit with the remainder

it's quick .. doesn't have to lead .. and you should get a good run for your money ... I have it in the market at 11/4 so good luck with your odds .. I would lay it about 2/1 but unlikely to see that

I saw your bet .. wrote something and bet now gone ?  .. not taken either

the odds were right .. doubt you'll get better ... prob take less and still be ok to get a run for your money .. good fortunes
Report Thebas October 23, 2015 2:04 AM BST
well done Razor .. good picking for sure ... looked as primed & ready as it was last campaign and charged to the wire a big winner
Report Razor68 October 25, 2015 2:14 AM GMT
Ya the horse ran good. to bad I did not end up getting anything on it lol. I had soccer that night. So figured id try to bet early, but no takers. Theres more were that came from.
Report Thebas October 25, 2015 2:59 AM GMT
cheers razor .. well done .. i figure the 2-5 min window is probably a little better than the 2-5 hour one though Wink

all the best
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 6:50 PM GMT
Chelmsford
gone big on Father Fred :-s
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 6:52 PM GMT
BBBBBBOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMM
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 6:59 PM GMT
wood
betting #6 Iphikles
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:01 PM GMT
BBBBBOOOOOOOMMMMMMMM
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:05 PM GMT
FL
punt on #7 See Ya @ 20/1
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:07 PM GMT
s bet #4 Prince of the Lake
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:09 PM GMT
Sad
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:12 PM GMT
gn + gl
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:21 PM GMT
fav at chelmsford might be worth a lay
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:21 PM GMT
Earth Goddess would be my pick
Report Bsmith November 5, 2015 7:24 PM GMT
oh well, some work out some dont Sad
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